America Is Not Reliable; Only China and Russia Are True Friends

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 4 July 2017
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yuzhi Yang. Edited by Christine Murrison.
Chinese President Xi Jinping conducted a state visit to Russia on July 3, followed by a state visit to Germany and the Group of 20 summit in Hamburg. Before President Xi’s trip to Russia, he had a phone conversation with President Donald Trump.

The Chinese leader talking on the phone to Washington D.C. and flying to Moscow on the same day makes one consider the China-U.S. relationship and the China-Russia relationship at the same time. Looking back to all the China-U.S. conflicts in the previous week and the long-term stability of the China-Russia relationship makes one wonder just how many people in China are thinking that America is not reliable, and that China and Russia are true friends.

The total strategic partnership between China and Russia is real in every way, and the two countries’ strategic mutual trust has reached a high level. The two leaders’ visits to each other’s country are as familiar as visiting relatives. President Xi has already visited Moscow six times since he became president, and there have been 21 Xi-Putin meetings. If they were just ordinary friends, living as far apart as Beijing and Moscow, would they have managed 21 meetings in five years?

Both China and Russia are proactive in their attitude toward the strategic partnership, not just for some temporary goal: Both countries see the relationship with the other as a strategic ballast stone, and the China-Russia strategic partnership is a crucial diplomatic asset for both countries.

Whether it’s Beijing or Moscow, developing and managing the relationship with Washington is critical, and keeping it stable is also a challenge for both countries.

America has a very strong anti-Russia sentiment, and this anti-Russia sentiment has almost become “politically correct” in America, which has likely cancelled President Trump’s hope of improving the U.S.-Russia relationship. American strategic thinkers are also more and more extreme in their ideas about China, believing that American policies toward China in the past few decades, which were about acceptance and integration, are a failure, and advocating a harsher attitude toward China.

Washington has never given up on “changing” China, and it has a complicated mindset toward China. America wants to maximize its benefit in China-U.S. economic partnerships but also curb China strategically, to ensure America’s absolute security advantage.

Meanwhile, America is also conflicted toward Russia; it wants to squeeze Russia’s strategic space with NATO expanding east but doesn’t want to appear confrontational. The U.S.-Russia relationship is always full of variables, with indecipherable beginnings and endings.

Of course, the China-U.S. relationship also has some dimensions that the China-Russia relationship doesn’t have. With its enormous scope, the complexity of the China-U.S. relationship could be seen as the flip side of its richness. The China-U.S. trade relationship is one of the world’s largest bilateral trading relationships, bringing concrete benefits to both countries and providing a special tenacity underneath the superficial China-U.S. tension.

We shouldn’t demonize the China-U.S. relationship, and let the conflicts smolder, nor have unrealistic fantasies about it. The strategic problems between China and the U.S. are very profound and the answers take a long time to find. The two great countries need to gather and solidify more mutual benefits in managing their conflicts, in fostering a strong hope and building a pragmatic basis for mutual advancement.

China and Russia should keep going forward as constant strategic partners. The China-Russia relationship could be said to be the most important strategic balancing element in the world today. The continuously enriching and diversifying China-Russia relationship is already a process both societies actively partake in, something about which the public in both countries likely has no doubts.

The more balanced the world becomes, the more proactive the attitude toward interwoven friendships between great countries. The longer there is peace, the more partnerships there are, and the more likely they become habits for the great countries and the world at large. Perhaps one day Washington will feel bored with coming to the South China Sea to play geopolitical games and play the “Taiwan” card; maybe by then America’s energy will be focused on taking care of its own affairs.




中国国家主席习近平3日启程,对俄罗斯进行国事访问。之后他还将对德国进行国事访问,并出席在汉堡举行的G20峰会。启程访俄之前,习近平主席与美国总统特朗普通了电话。

  同是3日这一天,中国领导人先是接了来自华盛顿的电话,然后飞抵莫斯科,难免让公众把中美关系与中俄关系往一起联系。想想最近一周中美之间发生的那些波折,再看看中俄关系长时间的平稳,中国不知道会有多少人忍不住想:美国还是靠不住,中俄才是真正的朋友。

  中俄全面战略协作伙伴关系是名副其实的,两国的战略互信已经达到很高水平,领导人交往就像串亲戚一样。习主席就任以来已是第6次访问俄罗斯,习普会已经是第21次。想想看,就是普通的两位朋友,如果远隔北京莫斯科之遥,如何能够做到在不满5年之内会面21次?

  中俄发展彼此战略合作的态度都很积极,不是为了某个临时目的,两国都把与对方的关系当做了面对复杂世界的战略压舱石。中俄全面战略协作伙伴关系已是这两个国家极为重要的外交资产。

  无论对北京还是对莫斯科,发展、处理好同华盛顿的关系都被视为至关重要。而保持平稳的对美关系又对两国十分困难。

  美国国内存在很强的反俄情绪,反俄差不多成了美国的“政治正确”。这使得特朗普总统上任之前改善美俄关系的想法基本告吹了。美国战略界对中国的认知也越来越偏激,认为美过去几十年对华接触融合政策已经失败的论调不断蔓延,对华强硬主张愈发抬头。

  华盛顿至今没有放弃“改造”中国的想法,它制定对华政策的心态十分复杂,既要通过中美经济合作促成美国利益的最大化,又要在战略上制约中国,确保美方在安全上的绝对优势。

  美方对莫斯科的态度也长期很纠结,它通过北约不断东扩挤压俄战略空间,又不想与俄战略摊牌,美俄关系总是充满变数,既搞不清起点在哪,也让人看不到终点。

  当然了,中美关系也有与中俄关系不好比的一些维度。中美关系的体量十分庞大,它的复杂性也可以看成与丰富性是同一硬币的两面。中美贸易是全球最大的双边贸易之一,它给两国社会带来了实实在在的利益,因而中美表面紧张之下始终保持着强有力的特殊韧性。

  对中美关系既不可冲动地往坏了想,任由摩擦发酵,也不可对它抱不切实际幻想。中美之间的战略问题很深,答案只能慢慢寻找。两个大国需要在管控分歧过程中不断汇集和巩固更多共同利益,形成彼此相向而行的强大愿望和现实基础。

  中俄应当朝着全天候的战略伙伴关系继续前行,中俄关系几乎可以说是当今世界最重要的战略平衡元素。不断夯实、丰富中俄关系已然成为两国社会都积极参与的进程,关于这一点两国公众大概都不该再有任何犹豫。

  世界越平衡,大国交叉发展友好关系的态度就会越积极,和平久了,合作多了,它们就会成为大国和整个世界的习惯。也许有一天华盛顿会对跑到南海来搞地缘政治和打所谓“台湾牌”感到无聊,那时美国人的精力可能就会真正转移到“把自己事情做好”上去了。
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