Obama Seeks Leverage Against China in Latin America

Published in NFDaily
(China) on 21 April 2009
by Ching Wei Chang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yung-Ting Chang. Edited by Bridgette Blight.
At the Summit of Americas, U.S. President Barack Obama has been overwhelmingly complimented for his friendly approach toward Latin America countries such as Cuba and Venezuela. However, this kind of action is regarded as seeking leverage against China, a recent article published on the China Press USA had written:

“Ever since he swore in, Obama keeps trying to pursue his dream of ‘world president’.”

The Summit of Americas was held on April 17 in the Port of Spain, capital of Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. Before the inauguration, Obama greeted and shook hands with Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez. During the summit, Obama also claimed that the U.S. is seeking a new relationship with Cuba, as well as creating equivalent partnerships with other Latin American countries. His action of offering an olive branch to two long time enemies is not only to cement relations between the U.S. and Latin America countries, but also try to balance the growing influence of China in Latin America.

The newspaper Chosun Ilbo used an expressive title in its April 17 commentary: “Can Obama defeat China and win South America’s heart back?” Newsweek also expressed that Obama is aiming to restore America’s power in its “backyard”. Moreover, Lorenzo Meyer, a researcher from the think tank El Colegio de México also indicated that in Latin America, there are two facts that can never be ignored.

First, that area has been away from the Washington consensus but growing closer to China. Second, if the U.S. wants to recover its influence in Latin America, cooperation with Brazil is definitely the necessary first step to go because Brazil and China are the booming economic bodies of the new world setting. In a nutshell, Obama’s smart diplomacy on Latin America has generally been considered as a strategy aiming at China.

Ever since the Monroe Doctrine implemented in 1823, Latin America has become the “intangible backyard” of the U.S. During George W. Bush’s administration, while anti-terrorism remained the top priority, the U.S. concentrated its army force and resources on Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran and the nuclear issue of North Korea. Therefore, Latin America was neglected. From the last 1950s to the 1990s, the U.S. implemented market economy and U.S. ideology in that area, treating it as their private material supplier. Furthermore, the U.S. laid their hands on Latin America’s interior affairs. These actions led to the area’s antagonistic attitude toward the U.S. While the meteoric Latin America model fell down, many Latin America countries slumped deep in debt. Finally, the suspect of Washington model turns out to be the power of anti-Americanism.

To a certain extent, the eight years of the Bush administration is the time when the U.S. lost its sway in Latin America. At the same time, China and Latin America further cemented their relations. Along with China’s growth and energy strategy adjustment, the Latin America-China interaction on trade, energy cooperation, political and cultural interchange advanced rapidly. Before the APEC summit in 2004, 2005 and the one held in Lima in 2008, Chinese President Hu Jintao visited Latin America. In October 2008, China successfully became the 48th member of the Inter-American Development Bank, headquartered in the U.S. In China's policy paper on Latin America and the Caribbean, issued in last November, it established a strategy frame of comprehensive cooperation between the two sides.

The total trade volume of China-Latin America had reached more than $140 billion in 2008. Besides, the Latin America-China trade has achieved a significant surplus in the mean time, which reverses their deficit with European countries and the US, and alleviates the pain of being stuck in a debt trap.

For Latin American countries, China has become their biggest trade partner, only second to the U.S. Under the threat of financial crisis, with the rise of protectionism in the U.S., trade between China and Latin America has reached its new climax. Recently, China offered $12 billion in development funds to Venezuela, injecting $1 billion in Ecuador for the construction of a water power station, signing a $10 billion oil contract with Brazil and a $10 billion currency swap agreement with Argentina.

China not only has steady energy cooperation and thriving trade volume with some important Latin America countries like Brazil and Latin America, but also a mutual goal such as to improve developing countries’ audience right in the World Trade Organization and other international financial systems. More importantly, the status of Chinese Yuan is getting higher in Argentina and Brazil, as both countries recently claimed that they are considering halting use of the American dollar in trade with China. At last year’s Lima summit, Peru even regarded China as Latin America’s remedy to the financial crisis.

Looking from a geopolitical perspective, the U.S. would be not willing to see other countries putting hands on their “backyard”. However, in the time of globalization, the China-Latin America trade and energy diplomacy function flawlessly. The Obama administration, meaning to walk out from the shadow of Bush’s policy, would naturally take a tempering approach: visiting the Middle East, addressing the Islamic world and reaching out to the leaders of Cuba and Venezuela, finally restoring U.S. influence in the area.

Nevertheless, although both leaders gave friendly responses, closing the rift between the U.S. and Latin America cannot happen overnight. Under the current financial crisis, U.S.-Latin America trade seems weak. This is precisely the chance for China to strengthen their ties with Latin America on trade cooperation.

“If this ultimately translated into political influence, then that’s how the long game is played, in which China seems to be a better player,” said Gregory Chin, a professor at York University in Toronto. Based on his comment, the tug of war between China and the U.S. can be concluded as the U.S. losing its advantage of geopolitics in Latin America, which by now has a strong relationship with China.


