The Radicalization of Trump

Published in Milenio
(Mexico) on 2 June 2020
by Leopoldo Gómez (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Tom Walker. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
The pandemic has enormously complicated Donald Trump’s reelection plans. Opinions about his management of the crisis are becoming more negative, at the same time that the economy is collapsing. But the president is not going to abandon the fight. On the contrary, he keeps pushing forward and is betting on polarization more than ever.

Trump needs to retain the support of his social base. But he also needs to mobilize voters who did not turn out in 2016, but who, on the basis of their nature—white men, not well educated—are closer to him than they are to Biden.

To that end, the president has revived his attacks on Barack Obama and his critiques of “Sleepy Joe,” who he has repeatedly tried to link to China, his favorite adversary in the international arena. And just this past Monday, Trump exploded in opposition to governors for not “dominating” those who are condemning police brutality and racism.

Far from calming things down, Trump used a phrase from the 1960s with racist overtones: “When the looting starts, the shooting starts.” It is crucial for the president that the election is not about his management, but is an emotional outburst.

Even though the polls give Biden the lead, they also show that Trump’s rival does not generate much enthusiasm. While more than half of the president’s followers say they are very enthusiastic, only a quarter of Biden’s followers say the same.

This is the context in which we have to understand Trump’s fury against Twitter for the warnings imposed on his tweets. When he needs to stir up passions even more, there cannot be anyone standing in his way, much less those who have been permitting him to carry a message to his base that is often out of touch with reality.

Like any good populist, Trump needs an unmediated vehicle that rewards the simplicity of the message and fuels passions. In the polarization on social media today, in the shouting match to make their positions known, it is precisely the one who yells the loudest who has the upper hand. And frequently, that person is the president.

It is an uphill fight for Trump, but he cannot be counted out. Rather, we are waiting for him to radicalize himself completely, for the sake of staying in power.


La radicalización de Trump

La pandemia ha complicado enormemente la reelección de Donald Trump. Las evaluaciones sobre el manejo de la crisis se vuelven más negativas, al tiempo que la economía se desploma. Pero el presidente no va a abandonar la batalla. Por el contrario, se echa para adelante y apuesta más que nunca a la polarización.

Trump necesita retener el apoyo de su base social y movilizar a quienes en 2016 no salieron a votar, pero que por sus características —hombres blancos, de baja escolaridad— están más cerca de él que de Biden.

Para ello, el presidente revivió sus ataques hacia Obama y sus críticas a “Sleepy Joe”, a quien una y otra vez trata de vincular con China, su enemigo preferido en el terreno internacional. Y apenas este lunes reventó en contra de los gobernadores por no “dominar” a quienes condenan la brutalidad policiaca y el racismo.

Lejos de calmar los ánimos, Trump rescata en Twitter una frase con tintes raciales de los años sesenta: “Cuando empiezan los saqueos, comienzan los balazos”. Para el presidente es crucial que la elección no sea un referendo sobre su gestión sino un arrebato de pasiones.

Si bien las encuestas dan ventaja a Biden, también muestran que el contrincante de Trump no genera mucho entusiasmo. Mientras más de la mitad de los simpatizantes del presidente dicen estar muy entusiasmados, solo una cuarta parte de los seguidores de Biden opina lo mismo.

Es este el contexto en el que debe entenderse la furia de Trump en contra de Twitter por las advertencias impuestas a dos de sus tuits. Cuando más necesita avivar pasiones, nadie se puede cruzar en su camino, mucho menos quienes le han permitido llegar directamente a su base con un mensaje frecuentemente alejado de la realidad.

Como buen populista, Trump necesita un vehículo sin árbitros que premie la simplicidad del mensaje y atice las pasiones. En la polarización que se vive en las redes, en el duelo de alaridos para dirimir posiciones, lleva las de ganar precisamente quien grita más fuerte. Y esa persona suele ser el presidente.

Trump va cuesta arriba, pero no hay que darlo por derrotado. Más bien habrá que esperar a que se radicalice sin límite con tal de mantener el poder.
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