Will the US and Trump Allow China and Russia To Regain Hegemony?

Published in Taiwan Times
(Taiwan) on 2 March 2025
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jennifer Sampson. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
As Donald Trump seeks to profit around the world by way of tariff wars, he is also exploiting the Russia-Ukraine war to divide up Ukraine’s rare earth and other mineral interests. He also has room to scheme, including aligning with Russia to control and exert international pressure on China. However, flaws have already appeared in these maneuverings, giving the Chinese Communist Party an opportunity to take the advantage. In a firm position to respond to any stick or carrot the U.S. wields, the CCP is looking to cooperate with countries in Eurasia that are dissatisfied with America’s trade and economic strategies. China and Russia might be able to regain hegemony.

From the perspective of U.S. national interests, how can the U.S. allow Russia and China to run rampant before its eyes? Nevertheless, the Trump camp's handling of international affairs is simple and crude, almost arrogant, and focused only on profit. In mediating the Russia-Ukraine war, the U.S. is focused solely on negotiating directly with Vladimir Putin, scorning Ukraine’s sovereignty and its desire to join NATO and the European Union. America has focused even less on Europe’s line of defense against Russia. The U.S. has created an atmosphere that saddens its friends and pleases its enemies, which is not conducive to American control of international affairs. Instead, America's strategy gives Russia a chance to expand and demand more. Perhaps Trump has his own plan, but the current developments are worrying.

China, meanwhile, has been waiting for its chance. The Mainland Affairs Council recently released a report saying that Beijing does not have high hopes for Trump and his team’s policy on China and is preparing for it. Beijing’s breakthrough point lies in the the fact that America's natural allies mistrust Trump. Trump’s tariff war, his desire to annex Canada and Greenland, his withdrawal from important international organizations — all this has caused some degree of misgiving among democratic countries in Eurasia. It has weakened their defenses against China and led them to seek peace with China instead.

China has always sought to profit internationally under the guise of aid. While the Belt and Road Initiative has many representative projects in its portfolio, several countries have repeatedly gotten in over their heads. Now that the U.S. has completely frozen foreign aid, China has even more opportunities for conspiring to defraud countries. China has seized upon rifts between Western allies, continuing to push all types of initiatives and uniting the Global South. Exploiting the mistrust Western countries have of Trump, China has mended and brought their relationships closer. In this way, countries, from strong to weak, will quite possibly join together to contain the U.S.

It appeared that China and Russia's hegemony was strongly contained in recent years. However, at the moment, Trump’s reelection seems to have given them a chance to rise again. Can this really be? We must pay close attention. Taiwan can only adjust according to the situation.


川普透過關稅戰在全球尋求取利空間,也利用俄烏戰爭欲瓜分烏克蘭稀土等礦產利益,更有操作聯俄制中之空間,在國際形塑施壓中國的環境,但操作上似出現不少破綻,讓中共有洞可竄、見縫就鑽之機,立場堅定對應美國各種軟硬操作,更尋求不滿美方經貿戰略作為的歐亞國家合作,中俄看似漸有霸權再起之可能⋯⋯

 站在美國國家利益觀點,怎可能放任俄中在眼前猖狂,但川普陣營國際操作簡單粗暴,幾乎是目中無人只重取利,調停俄烏戰事著重能與蒲亭直接洽談,輕視烏國領土主權與加入北約歐盟之所需,更未重視歐洲阻俄防線,美國營造出的親痛仇快的氛圍,並不利於美國主掌國際局勢,反而給了俄國擴張取求空間,或許川普自有妙計,但當前發展令人憂心。

 中國則伺機盤算,陸委會日前公布報告提到,北京對於川普與其團隊的對中立場與態度不抱過高期待、早有準備;北京的突破點落在美國固有盟友對於川普的不信任。川普關稅戰,欲納併加拿大、格陵蘭,退出重要國際組織,多少讓歐亞民主國家心生疑慮,逐漸出現防中弱化,與中商和的情況。

 中國本來就在國際間假援助之名行奪利之實,一帶一路有許多代表作,但一再有國家深陷之中,美國全面凍結援外,這讓中國更有上下其手的契機。中國掌握西方聯盟內部裂痕,持續推進各式倡議、集結全球南方,利用西方國家對於川普的不信任,重新修補、拉近彼此關係。如此極有可能在世界從強到弱尋求串連出聯合制美。

 近幾年中俄霸權看似受到重創抑制,但再次上任美國總統的川普,處理至今,卻好像讓中俄出現再起之機,真是如此嗎?必須持續關注,我國只能隨機應變⋯⋯
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