Is COVID-19 the End of Trump?

Published in El Financiero
(Mexico) on 20 March 2020
by Rafael Fernández de Castro M. (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jane Vogel. Edited by Elizabeth Cosgriff.
President Donald Trump has been shrinking in real time, according to New York Times White House correspondents Peter Baker and Maggie Haberman: “While he presents himself as the nation’s commanding figure, Mr. Trump has essentially become a bystander.”

Conservative writer Peter Wehner argues in The Atlantic that the pandemic and its consequences are already the end of Trump’s presidency (“The Trump Presidency is Over”).

Dan Baltz, the shrewd analyst from The Washington Post, notes that Trump’s first address to the nation about COVID-19 on March 11, when he finally took responsibility for managing the pandemic, could not have gone worse. The markets collapsed when they heard that the leader had no idea how to confront a crisis that was allowed to emerge.

Even Trump’s friend and frequent spokesman, Tucker Carlson, the celebrity host from Fox News, pointed out that the crisis could not be dismissed.

Trump, emboldened after winning acquittal on impeachment charges and already in full campaign mode, spent January and February attacking Democrats and journalists as “enemies of the people” who were exaggerating the danger of the coronavirus, saying they did not want to acknowledge that “the country was better than ever.”

In its failure to change, the White House has been a disaster in the face of this crisis. First, Trump named his secretary of health and human services to coordinate the effort. Subsequently, Vice President Mike Pence, and in the past few days, Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, have tried putting out fires through last-minute alliances with the private sector.

But Kushner’s father-in-law ruined one interesting initiative with his big mouth. A Google company was developing a website so that every American could find nearby locations that offered coronavirus testing. The company immediately refuted Trump’s claims about the Google project, saying it was just a pilot program for the city of San Francisco. Moreover, the United States Is very short on tests because the administration has always fought with anyone who indicated that it was necessary to prepare for the worst.

Furthermore, the White House lacks an essential instrument for confronting the pandemic. Upon his arrival in the Oval Office, Trump eliminated the global health security team established within the National Security Council. This was a high-level group of health specialists who were a bridge between the health experts and those who plan and implement national security.

Irresponsible

COVID-19 haunts Trump because of how irresponsible he is. On March 7, he held a dinner for Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. It turned out that this president’s spokesman had tested positive for the virus. After some stalling, the president reluctantly got tested and the results were negative.

I am a pessimist. I’m not sure if COVID-19 and the suffering that it will cause in our neighboring country will be the end of the Trump presidency. The electoral system is so bizarre and obsolete that Trump could lose the popular vote by many millions and end up victorious next Nov. 3. This is because everything indicates he is going to win the so-called swing states; in other words, those five or six states that hover between identifying as Democrat or Republican.

COVID-19 has already destroyed the myth that Trump is a statesman who has returned the country to greatness and created the highest level of prosperity in history.

Last week, the markets collapsed and the week finished by losing all the gains amassed during Trump’s term. Neither the conservatives nor the liberals will forgive a substantial loss of their wealth that, for many, is in the form of retirement funds. The coming rise in unemployment will directly affect Trump’s base: white, poorly educated and rural.

But the worst is yet to come. People suffering. Hospitals overflowing. Homeless people dying in the streets.

COVID-19 has also unmasked Trump. As Wehner predicted in 2016, “Mr. Trump’s virulent combination of ignorance, emotional instability, demagogy, solipsism and vindictiveness would do more than result in a failed presidency; it could very well lead to national catastrophe.”

The COVID-19 pandemic is already the American tragedy of the 21st century.


