Nuclear Arms Reduction Treaty: A First Step Toward Abolition

Published in Nishinippon Shimbun
(Japan) on 1 April 2010
by Editorial Staff (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Haitham Jendoubi. Edited by Harley Jackson.
The United States and Russia have concluded a new nuclear arms reduction treaty to decrease the number of strategic nuclear weapons each country holds. Presidents Obama and Medvedev will sign the new treaty in Prague on Apr. 8.

The two countries’ nuclear strategies influence arms reduction throughout the world. The fact that these two nuclear powers — which possess 95 percent of the world’s nuclear weapons between them — were able to take a step toward reducing their nuclear arsenals is quite significant.

For the sake of accelerating the rate of nuclear arms reduction and abolition, we would like to see both countries’ legislatures swiftly ratify the treaty and bring it into effect.

The new treaty succeeds START 1, the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty that both countries concluded in 1991. In essence, it limits the nuclear warheads each country can deploy to 1550 each and cuts delivery systems, such as ballistic missiles and strategic bombers (including those that have not been deployed), to 800.

If the treaty should take effect, the number of nuclear warheads would drop to its lowest level since both countries agreed to begin arms reduction talks. Total strategic nuclear weapons will fall by a quarter of their levels under START 1, and the number of deployed weapons will fall by more than a third of their current levels.

The terms of the reduction were reached while preserving the nuclear deterrence capability of both countries as well as the military balance between them. In other words, this is not a renunciation of the doctrine of “nuclear deterrence.” However, it is the first comprehensive agreement — specifying everything from limits on delivery systems to verification measures — in 20 years. It is praiseworthy as an effective nuclear arms reduction treaty.

With this treaty, global cooperation toward nuclear arms reduction, which had stagnated under the Bush administration, will start again. It is to be hoped that this current leads the way from nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation towards a discussion of the abolition of such weapons.

Behind the U.S.–Russia agreement, we can see Obama’s strategy: by taking responsibility in their roles as leaders in nuclear arms reduction, both countries fight nuclear terrorism and strengthen the regime of nuclear non-proliferation.

At the same time, 20 years after the end of the Cold War and with strategic nuclear programs straining finances, domestic conditions in both countries conspired to encourage compromises and give the treaty a boost towards a final agreement.

As for the treaty’s implementation, explanations dealing with the United States’ missile defense system and mutual verification measures remain vague.

Still, the fact that the United States and Russia achieved nuclear arms reduction in good faith will urge nuclear powers such as the United Kingdom, China and France — as well as India and Pakistan — to reduce their own stockpiles and should increase international pressure on countries who are eyeing the bomb, like Iran and North Korea.

The treaty’s prompt entry into effect is thus indispensable. It will further the “world without nuclear weapons” that President Obama has championed. However, even when the treaty takes effect, it will be no more than a beginning down the road toward abolishing nuclear weapons.

In order to realize the complete abolition that the world desires, it will be necessary to follow up with a new global framework to lay out a path toward prohibiting the use, and then the possession, of nuclear weapons.

We hope that next month’s Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference at the United Nations in New York will bear fruit in the same direction.


米国とロシアが両国の戦略核兵器を削減する新たな核軍縮条約に合意した。オバマ米大統領とメドベージェフ・ロシア大統領が8日、チェコのプラハで新条約に署名する。

 米ロ両国の核戦略は世界の核軍縮の流れを左右する。世界の核兵器の95%を保有する二つの核大国が、協調して新たな核削減に踏みだす意味は大きい。

 核軍縮-廃絶への流れを加速させるためにも、米ロ両国の議会には条約の早期批准、発効を求めたい。

 新条約は1991年に両国間で締結された第1次戦略兵器削減条約(START1)の後継となる。双方が配備する戦略核弾頭の上限をそれぞれ1550発とし、弾道ミサイルや戦略爆撃機などの運搬手段を未配備も含めて800基までに制限する-というのが主な内容だ。

 条約が発効すれば、核弾頭数はこれまでに両国間で締結された核削減取り決めでは最低水準となる。START1での上限6千発の約4分の1、現在、米ロが実際に配備している戦略核の3分の1以上が削減されることになる。

 削減内容は両国の核抑止力維持や戦力バランスにも配慮して合意に達したものだ。その意味では「核抑止論」から抜け出すものではない。しかし「20年ぶりに運搬手段の制限から検証措置までを明記した包括的な取り決め」である。実効性ある軍縮条約として評価できる。

 新条約の発効でブッシュ政権時代に停滞していた「核軍縮への国際協調」が再び動きだし、その流れが核軍縮・不拡散での協調から、廃絶に道を開く議論に高まっていくことを期待したい。

 米ロ合意の背景には、両国が核軍縮で指導的役割を果たすことで、核不拡散体制強化と核テロ対策に弾みをつけたいというオバマ米政権の戦略がある。

 同時に、冷戦終結から20年が過ぎ、財政的にも核戦略見直しを迫られている両国に共通する国内事情が、双方の妥協を引き出し、条約締結を後押しした。

 条約の運用にあたっては、米ミサイル防衛(MD)や相互検証体制をめぐる解釈などであいまいな部分も残る。

 しかし、米ロが核軍縮を誠実に履行していくことが、英中仏やインド、パキスタンなど核保有国の核削減を促し、核に野心を持つイランや北朝鮮などへの国際圧力を強めることにつながる。

 そのためにも条約の早期発効は欠かせない。それがオバマ大統領が唱える「核のない世界」を前進させることになる。が、条約が発効しても、それは核廃絶への道のりの「起点」にすぎない。

 世界が願う核全廃を実現するためにはこの条約に続き、核兵器の使用禁止から保有禁止への行程を示す新たな国際枠組みをつくることが求められる。

 来月、ニューヨークの国連本部で開かれる5年に一度の核拡散防止条約(NPT)の再検討会議で、何としても、その芽を出したい。
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