A Lesson from America's Debt Crisis

Published in Suara Merdeka
(Indonesia) on 3 August 2011
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nadia Bulkin. Edited by Mark DeLucas.
The U.S. Congress passed a referendum 269-161 agreeing to a new debt limit package to avoid the bankruptcy of the federal government. And, toward the end of the Aug. 2 deadline for saving the country from a situation of default, the Senate agreed to turn that package into law. These laws will later add as many as $2.4 trillion or around Rp 20,200 trillion to the U.S. government’s debt ceiling. Previously, the U.S. debt limit was pegged at US $14.3 trillion (Rp 120,900 trillion).

The debate between the two political parties in Washington over these last few weeks has held the world’s attention. It must be acknowledged that anything that happens in the United States will have a global effect. We still remember when the housing credit crisis struck America and suddenly spread into a global currency crisis. Even now, the world faces a “show” that is not appealing. If the United States reaches bankruptcy, the effect will no longer be a global crisis, but massive global economic chaos.

In America alone, the currency crisis has touched the joints of politics. On the practical level, if the United States experiences default — or fails to pay its debts — that country will not even be able to pay for the implementation of the 2012 presidential election. It can be imagined that the effect of this political angle will form a spiral of political failure that can point toward a dead end. As the main player in the chess game of global politics, the United States' failure to handle this crisis will actually result in political effects just as severe as the economic effect.

What important lesson can be plucked from the U.S.'s experience? For us, this emphasizes once again that globalization is honey as well as poison for the occupants of the Earth. With globalization, the world becomes increasingly small and integrated, so that it enables us to enhance our quality of life. At the same time, globalization requires fundamental domestic strength, so that national entities are not as easily dragged into the whirlpool of global capitalism. When the U.S. currency crisis of 2008 struck, the strength of the our domestic market proved strong enough to fortify itself from the blows of the crisis.

The maturity of democracy in Washington is also of special note. Following eight months of exhausting debate and negotiation, the U.S. Congress succeeded in passing the package to increase the debt ceiling. Even though Congress is dominated by the Republican Party, the bipartisan politics were applied elegantly by the deadline of the night of Aug. 2, so that the country avoided running out of cash for continuing the operations of the government. In fact, it was possible that this crisis would become “packaged” as a political hot potato exploited unilaterally for the goals of one party.

This historic compromise between the Democrats and Republicans on this issue is not separate from the strength of the leadership of President Barack Obama. Bipartisan politics, the maturity of the democracy and strong leadership have created the momentum to resolve the crisis that previously appeared difficult for them to find a point of agreement on. This U.S. currency crisis reminds us of our crisis in 1998 because the factors are similar — that is, both are federal budget crises. Learning from Washington, Indonesia should actually be optimistic that it will overcome various crises by integrating those three factors.


Parlemen Amerika Serikat melalui pemungutan suara yang berakhir 269-161 akhirnya menyepakati paket batas utang baru untuk menghindari kebangkrutan pemerintah federal. Dan, menjelang batas terakhir 2 Agustus untuk menghindarkan negeri itu dari situasi gagal bayar, Senat menyetujui paket tersebut menjadi sebuah undang-undang. Undang-undang ini nantinya akan menambah plafon utang pemerintah AS sebanyak 2,4 triliun dolar atau sekitar Rp 20.200 triliun. Sebelumnya batas tertinggi utang AS dipatok pada angka 14,3 triliun dolar AS (Rp 120.900 triliun).

Perdebatan antara dua kubu politik di Washington, yakni Partai Demokrat dan Republik selama beberapa pekan ini telah menyedot perhatian dunia. Bagaimanapun harus diakui, segala sesuatu yang terjadi pada Amerika akan berdampak global. Kita masih ingat ketika krisis kredit perumahan melanda Amerika dan sontak merembet menjadi krisis keuangan global. Sekarang pun, dunia dihadapkan pada ”pertunjukan” yang tidak menarik. Apabila AS sampai mengalami kebangkrutan, dampaknya bukan lagi krisis global, melainkan kekacauan ekonomi global secara masif.

Di Amerika sendiri, krisis keuangan itu telah menyentuh sendi-sendi politik. Pada tataran praktis, apabila AS mengalami default atau gagal bayar utang, negeri itu bahkan tidak akan mampu membiayai pelaksanaan pemilihan presiden pada 2014. Bisa dibayangkan, dampak dari sisi politik tersebut bakal berupa spiral kegagalan politik yang bisa berujung pada sebuah jalan buntu. Sebagai pemain utama dalam percaturan politik global, dampak politik dari kegagalan menangani krisis ini sesungguhnya sama dahsyatnya dengan dampak pada sektor ekonomi.

Pelajaran penting apa yang dapat dipetik dari pengalaman Amerika? Bagi kita, sekali lagi semua itu menegaskan, globalisasi adalah madu sekaligus racun bagi penghuni bumi ini. Dengan globalisasi, dunia menjadi semakin kecil dan terintegrasi sehingga memungkinkan kita memperbaiki kualitas hidup. Namun globalisasi menuntut kekuatan fundamendal domestik agar entitas negara-bangsa tidak mudah terseret dalam pusaran kapital global. Ketika krisis keuangan AS pada 2008 melanda, kekuatan pasar domestik terbukti tangguh membentengi diri dari hantaman krisis.

Kematangan demokrasi di Washington juga menjadi catatan khusus. Melalui delapan bulan perdebatan dan negosiasi yang melelahkan, DPR AS berhasil meloloskan paket kenaikan pagu utang. Kendati parlemen dikuasai kubu Republik, politik bipartisan diterapkan secara elegan menjelang tenggat waktu 2 Agustus malam agar negeri itu terhindar dari kehabisan dana tunai untuk menjalankan operasional pemerintahannya. Padahal, bisa saja krisis ini ”dikemas” menjadi bola politik yang panas untuk meraih tujuan partai sepihak.

Kompromi bersejarah antara Demokrat dan Republik dalam persoalan ini tidak terlepas dari kuatnya kepemimpinan Presiden Barack Obama. Politik bipartisan, kematangan demokrasi, dan kepemimpinan yang kuat, telah menghasilkan momentum untuk penyelesaian krisis yang sebelumnya tampak sulit mencari titik temu. Krisis keuangan AS ini mengingatkan kita pada krisis 1998 karena faktor kemiripannya, yakni sama-sama krisis APBN. Belajar dari Washington, Indonesia sebetulnya harus optimistis mengatasi berbagai krisis dengan memadukan ketiga faktor itu.
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