America’s Attitude toward Diaoyu Dispute Will Embarrass Japan

Published in haiwainet.cn
(China) on 26 September 2013
by Feng Wei (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Diana Xin. Edited by Heather Martin.
According to a Wall Street Journal web article published Sept. 24, China and Japan could learn from the 1992 consensus between mainland China and Taiwan, using verbal statements from each side to get past this impasse over the Diaoyu Islands.

Perhaps the U.S. has already realized that a problem can only be fixed by the one who caused it. In regard to the Diaoyu Islands conflict, the U.S. cannot easily escape blame. According to the National Defense Academy of Japan’s former President Iokibe Makoto, the U.S. can only gain a foothold in East Asia if a moderate amount of friction occurs between the countries of this region. “This ‘block of ice’ [territorial dispute] originated out of U.S. strategy.”

With this in mind, I believe that Japan should carefully consider the United States’ suggestions and advice for mediating this deadlock with China. Due to Japan’s supposed “nationalization” of the Diaoyu Islands, Sino-Japanese relations have fallen to a “freezing point” over the past year or so. The Abe administration has refused China’s call for negotiated settlement of the disputes, insisting instead that “there is no territorial issue with China.” What is really indisputable is that this has caused damage to both Japan’s foreign diplomacy and international trade.

In terms of foreign diplomacy, Abe has expressed, “Only by strengthening our alliance with the U.S. can Japan have real power in foreign affairs.” However, Japan’s reliance on the U.S. cannot help but expose its “foreign dwarf” image. As Japanese media revealed, during the summit meeting between President Obama and President Xi Jinping in June, Abe had to be rushed to the hospital overnight and use the hyperbaric chamber to “decompress” due to mental strain and stress. In regard to economics and trade, Japan’s market share in China is shrinking due to declining amounts of trade. According to a survey recently released by the Japan External Trade Organization, about 70 percent of Chinese consumers interviewed now choose to purchase fewer Japanese products because of the deteriorated Sino-Japanese relations due to the Diaoyu conflict.

Some analysts believe that Japan has been shifting its foreign economic focus to Southeast Asia, but I do not believe this is the case. According to the Japanese Imperial Database (TBD), which holds the most comprehensive database of enterprises in Asia, a total of 14,394 Japanese companies have entered the Chinese market, including 5,951 manufacturing industries. Can more than 10,000 companies simply step out of China? Does the Japanese government really wish to shoulder all these manufacturing and production costs? According to former Speaker of the Japanese House of Representatives Yohei Kono’s views, “No matter what, the Japanese economy cannot develop and grow without Chinese economic growth.” Perhaps these were words of frustration, but regardless, they reflect the truth of the times.

On Sept. 20, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said at the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C. that China was prepared to sit down with Japan, but that “Japan must first admit that the dispute exists. The whole world knows that the dispute exists.”* Wang Yi also expressed that once Japan acknowledges the dispute around the sovereignty of the Diaoyu Islands, China will be ready to discuss Sino-Japanese territorial claims in the South China Sea. However, if Japan continues to stubbornly ignore the Diaoyu conflict that “the whole world knows exists,” then how would it be possible to create an “appropriate atmosphere for conversation”?*

Needless to say, Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s attitude demonstrates both China’s rational approach to settling the Diaoyu dispute, as well as China’s initiative and magnanimity in trying to resolve issues with Japan. Historically, China has always emphasized that “only he who recognizes the intricacies of a situation can act heroically.” Thus, China advises Abe to examine the complexities of the Diaoyu dispute. Otherwise, Japan will suffer great losses in both its foreign diplomacy and international trade.

*Editor’s note: These quotes, accurately translated, could not be verified.


美国《华尔街日报》网站24日刊文称,中日可借鉴大陆和台湾“九二共识”的主张,各自以口头方式以目前钓鱼岛僵局。
或许,美国有识之士已经意识到“解铃还需系铃人”。其实,对于钓鱼岛问题,美国难辞其咎。日本前防卫大学校长五百旗头真曾表示:让东亚国家间出现适度的摩擦,美国才能在此地立足,“这‘冰块’(领土争端)就是因美国战略而产生的。”
对此,笔者认为,美国为缓和中日僵局的建言献策,更加值得日本深思。一年多来,因日方对钓鱼岛实施所谓“国有化”,导致中日关系跌入“冰点”。而安倍政权拒不响应中方以谈判解决争议的呼吁,罔顾现实,坚称“和中国不存在领土问题”,令日本在政治外交和经济贸易方面遭损,已是不争的事实。
政治外交方面,安倍声称:“只有强化日美同盟,日本外交才有实力。”但是,在依仗美国的同时,却不可避免地暴露日本“外交侏儒”的形象。据日媒透露,在6月上旬习奥会时,安倍因精神过度紧张夜赴医院进高压氧舱“减压”。在经济贸易方面,因对华贸易下滑,日本在中国的市场份额也日益缩小。日本贸易振兴机构(JETRO)日前公布的一项问卷调查结果显示,约七成中国消费者表示,受中日关系因钓鱼岛问题恶化的影响,已减少购买日本产品。
有分析认为,日本对外经济正向东南亚转移,但笔者不以为然。据拥有亚洲最大企业资讯数据库的日本帝国数据库(TDB)统计,进入中国的日企总数为14394家,其中制造业5951家。数以万计的企业难道想退就退?难道日本政府愿意承担巨大的替代成本?按照前日本众议院议长河野洋平的说法:“无论如何,日本经济缺少了中国经济是没有发展前景的。”这或许是无奈之词,却不失为识时务之言。
9月20日,中国外交部长王毅在美国布鲁金斯学会强调,中国已准备好坐下来与日本对华,但“日本首先需要承认存在争议,全世界都知道存在争议。”王毅同时表示,一旦日本承认钓鱼岛主权存在争议,中国将准备就其对东中国海的领土主张与日本对话。不过,若日本在“全世界都知道存在争议”的钓鱼岛问题上固执己见,又怎能能否营造“合适的谈话氛围”?
毋庸置疑,王毅外长的表态既显示了中国对处理钓鱼岛问题的理性,也显示了中国愿意和日本解决问题的主动与大气。中国历来强调“识时务者为俊杰”。奉劝安倍首相在钓鱼岛问题上“识时务”,否则将使日本在政治外交经济贸易方面,遭受更大损失。
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