Trial or Campaign?

Published in El Periódico
(Spain) on 19 January 2020
by Rafael Vilasanjuan (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Lena Greenberg. Edited by Elizabeth Cosgriff.
Trump’s strategy is to turn the impeachment into his best campaign.

The final proceeding, the countdown to decide the future of President Donald Trump, is beginning in the Senate. Despite new evidence emerging every day about how he took advantage of his position to discredit his rivals by blackmailing other countries, the only thing that’s certain is that the process will not be successful and that the upper chamber of the world’s leading democracy will not remove Trump from the White House. There’s no chance; there has to be a two-thirds majority in favor of convicting him. Only a profound division, or indeed the collapse of the Republican majority, could result in a judgment that the president’s actions were illegal, and remove him from office. But that’s not going to happen, much less nine months before the election.

Trump knows this, and that’s why he’s decided to appear at the Davos summit like a fighter, as if nothing were going on while the impeachment sessions get started. Impeachment and removal are not judicial proceedings, they are a political process with a legal basis, which is ultimately decided by the votes of 100 senators. We know what the results will be: The Democrats will vote in favor of, and the Republicans will vote against, accepting the evidence provided to Congress.

The country is going to become further divided. The trial will not be decided in the Senate; it’s taking place in the streets, which is all that’s at stake now. The public knows everything that has taken place, and the media will cover every single detail. That’s why Trump has hired two experts who know well that the battle will be fought in the media.

For his defense team in the country’s highest profile trial in living memory, he has recruited one of the main agitators in the impeachment of Bill Clinton and one of the lawyers who led the defense of football star O.J. Simpson, accused of murder. While all his Democratic rivals have begun their campaign in a less emotional vein, the president knows that what’s at stake is not the Senate’s decision, but rather public opinion. His strategy is to turn the impeachment into his best campaign.


¿Juicio o campaña?

Empieza en el Senado el proceso final, la cuenta atrás para decidir el futuro del presidente Donald Trump. A pesar de nuevas evidencias que irrumpen cada día sobre cómo se benefició del cargo para descalificar a sus rivales haciendo chantaje a terceros países, lo único cierto es que el proceso no saldrá adelante y que la Cámara alta de la primera democracia del mundo no sacará a Donald Trump de la Casa Blanca. No hay ninguna posibilidad, se necesitan dos tercios de votos a favor de procesarle. Solo una división profunda, mas bien una debacle de la mayoría republicana, podría juzgar ilegal el comportamiento del presidente y apartarle del poder. Pero eso no va a suceder y menos a nueve meses de las elecciones.

Trump lo sabe, por eso ha decidido mostrarse como gato panza arriba por los salones de la cumbre de Davos, como si nada pasara mientras se inician las sesiones. El 'impeachment' no es un juicio, es un proceso político con base jurídica, que al final se decide con el voto de un centenar de senadores. Conocemos el resultado, los demócratas votarán a favor y los republicanos en contra de las pruebas que el Congreso aporta.

El país se va a dividir aun mas. El juicio no se decidirá en el Senado, está en la calle y eso es ahora lo único que está en juego. El público conoce todo lo que ha sucedido y los medios no van a dejar detalle sin cubrir. Por eso Donald Trump ha incluido a dos expertos que saben bien que la batalla se va a librar en los medios.

Para su defensa ha reclutado a uno de los principales hostigadores del 'impeachment' contra Bill Clinton y a uno de los abogados que dirigió la defensa de la estrella de fútbol americano OJ Simpson, acusado de asesinato, en el juicio mas mediático que se recuerda en EE.UU. Mientras todos sus rivales demócratas han empezado la campaña sin grandes pasiones, el presidente sabe que lo que está en juego no es la decisión del Senado, sino la opinión publica. Su apuesta es convertir el impeachment en su mejor campaña.
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