The Attack on the Praça do Tres Poderes was a Craziness that Continues*

Published in Folha de Sao Paolo
(Brazil) on 9 January 2023
by Hélio Schwartsman (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jane Dorwart. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
Now Jair Bolsonaro runs a much greater risk of going to prison himself.

Karl Marx’s saying that history repeats itself as a farce has never been so accurate. Two years ago, American extremists inspired by former President Donald Trump invaded the U.S. Capitol with the objective of stopping the transition of power to Joe Biden.

That attempted coup never had much chance of success, but one could say the craziness stopped there. Trump was still the president, and if an institutional mega-crisis had been put in place, it would have been possible, although it would have been extremely remote, that Trump could have consolidated his power.

Sunday’s attack at the Praça dos Três Poderes in Brasilia was a craziness which continues. The Brazilian coup plotters did everything wrong, starting with the choice of date. If they had acted while Jair Bolsonaro was still president, it might have been possible to imagine a state of siege evolving into an “old school” coup. As Bolsonaro was already in the position of being an ex-president and ensconced in Florida, all the plotters managed to do was rally the relevant political forces and institutions around Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and around lawfulness.

Beyond the scenes of destruction, one thing that is particularly impressive is the list of setbacks the coup leaders amassed. They didn’t just strengthen the president whom they despise, they also put themselves in enormous legal jeopardy. We can expect numerous arrests and prosecutions, including among those who organized and financed the attack. Bolsonaro himself now runs a greater risk of having to answer for inciting the coup and going to prison. The extremists also alienated the political right, who still viewed them sympathetically. Even the Bolsonarist governors don’t have the option of refraining from condemning or suppressing the movement.

There are two categories of extreme right leadership. There are the intelligent leaders, such as Viktor Orban of Hungary and Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel, and there are the dummies. Brazil, fortunately, was graced with the second type of specimen, not the first.

*Editor’s note: The original Portuguese version of this article is available with a paid subscription.


Ataque à praça do Três Poderes foi delírio que não para em pé

O próprio Bolsonaro corre agora muito maior risco de ser preso

A frase de Marx sobre a história repetir-se como farsa nunca foi tão exata. Dois anos atrás, extremistas norte-americanos, insuflados pelo ex-presidente Donald Trump, invadiram o Capitólio, com o objetivo de impedir a transmissão do poder para Joe Biden.
Aquela tentativa de golpe nunca teve muita chance de sucesso, mas era, por assim dizer, um delírio que parava em pé. Trump ainda era o presidente e, se uma megacrise institucional tivesse se instalado, havia uma possibilidade ainda que extremamente remota de ele consolidar-se no poder.


O ataque de domingo (8) à praça dos Três Poderes em Brasília foi um delírio que não para em pé. Os golpistas brasileiros fizeram tudo errado, a começar da escolha da data. Se tivessem agido enquanto Jair Bolsonaro era o presidente, ainda seria possível imaginar a decretação de um estado de sítio que evoluísse para um golpe "old school". Com Bolsonaro já na condição de ex e entocado na Flórida, só o que conseguiram foi reunir todas as forças políticas e institucionais relevantes em torno de Lula e da legalidade.

Se há algo que impressiona, para além das cenas de destruição, é a lista de reveses colhidos pelos golpistas. Eles não só fortaleceram o presidente que desprezam como se meteram numa enorme encrenca jurídica. Podemos esperar muitas prisões e processos, inclusive entre os organizadores e financiadores do ataque. O próprio Bolsonaro corre agora muito maior risco de responder por incitação de golpe e ser preso. Os extremistas também alienaram políticos de direita que ainda os olhavam com simpatia. Mesmo os governadores bolsonaristas não têm agora alternativa que não condenar e reprimir o movimento.

Existem duas categorias de lideranças de extrema direita. Há os inteligentes, como Viktor Orbán, da Hungria, e Binyamin Netanyahu, de Israel, e os burros. O Brasil, felizmente, foi agraciado com espécimes do segundo tipo, não do primeiro.
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