Obama: Public Caution and Secret Negotiations with Egypt

Published in Clarin
(Argentina) on 5 February 2011
by ANA BARON (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Eugenia Lucchelli. Edited by Jenette Axelrod.
He never got to ask him to resign. However, President Barack Obama acted cautiously and asked President Hosni Mubarak to “listen to the voice of people” urging him to resign.

During the press conference with Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Obama struggled to maintain control. He said repeatedly that the Egyptians should determine how the transition to Democracy unfolds. Meanwhile, he insisted that an orderly transition takes place “now,” and threw all kinds of warnings. “If you end up having just gestures towards the opposition but it leads to a continuing suppression of the opposition, that's not going to work. If you have the pretense of reform but not real reform, that's not going to be effective.”

The New York Times revealed yesterday morning that the White House is negotiating a solution to the crisis with the Egyptian military. During the press conference, they strove to clarify that the formula would not be “made in the USA.” Many will see this as another example of “U.S. dynamic hypocrisy,” said retired U.S. diplomat Edward Peck, whose long diplomatic career includes assignments in Egypt and Tunisia.

“Asked why they don’t have Mubarak step down, the administration says that is not its role, it’s up to the Egyptian people, while tacitly admitting involvement in efforts to pull together acceptable elements to form a government,” said Peck.

According to Times magazine, one scenario that is being debated is that Mubarak will hand over the presidency to his vice president, Omar Suleiman, who would lead the transition towards the elections in September. “This alternative is not going to work,” said an ex officer of the United States in Cairo, who did not want to be identified. “Suleiman is very dear to the U.S. He was a former boss of the Egyptian intelligence service and was who lead the interrogatories to the prisoners that were imprisoned and tortured illegally by the CIA in Egypt. But the Egyptians hate Suleiman. Furthermore, legally the Vice President cannot replace the President. The one that should replace him is the President of Parliament.”

Upon the confirmation of the ongoing negotiations, the White House left clear that there was not only one scenario about the table, but instead there were several. “Anyway, I believe that everything has been set up because Obama said everything without doing anything. He talked about heritage, as if Mubarak was already something from the past,” said the director of Egyptian television in Washington, Mohamed Elsetouhi. According to Washington Post associate editor Karen DeYoung, the White House tried to convince the opposition of the importance of attending a meeting called by Suleiman for today, in which the first steps towards transition should be made, including the abolishment of the laws about state of emergency and the rules to proceed to a of the Constitution. The opposition has said that there will be no dialogue with Mubarak if he does not resign. A diplomatic source told Clarín that the State Department is convinced there is no way to make them change their minds. In parallel, all the contact between the Pentagon and the head of the Egyptian military are intended to convince the army to support this process.


No llegó a pedirle la renuncia. No obstante, el presidente Barack Obama siguió avanzando cautelosamente por la verdadera cuerda floja en la que se halla y le pidió ayer al presidente Hosni Mubarak que “escuche la voz de su pueblo” que le reclama que se vaya.
Durante la conferencia de prensa que dio conjuntamente con el premier canadiense Stephen Harper, Obama hizo todo tipo de malabarismo para no perder el equilibrio. Dijo, una y otra vez, que son los egipcios quienes deben determinar cómo será la transición hacia la democracia. Pero al mismo tiempo, insistió sobre la necesidad de una transición ordenada que tenga lugar “ya” y lanzó todo tipo de advertencias: “Si sólo hay gestos hacia a la oposición pero sigue siendo reprimida, no funcionará. Si pretenden que están reformando pero no hay verdaderas reformas, no funcionará”.
Después de que The New York Times reveló ayer por la mañana que la Casa Blanca está negociando con funcionarios y militares egipcios una salida de la crisis, durante la conferencia de prensa Obama se esforzó por dejar en claro que la fórmula no será “Made in USA”. “Esto es lo que lo llamo la dinámica de la hipocresía estadounidense”, dijo a Clarín el ex embajador de EE.UU., Edward Peck, cuya larga carrera diplomática incluyó Egipto y Túnez.
“Por un lado, no le piden la renuncia a Mubarak, pero al mismo tiempo están ayudando a formar un gobierno de transición”.
De acuerdo al Times , uno de los escenarios que están siendo discutidos es que Mubarak entregue la presidencia a su vice Omar Suleiman, quien se encargaría de liderar la transición hacia las elecciones de setiembre. “Esa alternativa no va a funcionar”, dijo a Clarín una ex funcionaria estadounidense de la Embajada de EE.UU. en El Cairo que pidió no ser identificada. “Suleiman es muy querido en los EE.UU. Era el ex jefe de los servicios de inteligencia egipcia y fue el que lideró los interrogatorios a presos que fueron detenidos y torturados ilegalmente por la CIA en Egipto.
Pero los egipcios odian a Suleiman . Además, legalmente el vice no puede suceder al presidente. El que debería sucederlo es el Presidente del Parlamento”.
Al confirmar las negociaciones en marcha, la Casa Blanca dejó en claro que no había un solo escenario sobre la mesa sino varios . “De todas maneras, yo creo que ya está todo arreglado, porque Obama lo dijo todo sin decir nada. Habló de herencia, como si Mubarak fuese ya cosa del pasado”, dijo el director de la televisión egipcia en Washington, Mohamed Elsetouhi. Según Karen de Young, de The Washington Post , la Casa Blanca intentó ayer convencer a la oposición de la importancia de asistir a una reunión convocada por Suleiman para hoy en la que comenzarían a establecer los primeros pasos de la transición, incluyendo la suspensión de las leyes de emergencia y la reglas para proceder al cambio de la Constitución. La oposición ha dicho que no habrá diálogo si Mubarak no renuncia. Una fuente diplomática dijo a Clarín que en el Departamento de Estado están todos convencidos de que no habrá manera de hacerlos cambiar de opinión. Paralelamente, todos los contactos que están teniendo entre el Pentágono y la cúpula militar egipcia están destinados a convencerlos de que el Ejército apoye el proceso.
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