在刚结束的美洲国家领导人峰会上,奥巴马对美国与古巴、委内瑞拉等拉美国家的关系作出了十分“积极”的评价,得到一片好评。美国《侨报》近日发表署名文章认为,奥巴马此举是为了拉拢拉美国家以制衡中国。文章摘录如下:

  奥巴马总统就任以来一直在努力实现着他的“世界总统”梦想。

  美洲国家首脑会议17日在特立尼达和多巴哥首都西班牙港召开,开幕前,奥巴马主动同委内瑞拉总统查韦斯打招呼、握手。在峰会发言中,奥巴马称美国要寻求与古巴关系的“新开端”,并与其他美洲国家开创平等伙伴关系的“新时代”。奥巴马向两个“敌人”伸出橄榄枝,被一些政治观察家认为是修补美拉关系,也是抗衡中国在拉美越来越大的影响力。

  对此,韩国《朝鲜日报》17日用了一个耐人寻味的评论标题:《奥巴马能否挽回南美国家亲中国之心?》美国《新闻周刊》也不讳言,“奥巴马就是要重建美国在后院的影响力”。墨西哥智库洛伦索?梅耶尔更是认为,奥巴马在本区域必须正视两个现实:一是该区域已脱离“华盛顿共识”,逐渐向中国靠近;二是要重启在拉美的影响,必须先与“金砖四国”中的巴西合作,而巴西和中国在世界格局中有着更大的利益。一言以蔽之,各界似乎都认为奥巴马在拉美的“巧外交”(Smart diplomacy)充满了针对中国的意味。

  自1823年“门罗主义”推行以来,拉美就成为其他国家不可染指的美国“后院”。布什时期,反恐使得美国的战略精力集中于阿富汗、伊拉克、伊朗和朝核,而忽略了该地区。加之美国在上世纪后40年里,强行在该地区推行美式市场经济和意识形态,并将其当做原料供应地,甚至不惜武力干涉他国内政,使得拉美的逆反心理日重。高速发展的“拉美模式”昙花一现后,很多国家陷入债台高筑的经济危机状态。对“华盛顿模式”的怀疑,逐渐形成反美力量。

  某种程度上,布什的8年是美国失去拉美的8年,但正好是中拉关系突飞猛进的8年。随着中国国力的增强和能源战略的调整,中拉经贸、能源合作和政治文化交流日渐频繁。2004年、2005年和2008年底利马APEC峰会前夕,胡锦涛三次访问拉美。2008年10月,中国成功成为总部设在美国的美洲开发银行的第48个成员国。去年11月,《中国对拉丁美洲和加勒比政策文件》发表,为中拉关系构建了全方位合作的战略框架。2008年,中拉贸易额超过1400亿美元,而且拉美对华贸易略有盈余,一改其与美欧贸易逆差而又大额举债的窘境。

  对拉美国家而言,中国目前已成为仅次于美国的第二大贸易伙伴。金融危机之下,美国保护主义抬头,但中国与该地区的贸易却迎来一个新高潮:不久前,中国向委内瑞拉提供120亿美元开发基金,向厄瓜多尔投资10亿美元建设水电站,同巴西签署了价值100亿美元的长期购买石油合同,与阿根廷签署100亿美元的货币互换协议。

  中国不仅和拉美的重要国家巴西、阿根廷有着长期稳定的能源合作和贸易增量空间,也同这两个重要国家在新的国际体系重建上的共同目标,如增加发展中国家在WTO、国际金融体系中的发言权等。更重要的是,人民币在巴西和阿根廷的影响力日渐上升:两国近日都宣布,在中南美贸易中,将考虑不再使用美元。在去年底的利马峰会上,秘鲁更是将中国视作拉美国家走出金融危机的希望。

  从传统地缘政治看,美国的确不愿意他国深入自己的“后院”,但在全球化时代,中拉经贸和能源外交又无懈可击。刻意颠覆布什政策的奥巴马政府,自然会采取温和方式去收复传统战略要地。访问中东、对伊斯兰世界喊话、向古巴和委内瑞拉的领导人示好,充分说明了这一点。不过,古巴和委内瑞拉的领导人虽也以善意回应,但要化解隔阂却非一蹴而就。更重要的是,金融危机之下美拉经贸合作显得乏力孱弱,而中拉关系正好扎根于深度经贸合作。“如果最终演变为政治影响力,这便是持久战的意义。中国比美国更善于打持久战。”多伦多约克大学格雷戈里教授的这一评语,正好可将中美在拉美的战略博弈概括为:美国在传统地缘上的影响力逐渐式微,而中拉合作前景广阔。
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  1. Latin America has to be insane to do business with the USA. America can’t be trusted. America still trains murderers at the school of the Americas to be unleashed on the people of latin America. Lets hope our Brothers and Sisters in Latin America start doing business with China and Russia and have an embargo on America. Long live the Revolution.