The Bedrock Upholding the US Self-Correction Myth Has Collapsed

Published in Global Times
(China ) on 24 September 2022
by Cheng Yawen (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Andrew Engler. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
Across the U.S., there is a palpable increase in discussions on the eventuality of a civil war, and the topic has even entered serious academic debate. Some observers believe the U.S. has already descended into a “political civil war.” Society's being torn apart and the intensification of the already polarized political parties continues year-over-year with no sign of slackening in sight.

Can the much-touted resilience of the “self-correcting” U.S. system still live up to its reputation? Indeed, over the past century, the U.S. crossed a minefield of domestic and foreign challenges, such as the Great Depression, the Civil Rights Movement, the Vietnam War and the Cold War. In the end, economic crises, social turmoil and political confrontation were overcome. It was during World War II that the U.S. transformed itself from a great power into a superpower. In the 1980s, the Reagan Revolution restored the economy, now completely free of the costs of the Vietnam War quagmire. The half-century Cold War clash between systems saw the U.S. emerge victorious. These events have been stitched together into a narrative about the unique advantages of the U.S. system. The narrative has garnered recognition across the globe, and even many foreign observers do not believe the U.S. is currently in a state of political decay; despite the intensifying domestic political antagonism of recent years, the self-correction mechanisms are expected to tide the country over yet again.

This “self-correction” refers to the ability of institutions to correct previous errors and enact institutional reform. Is this unique to the U.S.? Obviously not. All countries that survive over an extended period will encounter crises and commonly enact self-correction in response. However, the U.S. considers its self-correction exceptional, with heralded key differences due to the U.S. constitutional system, democracy, the rule of law and the mechanism of checks and balances. The achievements of the “superior U.S. system” are regarded as difficult for other countries to match.

Therefore, there are political goals behind this linguistic framing; it can stimulate American pride and is nationally unifying. The theory that the U.S. has strong self-corrective capabilities was a retroactively established myth to maintain global supremacy. This was a myth with little grounding in reality. For example, why didn't the U.S. apply its “superior U.S. system" in the 1860s to prevent the brutal Civil War?

The previous ability of the system to correct errors had two important preconditions: First, since the founding of the republic until the beginning of this century, the political system, characterized by a blend of elite republicanism and the wisdom of an electoral democracy, was dominated by white immigrants from Europe and their descendants. Also, the mainstream culture was Anglo-Saxon. The U.S. had not yet truly experienced the challenges of mixed cultures, religions and racial composition. Second, since the late 19th century, the U.S. had been the world’s largest industrialized country. Industrialization helped resolve unemployment and the bountiful wealth created allowed for the implementation of an extensive welfare system, which resolves conflicts of interest between different groups. This new social contract won the citizenry’s dedicated support. Universal suffrage, President Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal and President Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society were all able to be realized because of the surplus generated by industrialization. Redistribution of the new wealth temporarily resolved sharp political antagonism.

A predominantly white population with a predominantly Protestant faith and culture ensured that the “Americans” of the past were, broadly speaking, an emotional community. The division of wealth generated by industrialization by these "Americans" was among a community of interests. Only with an emotional connection and common interests were the “Americans” able to form a political community. This was the bedrock upon which the U.S. was able to successfully engage in error correction and institutional repair, but that bedrock has now collapsed.

In his farewell address George Washington said, “Citizens by birth or choice, of a common country, that country has a right to concentrate your affections.” The problem now is that the many among the new multitudes coming today do not even meet the basic standards of learning English and integrating into the mainstream culture. The sense of commonality between those coming in and traditional “Americans” is increasingly faint.

The demographic structure has undergone tremendous changes since the turn of the century. The latest census data show that although traditional whites still account for about 70% of Americans over the age of 55, they only account for half of Americans ages 18 to 34. Among minors, whites are already below 50%. More crucially, the proportion of Protestants among the immigrants and the new demographics is decreasing, while the proportion of other faiths and non-English speaking population is ever increasing. The changes in the demographic structure and cultural beliefs have ruptured the system that was established when the U.S. first formed a political community. These anxieties are exactly what the late American political scientist Samuel Huntington wrote in his “Who Are We? The Challenges to America's National Identity.”

Furthermore, since the late 20th century, with the development of the global economy, the U.S. has gradually lost its previous spectacular economic and technological dominance. There are two features of the U.S. that are corrosive to society and economy: It is both no longer the world's largest industrialized country and now it is the world’s largest virtual economy. These two features also make it difficult to retain global hegemony. As economic inequality in the U.S. increases and different classes and regions are further disassociated, there is no longer a citizenry sharing in benefits generated by a common nation. With common sentiment weakened, national identity and domestic governance face major challenges. Under the new conditions it is more difficult for the U.S. system to once again find a resolution through its “self-correction.”