El presidente Donald Trump se ha ido reduciendo de tiempo real según los corresponsales de la Casa Blanca del The New York Times, Peter Baker y Maggie Haberman; “Si bien se presenta a sí mismo como el líder de la nación, Trump se ha convertido esencialmente en un espectador”.
El presidente Donald Trump se ha ido reduciendo de tiempo real según los corresponsales de la Casa Blanca del The New York Times, Peter Baker y Maggie Haberman; “Si bien se presenta a sí mismo como el líder de la nación, Trump se ha convertido esencialmente en un espectador”.
El escritor conservador Peter Wehner en The Atlantic argumenta que la pandemia y sus consecuencias son ya el final de la presidencia de Trump ('The Trump Presidency is Over').
Dan Baltz, el agudo analista polítco de The Washington Post, señala que no podía haberle salido peor su primer discurso ante la nación el pasado 11 de marzo, cuando finalmente dio la cara a la pandemia. Los mercados se desmoronaban al escuchar que el mandatario no tenía idea de cómo enfrentar una crisis que se dejó llegar.
Incluso, el amigo y a menudo vocero de Trump, Tucker Carlson, el conductor estelar de Fox News, señaló que no había que descartar la crisis.
Trump, envalentonado por haber sido absuelto del impeachmnet y ya en plena modalidad de campaña electoral, se pasó enero y febrero arremetiendo contra los demócratas y los periodistas “enemigos del pueblo” que exageraban la peligrosidad del coronavirus. No quieren reconocer que el “país está mejor que nunca”.
La Oficina de la Casa Blanca para no variar ha sido un desastre ante la crisis. Primero, Trump nombró a su secretario de Salud para coordinador del esfuerzo. Después al vicepresidente Pence y en los últimos días su yerno, Jared Kusnher, ha tratado de hacerla de bombero y buscar alianzas de última hora con el sector privado.
Pero su suegro echó a perder una interesante iniciativa por bocón. Una empresa de Google estaba desarrollando un sitio web para que todos los estadounidenses supieran en qué lugar cerca de su localidad podrían hacerse la prueba del coronavirus. Inmediatamente la empresa salió a desmentir el mandatario. Era apenas un piloto para la ciudad de San Francisco, California. Más aún, Estados Unidos está muy corto de pruebas pues la administración siempre combatió a quienes señalaban que había que prepararse para lo peor.
Más aún, la Casa Blanca adolecía del instrumento esencial para hacerle frente a la pandemia. Al llegar a la Oficina Oval, Trump eliminó al Consejo de Salud del Consejo de Seguridad Nacional. Un grupo de especialistas en salud de alto nivel que era el puente entre los expertos en salud y los que planean e instrumentan la seguridad nacional.
Irresponsable
El Covid-19 rondó a Trump por irresponsable. El 7 de marzo le dio una cena a Jair Bosonaro, presidente de Brasil. Y resulta que el vocero de este dio positivo ante la prueba. La Casa Blanca renuentemente y con dilación le hizo la prueba al mandatario, quien salió negativo.
Soy pesimista. No estoy seguro que el Covid-19 y el sufrimiento que causará en nuestro vecino país será el fin de la presidencia de Trump. El sistema electoral es tan bizarro y obsoleto que Trump podría perder por muchos millones de sufragios el voto popular y alzarse con la victoria el próximo 3 de noviembre, pues todo indica que va a ganar en los llamados estados columpio, es decir, en los cinco o seis que pueden definirse demócrata o republicano.
Lo que ya aniquiló el Covid-19 es el mito que Trump es un estadista que le ha regresado grandeza al país y que ha creado la mayor prosperidad de la historia.
En la última semana los mercados se derrumbaron y terminaron con toda la riqueza que se había acumulado en los tres años de trumpismo. Ni los conservadores y menos los liberales le perdonarán una quita sustancial de su riqueza, en muchos casos de sus fondos de jubilación. El desempleo que se viene afectará directamente a las bases de Trump, blancos poco educados y en poblaciones rurales.
Pero aún viene lo peor. El sufrimiento de la gente. Los hospitales rebasados. Quienes adolecen de casa muriendo en las calles.
Lo que también ha logrado el Covid-19 es desenmascarar a Trump. Como predijo Peter Wehner en 2016, “es una virulenta combinación de ignororancia, inestabilidad emocional, demagogo, mentiroso y vengativo que representará más que una presidencia fallida; bien podría resultar en una catástrofe nacional.”
La pandemia del Covid-19 es ya la tragedia estadounidense del siglo XXI.

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