Greece’s Debt Crisis and the End of the “European Dream”?

Published in Lianhe Zaobao
(Singapore) on 3 February 2010
by Yu Shi Yu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Edward Seah. Edited by Jessica Boesl.
Greece's current debt crisis, according to Jacque Attali, one of the founders of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, is "la minute de vérité" for the whole of Europe. This is because Greece's debt crisis has threatened the sustainability of the Euro as the unified currency of the European Union.

After World War II ended, political unification was the common dream of Europe, the biggest execution ground of the two world wars. And since the establishment of the Franco-German Coal and Steel Production in 1950, economic cooperation has always been the foundation of this political unification.* The induction of the Euro and the founding of the Eurozone was an important milestone for the realization of this "European Dream." The threat of Greece's debt crisis to the Euro could possibly be a historic setback or even a reversal for the unification process of Europe. This is reflected in a related commentary in a recent issue of Le Figaro, which carried the headline "Le rêve europeen est passé" ("The European dream is passing").

In the final analysis, Greece's debt crisis is the result of an E.U. member nation using up tomorrow's resources today for many years in its financial expenditures and accumulating its deficits, which led to the nation facing the prospect of not being able to repay its "sovereign debts" and imploring other E.U. members to help with its repayment.

Just like the Washington Post analyzed, Europe's PIGS (the acronym of Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain), which are facing similar financial debts, have been competing with one another in being unprecedentedly extravagant in their public fiscal expenditures and personal consumption levels, and have accumulated great debts. They are facing bankruptcy under the international economic and financial crisis today. On the other hand, people in and out of politics in Germany, the strongest E.U. economy and also the most important "savior" for Greece and other nations, are also known for being diligent and thrifty. In contrast to the PIGS, Germans can be said to be economical in their everyday spending, and their rate of savings is the highest in Europe. In 2005, even the Social Democratic Party, led by former President Gerhard Schroeder, risked incurring the wrath of left-wing voters by cutting down on many social welfare expenses, which became an important factor in him losing the election that year.

Against such a backdrop, the German magazine Der Spiegel reported that nearly 70 percent of the German public are against Germany and the European Union rescuing Greece from the debt crisis. The paradox here, however, is that, once the Greek government is unable to repay its sovereign debt, it will undoubtedly trigger a new cycle of international financial crisis, causing the remaining three PIGS nations to follow in Greece's footsteps. The chain reactions thereafter will eventually cause the disintegration of the Euro and the Eurozone, thus becoming the great reversal of the European unification process.

Calls for "Giving up the European Union Dream" appearing in France and Germany

Such a prospect, however, represents many of the European public's intentions, especially in France and Germany, the two leading nations in the European Union. The commentary in Le Figaro, mentioned earlier, pointed out that the current leading thought is to "give up the European dream and return to national sovereignty."


The public discourse in Germany made a relevant point that the most important cause of the current E.U. financial crisis was that the integration process led by France and Germany made a comprehensive expansion too soon before its necessary deepening. What caused the "Big Bang" was Washington's "sand-mixing" strategy after the disintegration of the Soviet and Eastern European blocs, causing the expanded European Union to be in a lax situation where they were without a leader.

In my view, however, the other significant reason for the "European dream" being outdated is that the welfare society is difficult to sustain under the wave of financial globalization, and almost all European nations are facing a situation in which their fiscal welfare expenditure is continually exceeding their income. Such a crisis has finally erupted in Greece, the nation that has had a strong welfare program but lacked self-control in government spending.

The French paper Le Monde recently published a commentary by a scholar from the Sorbonne University in Paris who thinks Greece's debt crisis is a plot against "European social policies." Without taking the left wing doctrine into consideration here, such a view fully exposed the deep crisis within the European social democratic institution.

Strong evidence for this reality is that, while the 2008 and 2009 global economic and financial crises exposed the current capitalist market economy's weaknesses, given increasing unemployment and increases in the gap between the rich and the poor, not only did the majority of socialist parties in Europe not receive political benefits, but their situations became worse than ever. Aside from Italy, the PIGS nations bearing the brunt of the current debt crisis are all governed by socialist parties.

The plight of the European socialist and social democratic parties made me think of the knowledgeable jabs the New York Times' Thomas Friedman made a few years ago: "It was Chinese capitalism that put an end to European socialism." In my opinion, such a development is an important motivation for the European intellectuals' and public discourse's increasing coldness and enmity toward Beijing on issues ranging from politics and economy to environmental protection.

From the perspective of real world politics, the European Union's internal and external crises have caused Europe's standing in the international political arena to decline rapidly. The United States Secretary of Defense Robert Gates openly criticized "Europe's demilitarization" a few days ago, saying that this has become "an impediment to achieving real security and lasting peace in the 21st century." Under the social welfare expenditure's strained financial circumstances, however, Gates' request for the European nations to substantially increase their military expenditures is asking for the impossible.

More evidence is that Obama, the "dream president" in Europe's eyes, decided in February not to attend the U.S.-E.U. Summit to be held in Spain in May, causing major disappointment for European politicians and the public alike. Democratic Alliance leader Francois Bayrou, the new force that emerged during the last French presidential election, recently jabbed, "now Europeans should not dream of being on equal grounds with the Americans. We can only be compared to the Koreans." This is the best annotation of Obama's "contempt for Europe."

*Editor's note: The Franco-German Coal and Steel Production is referred to as the European Coal and Steel Community, which was first proposed in 1950 and ratified in 1952. It included Belgium, Germany, France, Italy, Luxembourg and the Netherlands.


