Listen Cautiously When It Comes to the US Presidential Election

Published in World Journal
(China) on 2 August 2016
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Kartoa Chow. Edited by Rachel Pott.
Following Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump’s unrestrained style of berating others and exaggerating, the typically extremely cautious U.S. media and columnists could fall into a trap of misreporting or wrongly criticizing the proceedings. For example, the recent hacking of Democrats’ emails by Russian government hackers and Trump’s reaction have led the public to widely criticize Trump. At first glance, this should not be a big deal, but after careful analysis, it was discovered that approximately half of the criticisms or statements were based on misinformation. In particular, some believe Trump exacerbated the situation by “inviting” Russians to again hack Hillary Clinton’s emails, which was a complete fabrication.

Not to be partial to Trump, but if one is to carefully listen to, observe and analyze the recording of the press conference that day, Trump was only declaring that Russia should tell their hackers to search through the already hacked emails for a trace of any of Clinton’s over 30,000 “missing” emails, and if they are able to find them, to please bring them forward. He did not suggest or “invite” the Russians to yet again hack personal documents or emails or those from any U.S. institutions. Perhaps one can stretch to say his action was “equivalent to encouraging” the Russians toward such actions, but in fact, they are certainly different and cannot be equated.

Legally or politically, the importance of emails is debatable. For example, despite however much time the FBI wasted, over 30,000 emails are still nowhere to be found. Now, with this possible source of information, shouldn’t a formal request be made to the Russian government, rather than having Trump, who lacks any official credentials, meddle? However, having the FBI ask the Russian KGB for help would be too farfetched and disgraceful.

According to U.S. constitutional law, illegally obtained evidence is inadmissible in court. Outside the point of view of the law, perhaps it might not a bad thing for information to be available that could publicly clarify the facts, allowing American voters to know the background details, and allowing everyone to vote – whether for Trump or Clinton – clearly and willingly. Because, up until now, Clinton’s integrity, even after the Democratic National Convention, remains nebulous.

For the next three months, regardless of the campaign advertisements, political press releases, official debates and other events, there will be many statements and reports. Voters must be more vigilant and know what the candidates have and have not said. These two candidates, when it comes to their manners of speaking and the content of their speeches, are tremendously different. One is disingenuous and brash, rotten inside and out. At this rate, we may need to do to their words what we do when shopping for jeans on Hong Kong’s Li Yuen Street – discount them by 80 to 90 percent. But if there is some merit in the 10 to 20 percent, it might still be worth paying a little attention.

The other candidate is a classic example of standard Washington political rhetoric. Based on many years of close observation, many extravagant declarations and promises also need to be discounted as the content can be found to be full of holes if carefully analyzed, and perhaps with many “provisos.” This is a very important point for Bernie Sanders’ supporters, because Clinton said many of Sanders’ reform issues have been incorporated into her election platform. Distinguishing between what is true and what is an embellishment to gain votes will require analytical insight.

Opinions from known commentators are similar, especially in recent years as the two parties’ differences and disagreements have continued to grow. Some biased commentators have even, intentionally or not, put words that have not been said or words they themselves wanted said into others’ mouths. As a result, everyone must pay attention. In particular, attention must be paid to some issues or positions with subtle implications for the Chinese people, for the early prevention or discussion of strategies to avoid our vital interests being unfairly targeted, which, at that point would be too late.


隨著共和黨總統候選人川普信口開河式地罵人和誇口,連帶使一向極謹慎的美國媒體和專欄作家,都可能墮入有些報導不實或批判錯誤的陷阱。譬如,最近為了俄國政府駭客竊取民主黨電郵事件和川普的反應,使大家一致對他大加撻伐。這本來不打緊,但筆者略留意分析後,發現其實大概有一半批評或發言都是根據錯誤報導;尤其是有人認為川普更變本加厲,「邀請」俄人再駭喜萊莉的電郵,更是無中生有。

筆者並非袒護川普,但假如仔細重複聽、看並分析他那天記者會的錄像,他只是向俄國喊話,叫他們在已駭得的電郵中尋找有沒有喜萊莉那3萬多通「失去的」電郵;如果找到的話,請拿出來。他並沒有建議、更沒有「邀請」俄人再接再厲向美國任何機構或個人駭更多文件或電郵。也許有人會勉強說,他這個講法「等於鼓勵」俄人再去幹這勾當,其實這有相當分別,並不可同日而語。

至於電郵,在法律上或政治上有何重要性,可說見仁見智。例如聯邦調查局(FBI)費了多少歲月,就是找不到那3萬多條電郵。現在既然有這個可能資料來源,是不是應正式向俄政府提出要求,而不用沒有官方身分的川普來越俎代庖了。可是要FBI向俄國KGB求助,是多麼諷刺而又丟臉的事。

照美國法律,以非法手段取得的證據,在法庭上無效。不過在法律角度以外,假如有資料而能公開澄清事實,讓美國選民知道底細,讓大家投票時無論投給川普或喜萊莉,都投得清清楚楚,心甘情願,未嘗不是一件美事。因為直到現在,喜萊莉的誠信度,即使在民主黨全代會閉幕後,還在一團雲霧裡。

因此聯想到今後三個多月,無論競選廣告、政見發表會、正式辯論等場合,都會有許多發言和報導,選民們都須提高警覺,知道他們講些什麼,或沒講什麼。這兩位候選人講話方式和內容,真是有天壤之別。一方是大言不慚,話語粗暴;不但是敗絮其中,簡直連金玉其外都沒有。這樣看來,可能我們要像去香港利源東西街買牛仔褲一樣,給他說的話打個一二折。不過假如在這一二成中有可取之處,我們也不妨稍為留意。

至於另一方候選人,則是典型華盛頓官場標準得體的修辭。據筆者多年來近水樓台觀察,很多富麗堂皇的宣言或承諾,假如仔細分析,可能會發覺內容空洞,也許有很多「但書」,因而也須打折扣。這一點對桑德斯的擁護者很重要;因為喜萊莉說,很多桑德斯要改革項目都已納入她競選政綱。到底哪些是真的,哪些只是點綴性而來套取選票,就要好好研究洞察了。

至於聽看名家的評論也一樣,尤其美國近年來黨派之間的分野和矛盾,越來越深。有些戴了有色眼鏡的時評家,更有意無意間把人家沒講的話、或是把自己要講的話,硬要栽種到別人口裡去。因此大家更要注意,尤其有些議題或立場,對我們華人也許有微妙的言外之意,更要及早提防及商討對策,以免我們切身利益遭受不公平衝擊時,已悔之晚矣。
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