With Egypt Transformed, Has the US Lost the Reins over Events in the Middle East?

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 23 November 2012
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Keturah Hetrick.
Israel has always boasted of being the only true democracy in the Middle East, but its ability to walk the path of democracy and stay relatively stable has mainly relied upon the United States' undemocratic methods backing it behind the scenes. Egypt's previous Mubarak dictatorship took its orders from the U.S. for a long time. Internally, it used heavy pressure to control anti-U.S. and anti-Israeli sentiment among Muslims, while externally it sealed the border with Gaza, refusing to aid Palestinians in their war of resistance against Israel.

The U.S. has rarely criticized the dictatorial regimes of other Middle Eastern states, so long as they remain politically stable and are not enemies of Israel. As a result, only Palestine and its regional allies, such as Iran, are open to confrontation with Israel, comprising many different sects, but still divided.

The Arab Spring has changed the game in the Middle East; Israel is no longer the sole democratic state. The Muslim Brotherhood was completely marginalized during the Mubarak era, but in the blink of an eye became the primary political force. Mr. Morsi, Egypt's first democratically-elected president who came into power, belongs to the Muslim Brotherhood.

As the Israeli-Palestinian conflict escalated, Egypt left the sidelines and took the lead in sending its prime minister personally to Gaza to show their support to the Palestinians. Iraq, Lebanon and other Arab states followed suit, and even NATO member Turkey sent its foreign minister to participate. These nations united to appeal for a ceasefire, but their actions were obviously to condemn Israel for escalating the conflict.

Besides Egypt, the Arab states in strong support of the Palestinians now include other truly democratically-elected governments. Their support for the Palestinians is clearly a democratic mandate. This is because they cannot be like Mubarak was in the past and turn a blind eye to the will of the people or use pressure to fight the appeals of the Muslim world to unite and oppose the U.S. and Israeli enemy.

Can the U.S. hold onto the reins in these new circumstances? The direct approach would most likely be to provide more advanced weaponry to Israel, but it would stand at a clear disadvantage in diplomacy and international opinion. Accordingly, its allies in the UK and European Union have explicitly expressed that they do not condone Israel's probable ground-based invasion of Gaza, even though their rhetoric is still pro-Israel. Secretary of State Clinton’s hastening to the Middle East to mediate after accompanying Obama on his visit to three countries in Southeast Asia is not without reason.


  香港《東方日報》11月23日文章 原題:民主從不民主得來 以色列向來自詡中東唯一真正民主國家,但該國得以行民主而相對穩定,背後主要靠美國以不民主方法支持。埃及前穆巴拉克獨裁政權長期對美言聽計從,對內以高壓手段控制穆斯林反美反以情緒,對外封鎖與加薩地區接壤邊界,對巴勒斯坦與以色列抗爭不作支援。

  美國對中東其他國家的專斷政權亦鮮有責難,只要他們保持政局穩定,不與以色列為敵。因此,跟以色列正面衝突者僅是派系繁多、且不團結的巴勒斯坦,及其區內盟友如伊朗。

  阿拉伯之春令中東變天,實行民主的國家已不僅是以色列。埃及的穆斯林兄弟會由穆巴拉克年代被完全邊緣化,搖身一變成為主流政治勢力。當下執政的埃及第一位民選總統穆爾西,正屬穆斯林兄弟會。

  以巴衝突升級,埃及不再像從前坐視不理,而是率先派遣總理親臨加薩地區對巴勒斯坦表示支持;緊隨其後到加沙地區支持的還有伊拉克及黎巴嫩等多個阿拉伯國家的外長,連屬北約成員的土耳其亦派出外長參與。這些國家異口同聲要求衝突雙方停火,但行動明顯是就衝突升級譴責以色列。

  除埃及外,高調支持巴勒斯坦的阿拉伯國家已不乏真正民選政府。他們高調支持巴勒斯坦,顯然是民主使然,因他們不能再如當年的穆巴拉克罔顧民意,高壓對付穆斯林世界一體、合力對抗美以敵對集團的訴求。

  美國能否駕馭新形勢?直接做法可能是為以色列提供更多先進武器,惟在外交上、國際輿論上明顯處於下風,故英國等歐盟盟友,雖口頭支持以色列,但明確表示不認同以色列可能陸路入侵加沙地區。陪同奧巴馬訪問東南亞三國的國務卿希拉里,須急急趕往中東斡旋,乃事出有因。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Germany: Donald Trump’s Failure

Peru: Blockade ‘For Now’

Canada: No, the Fed Was Not ‘Independent’ before Trump

Germany: It’s Not Europe’s Fault

Japan: US President and the Federal Reserve Board: Harmonious Dialogue To Support the Dollar

Topics

Austria: Donald Is Disappointed in Vladimir

Austria: If This Is Madness, There is a Method to It

Germany: It’s Not Europe’s Fault

Germany: Donald Trump’s Failure

Canada: No, the Fed Was Not ‘Independent’ before Trump

Spain: State Capitalism in the US

Mexico: Urgent and Important

Peru: Blockade ‘For Now’

Related Articles

Germany: It’s Not Europe’s Fault

Spain: State Capitalism in the US

Thailand: Appeasing China Won’t Help Counter Trump

India: Will New US Envoy Help to Repair Ties under Threat?

France: Global South: Trump Is Playing into China’s Hands