希腊目前的债务危机,按照欧洲复兴开发银行创始人之一、法国前总统助理雅克·阿塔利(Jacques Attali)的说法,是整个欧洲面临的关键时刻(la minute de verite)。这是因为希腊债务危机,威胁到了欧元作为欧盟统一货币的可持续性。

  政治大一统是二次大战结束以后,曾经作为两次世界大战最大屠场的欧洲的共同梦想。而自从1950年的法德煤钢联营以来,经济合作一直是这一政治大一统的基础。欧元的引进和欧元区的成立扩大,是实现这一“欧洲梦”的重要里程碑。希腊债务危机对欧元的威胁,因此可能成为欧洲统一进程的历史性挫折甚至倒退。法国《费加罗报》近日一篇有关评论,题目便是《欧洲梦已经过时》(Le reve europeen est passe),可见一斑。

  希腊债务危机说到底,是一个欧盟成员国多年来在财政开支上寅吃卯粮,赤字高企,导致国家“主权债务”面临无法偿还的破产前景,而哀告其他欧盟成员来帮助买单。

  正如《华盛顿邮报》分析,面临类似财政债务危机的欧洲“猪猡四国”(PIGS,葡萄牙、意大利、希腊加西班牙四国英文名称的头一个字母),多年来政府公共开支和私人消费竞相超前挥霍,债台高筑,而在今天国际经济和金融危机之下濒临破产。另一方面,欧盟经济最强大也是目前希腊等国最重要的“救星”——德国,朝野都以勤俭节约著称。相对于“猪猡四国”,德国公众称得上省吃俭用、在储蓄率上居欧洲顶端。2005年,连前总理施罗德领导的社民党政府也不惜冒左 翼选民盛怒,减少多种社会福利开支,成为当年大选失败的重要因素。

  在这样的背景下,德国《明镜》杂志报道:近70%的德国公众反对德国和欧盟帮助拯救希腊的债务危机。可是这里的悖论,是一旦希腊政府无法清偿其主权债务,无疑会催生新一轮国际金融危机,导致剩下的“猪猡三国”步希腊后尘,此后的连锁反应最后会导致欧元和欧元区的解体,成为欧洲联合过程的大逆转。

法德出现“放弃欧盟梦”呼声

  可是这样的前景却代表了目前不少欧洲公众的意向,尤其是在欧洲大联合的领袖法德两国。前引《费加罗报》评论便指出当前的一种主导思想,是“放弃欧洲梦,回归国家主权”。

  德国舆论不无中肯地指出:当前欧盟金融危机的重要根源,是法德两国领导的欧洲一体化过程在必要的深化之前,便过早全面扩大。而促成这一“大爆炸”的,是华盛顿在苏联东欧集团瓦解之后的“掺沙子”战略,造成扩大后的欧盟群龙无首的涣散局面。

  然而以我的看法,“欧洲梦”过时的另一深刻原因,是欧洲福利社会在经济全球化的浪潮下难以为继,几乎所有欧洲国家都面临政府福利开支不断超过财政收入的入不敷出局面。这一危机终于在福利主义强盛而政府开支缺乏自制的希腊首先爆发。

  法国《世界报》新近刊登巴黎索尔邦大学的学者评论,认为希腊的债务危机是国际金融界反对“欧洲社会政策”的阴谋。不计这里的左翼教条,这一看法充分暴露了欧洲社会民主制度的深重危机。

  这一现实的有力证据,是在2008至2009年的世界经济和金融危机暴露现行资本主义市场经济缺陷、失业人口和贫富差距增大之际,欧洲大多数社会党不仅没有获得政治上的好处,反而每况愈下。而当前债务危机中首当其冲的“猪猡四国”,除了意大利都是社会党执政。

  欧洲社会党和社会民主势力的困境,使我想起《纽约时报》专栏作家弗利德曼几年前颇有见地的揶揄:“结束欧洲社会主义的是中国的资本主义。”以我之见,这一发展是欧洲知识界和舆论界从政治、经济到环保议题上,对北京态度日益冷淡敌对的重要动因。

  从现实政治的角度,欧盟的内外危机造成欧洲在国际舞台上的份量急剧衰落。美国国防部长盖茨日前公开批评“欧洲的非军事化”,认为这已经成为“在21世纪实现真正安全和持久和平的障碍”。可是在社会福利开支捉襟见肘的财政困境下,盖茨想要欧洲各国大幅度增加军费开支,无异与虎谋皮。

  另一例证是与美国前总统布什相比被欧洲视为“梦中总统”奥巴马,2月初居然决定不出席定于5月份在西班牙举行的美国-欧盟峰会,导致欧洲朝野的极度失望。上届法国总统大选中异军突起的法国民主联盟领袖白鲁(Francois Bayrou)新近挖苦说:“现在欧洲人别再想和美国人平起平坐,而只能和韩国人比比高下。”这是奥巴马“蔑视欧洲”的最佳注解。

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1 COMMENT

  1. As an American I am sorry that this situation has arisen. Unfortunately we are climbing into the same boat. The irony of the “dream president” and the decline of Europe is too strong given the objections to the Bush Administration. The USA is in decline as well; only our progressive won’t admit it. It seems that having dictatorial power over a dead horse is better than no power over a strong and vibrant one.

    Mr Obama,without irony, advised the Greeks to get their financial house in order while taking the USA down the same path.