There is consensus among all United States analysts that the death of Osama bin Laden leaves Barack Obama politically more alive — and already with one foot toward reelection.
The economic crisis, the effects of which appear every day in unemployment figures; the increase in the price of gasoline; the explosive increase in the national debt; the increase of the Islamic threat in revolts in the Middle East; a sense of loss of competitiveness to nations such as China — all of these convey a sense of fragility. One sign of such fragility is a goofy media figure such as Donald Trump launching his presidential plans only to screw up Obama.
Finally, the end of bin Laden was a campaign promise by Obama which, in recent times, was just about forgotten in his speeches.
The question to ask is if the death of bin Laden represents a blow to terrorism, or if it will serve to create a martyr catalyst for new leadership. What we know is that, in this episode, Obama turned the game totally in his favor.
This is a particularly opportune moment for Donald Trump to alter the world order in the face of China and Russia and to reshape geopolitics in the Middle East.
This is a particularly opportune moment for Donald Trump to alter the world order in the face of China and Russia and to reshape geopolitics in the Middle East.
If this electoral gridlock [in domestic policy] does occur, it may well result in Trump — like several other reelected presidents of recent decades — increasingly turning to foreign policy.