If Bin Laden Were Still Alive, He Would Definitely Be Snickering at the West

Published in Global Times
(China) on 11 May 2011
by Sun Peisong (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Qu Xiao. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
Ever Carl von Clausewitz defined war, it has been considered “a true political instrument, a continuation of political activities by other means.” It seems hard for us to unravel, however, the real political motivation of the air raid in Libya by the united forces of the West. A rushed-into military operation not only fails to constitute a clear and definite step in a long-term political scheme, but also, apparently, runs against the political goal that the Western world has been chasing all along.

The West supporting the Libyan rebels seems to be their only viable reaction despite the fact that the West is still unclear about the motivation of the insurgency, the public support rate, the combat capacity of the rebels, the real political pursuit and even the main ideological and political inclination of the insurgency. However, if those political leaders in the West turned a blind eye to this humanitarian disaster, the West would lose its authority as world leader. The idea that the Western countries’ rule of the world is ending has been shouted out loud for half a century. If they stop exercising their powers now, it amounts to a loud announcement of the end of their authority and their retirement from the world’s main stage. Therefore, their war is now no longer a “continuation of political activities”; instead, it shows that the political situation in the West is in a big mess.

The air strikes' damage to the anti-proliferation movement has been widely mentioned. Anti-proliferation is one of the most important strategic pursuits of the U.S. Gadhafi refused to give up nuclear weapons despite the persuasion of the West, so a war began. This led other countries which were thinking about developing nuclear weapons to be more cautious and weigh issues like surviving and being allowed to survive. When all the hopes of a friendly political attitude from the West are gone, the anti-proliferation efforts of the world will have even more difficulty bearing fruit.

To the Western world, which wanted to smooth the relationship between the West and the Muslim world, the political effect generated by the air raid may be the exact opposite of what they have hoped for. It seems that the West is supporting the democratic movement in the Arabic world, but more many Muslims wishing to turn their despair into dignity, the power to interpret the political legality of the air raid still belongs to the West, and such a situation is no doubt just another part of the continuous humiliation that the West has been dumping on the Muslim world for centuries.

If bin Laden were still alive, he would be snickering in an unknown cave. The Western world is losing its battle against terrorism. Those leaders of other countries who followed America in her strike against al-Qaida are either deprived of their authority or are close to being deprived of their authority. Political turmoil is the warm bed of al-Qaida; NATO, under the leadership of the U.S., is creating more room for their terrorist activities.

More importantly, the financial capacity of the West can no longer support continuous military spending. After the financial crisis, severe economic problems have crushed America’s political ambition.

The so-called protection of civilians is only confusing political terminology with morality. Human rights do not only belong to the people on one side in a war. If elections no longer served as a way of making better the political situation within a country but rather became a tool of overturning authorities with military menaces, it would be a major blow to the West, which has emphasized again and again that democracy is the most important “soft power.”

Anti-proliferation, anti-terrorism, human rights and the promotion of the democratic cause are the long-term political pursuits of the West, but now the West itself is tearing these goals down. A war sometimes is not the continuation of wise politics but rather distorted politics influenced by the voting of rival parties. The political arena of the West has become a confusing place; it is losing its foresight into the long-term future.


自从战争有了克劳塞维茨式的定义,它就被视为“一种真正的政治工具,是政治活动以其他方式的继续”。但西方联军空袭利比亚的政治目的何在,我们似乎难于找到答案。仓促发起的军事行动不仅不是长远政治规划中一个明确的步骤,它显然也背离了西方长期追求的政治目标。


  西方对利比亚反叛者的支持似乎是不得不采取的行动。虽然西方对“起义者的动机,民众的支持率,反对派的战斗力,他们真实的政治追求甚至大致的思想和政治倾向都不清楚”。然而,其政治领导人如果对人道主义灾难置之不理,西方国家作为世界领导者的权威将从此丧失。西方对世界的统治正在终结这一观点已经被强调了半个多世纪,现在停止行使权利,那就等于宣告结束使命退出舞台的转折点已经到来。所以,不是“政治的继续”,它显示的是西方政治已经乱了套。


  空袭对防扩散的破坏被广泛提及。防扩散是美国最重要的战略追求之一。卡扎菲是在西方劝说下放弃核武器计划后遭到攻击的。这使那些希望拥核的国家在考虑生存或被允许生存这类问题时想得更为复杂。对西方政治善意的任何希望都不存在以后,世界防扩散的努力将更难取得成果。


  对于希望缓和与穆斯林世界关系的西方来说,空袭产生的政治效果可能与此相反。虽然看起来它是在支持阿拉伯世界的民主运动,但对大多数希望在绝望中获得尊严的穆斯林来说,它们政治合法性的解释权在西方,这种状况无疑仍然是几个世纪以来遭受持续性羞辱的一部分。


  如果本•拉登还活着,他也许正在山洞里窃笑。西方反恐成果存在丧失的风险。那些配合美国追打基地组织的当权者,要么被赶下台,要么正在被追打。政治混乱是“基地”组织的温床,美国领导下的北约正在为他们创造更大的活动空间。


  更重要的是西方的财政能力已不能支持持续的军事开销。金融危机后,严重的经济问题压垮了美国的政治雄心。


  所谓保护平民,那是在用道德话语混充政治话语。人权并不只属于内战中的一派。如果选举不再是国家内部用于更新政治授权,而变成军事胁迫下的颠覆行为,这对一再强调民主是最重要“软实力”的西方来说,无疑也会造成重大伤害。


  防扩散、反恐、人权以及对民主事业的推进这些西方长期的政治追求,正在被西方自己所践踏。战争的爆发有时并不是明智政治的继续,而是为变态的政治所驱迫,被相互竞争的群体的投票权所左右。西方政治领域已经变成了一个困惑的远见消失的地带。
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