Illusion of Employment Emerges in the US

Published in Guangming Daily News
(China) on 17 January 2012
by Ding Xiaoxi (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jeffrey King. Edited by .
Data recently announced by the U.S. government showed that during the first week of 2012, first-time applicants for unemployment relief amounted to 399,000 people, the highest number of the past six weeks. These numbers are in contrast with the more optimistic data released earlier by the U.S. Department of Labor. These numbers, released on January 6, reveal that in the last 12 months, the unemployment rate for the non-agricultural sector in the U.S. dropped to 8.5 percent, the lowest level since February 2009. Moreover, the non-agricultural sector saw 200,000 people find jobs this month, of which 23,000 were added in manufacturing, the highest number in the past five months.

As a result of this discrepancy, the media has been attacking the U.S. government for fabricating employment figures as a means to cover up reality. What is the employment situation really like in the U.S.? Our reporter took these questions to the streets of New York to find out.

A coffee shop employee named Lani told our reporter that she was originally a white-collar worker in a company. But after being let go, she has been unable to find a suitable job. At the coffee shop, she is only a contract worker, meaning her job situation is very unstable. After her trial period, there is always the possibility that she will be fired. She said, “the current job market is causing a lot of people to panic. Everyone is afraid that they might lose their job tomorrow. Everyone seems to know someone who can’t find a job, including those people who originally used to work on Wall Street.”

A lawyer from an American law firm, Leonardo, told the interviewer that creating jobs and guaranteeing jobs is a long-term task. An upswing in the job market is not something that happens in one or two days. The recent positive employment numbers only brought a brief surprise. Cutting down on the government deficit and reinvigorating the job market is certain to be a long, drawn-out battle. The unemployed among the ranks of the “Occupy Wall Street” movement is increasing, but companies have open positions that are not being filled. Companies would rather divvy up the wealth they have now than add jobs. All these issues reflect the structural problems of the job market, which will hinder it from absorbing those who are newly unemployed as a result of the financial crisis.

Bill, a manager at an environmental protection company, told the reporter that everyone is worried about unemployment these days, with the middle class being the greatest victims of them all. Currently, most middle class families carry two jobs since every month they must pay insurance and medical costs, as well as repay their mortgage. If one of the members of the household loses his or her job, their house may be foreclosed. Additionally, in order to reduce spending, many American companies are using foreign contract workers to complete their production flow, resulting in one of the reasons that the American job market is having such a difficult time pulling itself together.

The people are skeptical about the validity of the employment data. The media and experts continue to point out that the government is using mistakes in the official statistical methods to create an “illusion of employment.” Analysts believe that the official unemployment rate dropped not because there was in increase in the number of people able to find a job, but rather because the number of people not willing to look for a job has increased. American entrepreneur Mike wrote that in December 2011, the real unemployment rate was actually 15.2 percent.

An insider told the interviewer that even though he believes the American unemployment rates have improved a bit, an 8.5 percent unemployment rate is still quite high. Recovery of the job market cannot happen without a recovery of job creating elements in all sectors. From the perspective of manufacturing, the recent return of manufacturing jobs might aid job growth. Caterpillar, GM, and Ford announced at the end of last year that they would be bringing back portions of their production sectors to the U.S. from China. However, as a point for growth for the financial industry, the outlook still looks weak. The wave of employee layoffs on Wall Street has yet to stop. Huge American investment banker Morgan Stanley recently announced that it will lay off 1,600 people in the first quarter. Merrill Lynch also plans to make layoffs of their own.

Overall, the labor market in the U.S. has seen some improvement, but still remains in a fragile state.


 美国政府近日发布数据显示,今年第一周初次申请失业救济的人数达到39.9万,是过去6周之中的最高纪录。该情况同此前美国劳工部公布的乐观数据形成反差。1月6日公布的数据显示,去年12月,美国非农业部门失业率降至8.5%,为2009年2月以来的最低水平。且当月非农业部门就业新增20万人,其中制造业新增就业2.3万人,为5个月以来最高。

  于是,有媒体抨击美国政府编造就业数据以粉饰现实。美国就业的真实情况究竟是怎样的?记者带着这个问题在纽约进行了随机采访。

  一位名叫莱尼的咖啡店店员在与记者攀谈时表示,自己原来是一名公司白领,失业后一直很难找到合适的工作。现在在咖啡店也只是合同工,很不稳定,试用后就可能被解雇。她说:“目前的就业市场让人感到恐慌,每个人都担心明天可能失去工作,每个人似乎都有认识的人找不到工作,包括那些原来在华尔街工作的人。”

  美国某律所律师雷纳德戈德伯格在接受记者采访时表示,创造就业和保障就业是长期的功课,就业市场的好转不会是一两天的事情。美国近期利好的就业数据只是带来了短暂的惊喜,而削减政府赤字和重振就业市场注定将是一场持久战。“占领华尔街”运动中失业者增加,公司有就业岗位却无人应聘,以及公司内部宁可瓜分财富却不增加就业等一系列现象都反映出了就业市场存在的结构性问题。这些问题将会阻碍就业市场重新吸收金融危机带来的失业者。

  美国某环保企业管理人员比尔对记者说,如今在美国,每个人都在担心失业。其中,中产阶层可以说是最大的受害者。目前,美国的中产阶层多数都是双职工家庭,他们每月需要支付保险、医疗等费用,还要偿还银行的抵押贷款。如果有一方失去工作,他们的房子很可能就会被没收。与此同时,为减少开支,很多的美国企业都在雇佣海外的合同工完成其生产流程,这也是导致美国就业市场很难振作起来的原因之一。

  民众质疑数据的真实性,媒体和专业人士也纷纷指出,政府是利用官方统计方法的“纰漏”制造了一场“就业幻觉”。分析认为,官方失业率之所以下降,并不是因为找到工作的人数在增加,而是因为不愿意找工作的人数在增加。美国企业家麦克则撰文称,2011年12月真正的失业率高达15.2%。

  一位业内人士在接受记者采访时表示,即便认为美国失业率的确有所改善,8.5%的失业率仍旧处于高位区间。就业市场的复苏离不开各个行业就业元素的复苏。从制造业来看,美国近期制造业的回流可能是一个就业增长点。卡特彼勒、通用和福特公司都在去年年底宣布,将把部分生产环节从中国转移回美国。但是,作为另一个增长点的金融行业却依旧疲弱,今年华尔街的裁员潮也仍未停止。美国大型投行摩根士丹利近期宣布将在第一季度裁员1600人,而美银美林也将跟随这一裁员的步伐。

  统而观之,美国劳动力市场虽有所改善,但依然处于脆弱状态。(驻美国记者 丁小希)
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