Rise of the “China School” Perspective on Trends in U.S.-China Relations

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 26 March 2009
by Wang Honggang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Eugene Tan. Edited by .
On March 24, the U.S. Senate approved President Obama’s nomination of Gary Locke as secretary of commerce. Taking into account earlier nominations of Steven Chu as secretary of energy, Chris Lu as cabinet secretary, Christina Tchen as director of public liaisons, and Ivan K. Fong as general counsel for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, the Obama administration already has many ethnic Chinese holding high cabinet-level or presidential aide positions. In light of the growing importance of U.S.-China relations, having numerous ethnically Chinese officials at Obama’s side will inevitably give people more food for thought. How, exactly, will they influence the future of U.S.-China relations?

Obviously, whether it’s Gary Locke, Steven Chu, or any other ethnically Chinese political figure, they are, first and foremost, genuine Americans. Therefore, it goes without saying that from the American standpoint, protecting U.S. interests is the right and proper thing to do. Almost nobody would expect them to take advantage of their positions in public office to give China “special consideration.” But this doesn’t mean that they are no different from other people. What they all have in common is that they are more familiar with China – in other words, they are from the “China School.” The rise of the “China School” is a recent important political phenomenon in the U.S. Topics involving China are becoming increasingly popular, and people who understand China’s issues are in great demand. Voices advocating for U.S.-China cooperation are receiving more and more attention. One of the important strengths of these ethnically Chinese elite is that they use their personal advantage to be active in political and economic circles. We should say that the presence of ethnic Chinese in the cabinet is a sign of the overall rise of the “China School.”

Undoubtedly, the rise of the “China School” is of great significance for the future development of U.S.-China relations. The U.S. and China have interacted for thirty years. Therefore, their economies have become increasingly interdependent, communication between both sides has become increasingly systematic, and the foundation for the relationship between the two countries has already reached a certain level of stability. However, along with the continual rise in China’s strength, the structure of international politics and economics has subtly transformed. There has been a simultaneous increase in cooperation and competition between the two countries. This is a time of interaction, when opportunity and challenges can change any time. The direction of development in bilateral relations will depend more and more on how both sides take initiative to shape their future. The rise of the “China School” will provide a basis for comparatively proactive ideas and action to promote U.S.-China relations.

In terms of understanding, the rise of the “China School” will help the U.S. to understand China more objectively. As soon as the Obama administration took office, a great amount of importance was placed on U.S.-China relations, and the administration expressed its desire to work with China in these troubled times. This sensible and practical notion of the “China philosophy” influences mainstream public opinion, and under the economic crisis, the U.S. must consider short-term strategies that implore China to help the U.S. get out of trouble. From now on, if the “China School” can continually guide the U.S. people, media, and elite in understanding China more objectively and comprehensively, it can help lessen the misjudgments between the two countries, promote mutual trust, and strengthen bilateral relations.

In terms of actions, the rise of the “China School” can also help make cooperation the main theme in bilateral relations. Economy and trade, managed by Gary Locke, and energy, managed by Steven Chu, are sensitive core issues in U.S.-China relations. Although economy and trade are the current stabilizing weights in U.S.-China relations, their weight is dropping, and therefore, the number of conflicts is increasing. Although energy cooperation is a potential point of growth for bilateral relations, it has stopped at the planning stage and lacks specific proposals that can be implemented. If these issues are handled well, we can practically expect to achieve positive, comprehensive cooperation. If they are handled poorly, opportunities can degenerate into obstacles, and cooperation will give way to competition. If the “China School” can help both countries calmly explore new ways to sustain a cooperative relationship, it will be beneficial to promoting a stable relationship between the two countries.

In short, the participation of ethnic Chinese in the cabinet and the rise of the “China School” mean good news for long-term development in U.S.-China relations. However, there are always many variables, and there are always two sides to everything. Currently, it is hard to make any conclusions on how much of an effect the “China School” will have. Also, the “China School” does not necessarily mean “Pro-China.” The status of the “China School” in the U.S.’s policy-making toward China has risen. It can also make competition in different areas fiercer between the two countries, and we should know exactly how things stand.


从知华派崛起看中美关系走向

作者:王鸿刚

  3月24日,美国参议院批准了总统奥巴马对骆家辉的商务部长提名。这样,算上此前已被任命为能源部长的朱棣文,以及白宫内阁秘书卢沛宁、白宫公共联络室主任陈远美、国土安全部法律总顾问方富宇等人,奥巴马政府中已有多位华裔担任内阁级高官或总统幕僚。在中美关系越来越重要的大背景下,诸多华裔成为总统侧近人士,不禁给人巨大的联想空间。他们究竟会对中美关系的未来带来什么影响呢?

很显然,无论是骆家辉、朱棣文还是其他华裔政治人物,他们首先是地道的美国人,从美国立场出发、维护美国利益乃是天经地义、不言自明的事,几乎没有人指望他们利用公务之便给中国“特殊照顾”。但这并不意味着他们与其他人没有区别。其共同特征,是对中国均比较熟悉——也就是说,他们都是“知华派”。知华派的崛起,乃是近期美国一个重要政治现象,涉及中国的议题越来越热,懂得中国问题的人越来越“吃香”,倡导中美合作的声音也越来越受重视。利用自身优势活跃于政治和经济圈的华裔精英,更是其中重要力量。应该说,华裔入阁,是美国知华派地位总体上升的标志。


  知华派的崛起,无疑对中美关系未来发展具有重要意义。中美经过三十年磨合,经济上日益相互依赖,双边沟通日益机制化,两国关系的基本稳定已有一定基础。但随着中国实力持续上升、国际政治经济格局悄然转型,两国关系日益进入合作与竞争同步上升、机遇与挑战随时转化的深度互动时期,双边关系到底向什么方向发展,越来越取决于双方的主动塑造。知华派崛起,将为中美关系发展提供相对积极的思想及行动基础。


  从认识上看,知华派的上升有助于美国更加客观地认识中国。奥巴马政府上台伊始就高调定位中美关系,期待与中国“同舟共济”,其中既有经济危机背景下恳求中国助其脱困的短期策略考虑,也与理性务实的“中国观”占据舆论主流有密切关系。今后,知华派若能不断引导美国民众、媒体和精英阶层更加客观、理性、全面地认识中国,将对两国减少误判、增进互信、夯实双边关系的民意基础产生积极的推动作用。


  从行动看,知华派崛起也有助于使合作成为两国关系的主旋律。骆家辉主管经贸,朱棣文主管能源,都是中美关系中的核心和敏感问题。经贸合作虽是当前中美关系的压舱石,但分量正在减弱,由此引发的冲突增多;能源合作虽是双边关系的潜在增长点,但还大多停留于意向阶段,缺少可实施的具体方案。这些问题处理得好,积极合作全面关系现实可期;处理不好,机遇可能蜕化为障碍,合作可能让位于竞争。知华派如能推动两国心平气和地探讨全面协调可持续的新关系模式,将对两国关系的稳定大有裨益。


  概而言之,华裔入阁以及知华派的崛起,对中美关系的长远发展而言是个利好消息。不过,凡事皆有可变性和两面性。知华派到底能发挥多大作用,目前还难下定论。而且“知华派”并非“亲华派”,知华派在美国对华决策中地位上升,也可能导致两国在各领域的博弈更加激烈。对此,我们也要心中有数。
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