How does one go from being a visionary to an administrator? How does one create compromise without becoming too compromising? How does one avoid paralysis between Congress and the White House? Only this is clear right now: Barack Obama is going to plunge his hands into the political mire.
His unwanted election results — stinging, but not slanderous — have put him in a scenario similar to those that Reagan, Clinton and Bush have seen before him. But the comparison ends there, since the circumstances are different — in particular, when compared to the Clinton’s experience in 1994. Contrary to his Democrat predecessor, Obama is going to brave a Republican Party that has no uncontested leader and that has been overtaken by the extreme right (tea party). But above all, this reversal is taking place right in the middle of an economic and social crisis, with a return to power of Yankee values (individualist, defiance toward the state, etc.) that are rather unfavorable to fundamental reforms.
However, strength could come from this weakness. The urgency of the moment, in particular in the matter of employment, and American pragmatism could just as well clear the way for solutions that can be negotiated and shared. But there again, a few clashes can be expected between Obama and the Republicans, notably over how to reduce the country’s abysmal national debt. After only two years, the man is really forced to “change”: a change he is being subjected to more than making voluntarily. But this could also be the time to demonstrate his true presidential mettle by evading the new traps set before him. Already in the annals of history for being the United States’ first black president, Obama has an obligation not to rest at this accomplishment. If between now and 2012, he maintains his course and manages to counter the ascendancy of a Republican star, his own star may avoid the black hole that his more vengeful enemies are promising.
Le cambouis
Comment passer du visionnaire au gestionnaire? Comment faire des compromis sans trop de compromission? Comment éviter la paralysie entre Congrès et Maison-Blanche? Seule évidence, pour l'heure: Barack Obama va devoir plonger ses mains dans le cambouis politicien. Sa défaite électorale, cinglante mais pas infamante, le met dans un cas de figure qu'ont connu avant lui Reagan, Clinton ou Bush. Mais la comparaison s'arrête là, tant les circonstances sont différentes. En particulier par rapport à l'époque de Clinton (1994). Contrairement à son prédécesseur démocrate, Obama va braver un Parti républicain sans maître incontesté et vampirisé par son extrême droite (Tea Party). Mais surtout, ce revers intervient en pleine crise économique et sociale, avec un retour en force des valeurs yankees (individualisme, défiance envers l'Etat, etc.) peu propice aux réformes de fond. Pourtant, de sa faiblesse peut naître sa force. L'urgence du moment, en particulier en matière d'emploi, et le pragmatisme des Américains peuvent ainsi ouvrir la voie à des solutions partagées et négociables. Mais là encore, entre Obama et Républicains, certains chocs frontaux sont programmés, notamment sur la façon de réduire l'endettement abyssal du pays. Après deux ans seulement, l'homme est donc contraint à «changer»: un changement subi, cette fois, plutôt que souhaité. Mais cela peut être aussi le lieu de démontrer sa véritable étoffe présidentielle, en évitant de tomber dans les nouvelles trappes ouvertes sous ses pas. Déjà entré dans l'Histoire, en qualité de premier président noir des Etats-Unis, Obama se doit de ne pas en sortir par la petite porte. S'il garde le cap et parvient à contrer la montée en flèche d'une étoile républicaine, d'ici 2012, sa propre étoile a tout pour éviter le trou noir sidéral que lui promettent les plus revanchards de ses ennemis.
PASCAL BAERISWYL
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The madness lies in asserting something ... contrary to all evidence and intelligence. The method is doing it again and again, relentlessly, at full volume ... This is how Trump became president twice.
The madness lies in asserting something ... contrary to all evidence and intelligence. The method is doing it again and again, relentlessly, at full volume ... This is how Trump became president twice.