The author is a professor at the School of International Relations and Public Affairs, Shanghai International Studies University


程亚文:美国自我纠错“神话”基础已经坍塌

关于美国有可能发生“内战”的议论,近段时间在美国舆论中明显增多甚至成为一个严肃的学术话题。一些观察者认为,美国事实上已经陷入“政治内战”。美国内部的社会撕裂以及政党极化这些年来持续加剧,短时间内也看不到转向平缓的趋势。

以往广为流传的“美国具有强大的自我纠错和制度修复能力”,还能应验吗?过去一个多世纪,美国先后经历大萧条、民权运动、越南战争、美苏冷战等内政外交上的重大冲击,发生过经济危机、社会动荡和政治对立,但最后都得以克服挑战,走出雷区。二战期间,美国从危机中实现由一般性大国向世界性大国的转变;20世纪80年代,“里根革命”引导美国经济复苏、彻底走出越战泥潭;美国还在长达半个世纪的“制度竞赛”中以胜利者姿态走出冷战。凡此种种,使美国舆论中逐渐形成一种关于“美国具有独特制度优势”的叙事框架。这种叙事还漂洋过海被其他地方一些人接受和认可。面对近年来美国内部不断强化的政治对立,不少外部观察者就认为这并不意味着美国已经出现“政治衰败”,美国的纠错机制和制度修复能力将会使其再次渡过难关。

这种“自我纠错和制度修复能力”,是指对自身的错误选择做出纠正并进行相关制度革新的能力。是否只有美国才具有这样的国家能力呢?显然不是。只要一个国家长时间连续存在,总会遇到这样那样的危机性事态,也通常都会表现出一定的自我纠错和制度修复能力。然而,美国政治语境中的“自我纠错和制度修复能力”,并不等同于其他国家的类似能力。它所标榜的一个关键区别在于,美国的这种能力根植于所谓“美国特性”,是以其宪政体系、民主和法治制度、权力制衡机制等密切相关的一种能力生成,这是美国“制度优越性”的表现,被认为是其他国家难以具备的。

因此,所谓“能力”说辞的背后,心思仍是政治,通过这种话语构建,可以起到激发美国人自豪感、凝聚美国作为一个国家的作用。从实践与思想的关系来论,美国“具有强大的自我纠错和制度修复能力”论,是对美国取得和维持“世界第一”地位的一种事后解释和神话,但实际却并不一定如此,比如19世纪60年代,美国为何就没表现出“制度优越性”、阻止那场残酷的内战发生呢?

以往美国表现出的制度纠错能力,其实存在两个重要前提:一个是自建国以来直至本世纪初,美国以精英共和与选举民主为主要特征的政治体系,一直是以欧洲来的白人移民及其后代占人口绝大多数以及盎格鲁—撒克逊文化的主流地位为前提,并没真正碰到种族构成和文化、信仰上的挑战。另一个是自19世纪后期以来,美国长期是世界最大的工业化国家,工业化及其财富积累为就业和实施广泛的福利创造良好条件,有利于化解不同人群间的利益冲突,为政治契约在更多人群中的扩展提供有力支持。19世纪后期到20世纪前期的选举权普及,20世纪上半叶“大萧条”发生后时任总统罗斯福推进的新政举措,20世纪60年代时任总统约翰逊提出“伟大社会”构想,都以美国实现了工业化为前提,它使一些尖锐的政治对立能够通过“利益均沾”短暂化解。

以白人为主的人口结构和以新教为主的宗教与文化体系,保证了以往的“美国人”大体来说是一个情感共同体;工业化的经济基础及由此而来的分利安排,保证了以往的“美国人”大体是一个利益共同体。情感和利益上的相关性,才使以往的“美国人”大体成为一个政治共同体。这是美国过去表现出纠错和制度修复能力的主要基础。但这些基础,如今已经走向坍塌。

美国首任总统华盛顿在告别演讲中说,“既然你们因出生或归化而成为同一国家的公民,这个国家就有权集中你们的情感。”现在的问题是,今天来到美国的新人群,其中很多人说的不再是英语,不再以融入美国主流文化体系为圭臬,与传统“美国人”的共同情感也日益淡薄。美国的人口结构进入新世纪以来已发生巨大变化,最新人口普查数据显示,虽然传统白人在55岁以上美国人中仍占70%左右,但在18至34岁美国人中仅占一半,在未成年人中更是已经低于50%。更关键的,新来移民和新增人口中新教信仰者占比日益减少,其他信众及非英语人口占比不断增大,人口结构及文化信仰上的变化,已经超出美国作为一个政治共同体形成时的边界。这也正是美国已故政治学者亨廷顿在《谁是美国人?——美国国民特性面临的挑战》一书中的忧虑。

与此同时,20世纪后期以来,随着一度由其主导推动的经济全球化的发展,美国逐渐丧失以往在经济、科技以及其他一些方面的碾压性优势,不再是全球最大工业化国家,而是成了最大虚拟经济体,这不仅使其霸权体系难以维继,还倒灌为内政问题,改变了美国内部的经济社会结构。随着经济不平等加剧、不同阶层和地区之间利益关联性减弱,美国今天已无法做到在公民之间“利益均沾”。在共同情感和共同利益都严重弱化、国家认同和国内治理面临重大挑战的情况下,美国想再通过所谓的自我纠错和制度修复来化解挑战已是难上加难。(作者是上海外国语大学国际关系与公共事务学院教授)

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