The Western Paradox in the Ukranian Crisis

Published in Sin Chew
(Malaysia) on 7 April 2014
by Yu Ji Seng (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Daniel Chow . Edited by Bora Mici.
To control Russia, the United States has finally opened up its wallet to foot the bill for the Ukrainian crisis. The House of Representatives passed a bill to provide financial aid for Ukraine and its neighboring countries, and sanctions on Russia with a landslide vote last week.

Now that you are thinking about it, although the national interests and goals of the U.S. and Europe are highly similar, they are also paradoxical at the same time.

The result of the referendum in the Crimean Peninsula on joining Russia has become reality, and the tussle between the U.S. and Russia is reminiscent of the Cold War era. The U.S. hopes that bodies like the European Union will cooperate in increasing the pressure on Russia, but with the EU bogged down by the European debt crisis, excluding Germany, overall economic growth can be said to be less than energetic. With the addition of a lack of financial clout, how can the EU possibly stand on the same front as the U.S. and defend Ukrainian territorial sovereignty? The spirit is willing, but the flesh is weak.

Besides, Europe and Russia have always had unique geopolitical relations. Under the push of global economic integration, the fundamental reliance of many European countries on Russian energy is getting stronger, while trade relations between wealthy European and Russian merchants are also far closer than those with American merchants. If Moscow cuts off its natural gas supply and ends trade relations, the European economy will be devastated. And then, will the United States, far on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean, be able to save it?

The U.S. Department of Energy promised in mid-March that it would release as much as 5 million barrels of oil reserves to Europe. This kind of "money and oil supply" is without a doubt an encouragement, so that Europe will "daringly" sanction Russia. In the long term, however, the U.S. economy may also be encumbered.

Although the U.S. and Europe have a common goal and interest in preventing Ukraine from falling back into Russian hands, both have different strategic goals. Europe wants to be on an equal footing with the United States, whereas the U.S. desires total hegemony. The U.S. has "used and controlled"* the EU, just to make Russia’s power decline. If the U.S. loses Europe as an "ally," it will lose its control over both Europe and Russia, and its dominating position will not be secure.

*Editor's note: The quotations in this article, accurately translated, could not be verified.


為了牽制俄國,美國終於掏了腰包為烏克蘭危機“埋單”,眾議院上週壓倒性通過了金援烏克蘭及其周邊國家的法案,並對俄國實施制裁。歐盟也同樣對援烏和制裁俄羅斯採取了一些措施,但力度有所保留。

仔細一想,美歐的國家利益與目標雖高度一致,卻又相互矛盾。

克里米亞半島公投入俄已成事實,美俄之間的角力彷彿又返回冷戰時期。美國希望歐盟等協同向俄羅斯加大施壓,但歐盟已背負歐債危機的包袱,除了德國,整體經濟增長可謂乏力有限,加上錢財“底氣”不足,又怎能和美國站同一陣線,捍衛烏國領土主權?恐怕有心無力。

再說,歐俄之間本來就有著獨特的地緣關係。在全球經濟一體化的推動下,大多歐洲國家基本對俄國能源的依賴越來越強,而歐俄富商之間的貿易關係也比和美國來得更深入密切。若莫斯科中斷天然氣供應和貿易來往,歐洲經濟勢必會受重創,遠在大西洋另一端的美國又救得了嗎?

美國能源部雖於3月中旬承諾,會向歐洲釋放多達500萬桶石油儲備。這般“供錢供油”,無非是要鼓勵歐洲“放膽”制裁俄國。但長期下去,恐怕連美國經濟也受拖累。

美歐雖有要阻止烏克蘭重回俄國手中的共同目標和利益,但兩者的戰略目標不一樣。歐洲想和美國平起平坐,美國則要一家獨大,為了削弱俄國勢力,從而對歐盟進行“利用和控制”。倘若美國失去歐洲這一“盟友”,對歐俄兩方會失去牽制力,獨霸地位也難以保全。
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