America Is at a Loss in Regard to North Korea’s Foreign Affairs

Published in Xinhua
(China) on 20 April 2012
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Cheechen Chan. Edited by Peter McGuire.
There Is Not Much that Obama Can Do About North Korean Foreign Affairs

In an April 17 statement, North Korean representatives said that the U.S.-North Korea agreement signed in February was compromised, and its uranium-enrichment efforts are no longer constrained. Due to the fact that there is not much the U.S. can do about North Korea, it is plausible to believe that North Korea will persist in its efforts to shake the American government. The Obama administration therefore finds itself in sore straits.

The Obama administration has adopted the policy of “strategic patience” with North Korea,; that is, as long as North Korea remains inactive on the nuclear issue, the U.S. will not have a dialogue with North Korea. Beginning in the summer of 2011, however, the U.S. turned to the dialogue strategy and a U.S.-Democratic People’s Republic of Korea agreement was reached. This is the initial result from the dialogue strategy — but now it has again been compromised.

With the election approaching, if the Obama administration were to restart a new dialogue with North Korea, that course is bound to be criticized and regarded by the nation as sign of weakness in regard to North Korea. Hence, it is plausible to say that from now on America can only seek to enforce the effectiveness of sanctions and intensify pressures on North Korea. On the other hand, North Korea is evincing an attitude of wanting to shake America’s position by all means. The North Korean Foreign Ministry “resolutely and totally reject”* the Security Council resolutions and on April 17 stated that it was “able to take necessary retaliatory measures.”*

South Korean experts, however, think that although North Korea stated that it is “no longer bound to”* the DPRK-U.S. agreement, the issues surrounding the resumption of uranium-enrichment and nuclear test were not directly mentioned in the statement. Some experts believe that North Korea is making its moves in anticipation of America’s next move, with the ultimate goal to bring the U.S. back to the negotiating table.

Although Leon Panetta, U.S. Secretary of Defense, strongly hoped for a diplomatic solution, at the moment America is at a loss as to how to deal with North Korea.

Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, Chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said that the Clinton, Bush and Obama administrations have all experienced betrayal by North Korea. During the hearing Ros-Lehtinen also said the negotiation with North Korea is endless.

Ros-Lehtinen, speaking about the vicious cycle of “Negotiation-Betrayal-Provocation,”* said that the United States and its allies have repeatedly offered concessions and lent a helping hand to the North Korean government, as well as attempted to reach an agreement with the country, but ultimately yet another betrayal from North Korea will be inevitable.

*Editor’s note: Although accurately translated, these statements could not be independently verified.


【日本《朝日新闻》4月19日报道】题:奥巴马对朝外交无计可施

北朝鲜17日发表声明,宣布撕毁2月份达成的美朝协议,从而使一度停止的铀浓缩等活动不再受约束。在美国方面对北朝鲜已经没有多少牌可打的情况下,可以认为北朝鲜今后还将继续采取旨在动摇美国的措施。奥巴马政府将因此陷入困境。

奥巴马政府本来一直对北朝鲜采取“战略性忍耐”方针,即只要北朝鲜不在核问题上采取积极姿态,就不与之对话。但从2011年夏季开始却转而采取了对话策略,并达成了这次的美朝协议。这可“说是采取对话路线之后取得的最初成果。但如今又鸡飞蛋打了。

大选在即,奥巴马政府若重新开始与北朝鲜对话,势必将被国内视为对朝软弱而遭到批判。因此可以认为,今后美国方面只能谋求提高制裁效果,加大对朝压力。另一方面,北朝鲜却做出了要以多种方式动摇美国的姿态。北朝鲜外务省17日的声明宣称“坚决全面驳回”安理会声明, “随意采取必要的应对措施”。

不过韩国专家分析认为,虽然朝方表示“可以脱离朝美协议”,但在声明中并未直接谈到恢复铀浓缩及开始核试验问题。有专家认为,这表明北朝鲜“将视美国下一步的动作而定,一张牌一张牌地打,其目的是最终再把美国拉到谈判桌上来”。

美国国防部长帕内塔虽然仍强调 “希望通过外交手段解决”,但美国总体上到底应如何应对北朝鲜,目前显得无计可施。

【韩联社华盛顿4月l8日电】美国众议院外交委员会主席罗斯-莱赫蒂宁18日表示,克林顿、小布什、奥巴马政府都遭到了朝鲜的背叛。罗斯-莱赫蒂宁当天在朝鲜问题听证会上表示,与朝鲜的协商没完没了。

罗斯-菜赫蒂宁表示,“协商-违背-挑衅”的恶性循环周而复始,美国和同盟国家不断做出让步,向朝鲜伸出援手,同朝方达成协议,但最终还是会遭到朝鲜的背叛。
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