US Midterm Election: National Reconciliation Remains Far Off

Published in Shinmai Shimbun
(Japan) on 11 November 2022
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by T Kagata. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
There are close midterm races between President Joe Biden’s majority Democratic Party and the minority Republican Party in the Senate and the House in an election that took place amid record inflation and a slump in the president’s approval rating.


The final count in the Senate will not be known until a runoff election in Georgia, while the Republicans hold the lead in the House.

A Republican majority in either the House or the Senate would create a divide between the administration and Congress, making it more difficult to pass legislation. Inevitably, the Biden administration will be forced to play an inward-looking political game, management of which will become more difficult.

Some Republicans are reluctant to continue massive U.S. aid to Ukraine. As the Russian invasion becomes more protracted, people are suffering from “aid fatigue,” and it is uncertain whether the U.S. can sustain its existing level of support.

Prior to the election, the Republican Party was riding a tailwind as it attacked the Biden administration’s fiscal spending as a cause of record-breaking inflation. Midterm elections have historically been a time when the majority party most often goes down to defeat amid voter criticism.

Thus, the Democratic Party can be said to have done well this time, and there may be various reasons for this.

The Democrats focused on issues including protection of a woman’s right to abortion, which the Supreme Court overturned in June, and gun control. Exit polls also suggest these matters were of particular interest to the economy.

Above all, the Democratic Party has made the state of democracy a key issue given the influence of former Republican President Trump, who baselessly claimed massive fraud in the last presidential election. More than half of the 569 Republicans running did not recognize the 2020 election results and questioned whether Biden won.

Election workers also faced a series of threats. A man believed to be a Trump supporter broke into the house of Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, attacking and seriously wounding her husband. Moderate Republicans may have felt threatened as well.

President Biden said of the Democrats’ good fight, that the voters "sent a clear and unmistakable message that they want to preserve our democracy.”

However, Republican members of Congress who support Trump are likely to claim that the votes were manipulated, as they did in the 2020 presidential election. Trump is also widely expected to announce shortly that he will run for president in 2024.

The two parties smeared each other during the midterms, and voters rejected the party they do not support. The division within the U.S., where even debate is difficult, is likely to deepen, and the national reconciliation that President Biden sought in his presidential campaign two years ago remains a distant prospect.


米中間選挙 国民の融和は遠いままだ
2022/11/11 09:30

 米国の中間選挙で上院、下院ともバイデン大統領の与党民主党と野党共和党が接戦となっている。

 記録的なインフレが続き、大統領の支持率が低迷する中で迎えた選挙だ。

 上院の勝敗の行方は12月に実施されるジョージア州の決選投票に持ち越される見込みだ。下院は共和党がリードを保っている。

 上下両院のどちらかでも共和党が多数となれば、政権と議会で「ねじれ」が生じ、法案が通りにくくなる。内向きの政治を強いられ、バイデン政権の運営が厳しくなることは避けられない。

 共和党の一部は、ウクライナへの大規模支援を継続することに難色を示している。ロシアの侵攻が長期化するにつれ「支援疲れ」も指摘されている。これまでと同様の支援が継続できるのか、不透明な要素が出ている。

 選挙前は、共和党がバイデン政権の財政支出が記録的なインフレを招いたと批判し、追い風を受けているとみられていた。中間選挙は歴史的に与党が批判され、敗北することが大半でもある。

 民主党は今回、健闘したといえる。要因はさまざまだろう。

 民主党は最高裁が6月に否定した人工妊娠中絶の権利の擁護や、銃規制も争点にした。出口調査では経済以外に、これらに関心が集まったことも浮かんでいる。

 何より民主党が争点にしたのは民主主義のあり方だ。中でも前回大統領選の大規模不正を根拠なく主張する共和党のトランプ前大統領の影響力である。共和党から出馬した569人の半数以上が、バイデン氏の勝利を認めなかったり、疑問を呈したりしていた。

 選挙事務職員への脅迫も相次いだ。民主党のペロシ下院議長宅にトランプ氏支持者とみられる男が侵入し、夫に重傷を負わせる事件も起きた。共和党穏健派にも危機感があったのではないか。

 バイデン大統領は民主党の善戦について「有権者は民主主義を守りたいと明確にメッセージを出した」と述べている。

 ただ、トランプ氏を支持する共和党議員らは、大統領選と同様に票が操作されたとの主張を展開する可能性がある。トランプ氏も2年後の大統領選に向け、近く出馬を表明するとの観測が強い。

 中間選挙では両党が互いに中傷を繰り広げ、有権者は支持しない党への嫌悪感をあらわにした。議論すら成り立たない米国内の分断は今後も深まりかねない。2年前の大統領選でバイデン氏が掲げた国民融和は遠いままである。
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