America’s Struggles toward Nuclear Disarmament Can Not Be Blamed on China

Published in Takungpao
(Hong Kong) on 15 April 2010
by Zhang Lihua (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Matthew Hunter. Edited by .

Edited by Katy BurtnerPosts

The reference to China’s nuclear project not being transparent in the American Nuclear Posture Review is obviously an intentional misrepresentation of China’s nuclear strategy. In recent years, America has frequently been involved in cooperation with its allies in Asia regarding nuclear weapons, including designs on China that, although not clearly articulated, obviously existed. Therefore, it is America, not China, that must now be transparent.

U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates called a press conference on the sixth to announce the publication of the Nuclear Posture Review and declared that the U.S. would reduce its nuclear arsenal, cease its development of nuclear weapons and give nuclear weapons less of a role in its national security strategy. He did not, however, promise no first use of nuclear weapons. Yet, in the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review, Russia is mentioned 88 times, and China 37 times. China has even been labeled as a nation with a “lack of transparency,” which has attracted a great deal of attention from international commentators.

Setting Their Sights on Ten Countries

A few days ago, the Obama administration announced a new U.S. nuclear policy that is without historical precedent: America will not use nuclear weapons against nations that do not possess them. This means that the eight countries that have nuclear weapons, including Russia, China and India, will become targets for America’s massive nuclear arsenal.

American commentators are also speculating that countries such as Iran and Syria will not be exempt. International media have quickly taken to referring to America’s nuclear targets as the “8+2.” This policy of Obama’s is thought to have been in preparation for the nuclear summit held in Washington on April 12th, but due to its extremely sensitive nature it has been subject to a slew of criticism and conjecture. In many countries, media assessments of this policy’s effect on their national security have had a frantic air to them. The South Korean media have rejoiced at the fact that the North is still within America’s sights, while the Israeli newspaper Haaretz noted that “Obama’s new nuclear age does not bode well for Israel.”

Equally, some experts have referred to America’s actions as a “knife concealed with a smile.” According to one European television network, this has contributed to America’s high moral standing and has blocked the attempts of countries seeking to obtain nuclear weapons. During the Cold War, the nuclear threat was what the world most feared. Obama’s policies are aimed at dismantling the nuclear engine. But who would have thought that the process of dismantling itself could be even more dangerous? Every country must, with the greatest caution, promote substantial worldwide denuclearization.

The new nuclear policies recently announced by the Obama administration have provoked mixed reactions from across the world. For staunch pacifists, the new policy is music to the ears. Everyone is waiting to see whether or not Obama can go on to implement the new policy and take it further.

Nevertheless, no matter which way you look at it, America has an unavoidable responsibility to slim down its enormous nuclear arsenal. Put simply, the nuclear arms race has long been America’s debt to world peace. We hope to see Americans repaying that debt soon and working hard toward a more secure world.

A sensible course for America would be to make appropriate adjustments to its nuclear strategy, taking its own national interests as a starting point and taking the new international situation into account. But some Americans seem to think that this is a huge contribution to the world and that they should therefore begin to make demands of it in return. For example, in the Nuclear Posture Review, which details this new nuclear policy, a number of experts have accused China of a “lack of transparency in its nuclear program, which makes its neighbors in Asia and the U.S. uneasy.” This truly undermines the imposing figure of the world’s number one power and will inevitably lead people to speculate as to whether or not the U.S. has something to hide behind its nuclear disarmament banner.

China in a “Nuclear Ring of Encirclement”

Through its new nuclear policy, America hopes to increase its moral influence, relieve tensions with Russia, and achieve its aim of isolating and bringing sanctions against Iran and North Korea. This is certainly in line with American interests. However, some Americans blame China for not only not allowing them to score points, but also possibly causing them to seriously lose out. This is because, of all the nuclear strategies, of all the nuclear nations in the world, China’s is the most responsible.

Given the vast expanse of its territory, China’s security situation is correspondingly complex, but its nuclear arsenal is very limited, focused solely on counterattack in self-defense. China has always taken a serious and responsible attitude toward nuclear security and nuclear management procedures are extremely rigorous, so much so that even American experts believe that, as China maintains a policy of keeping nuclear deterrence to a minimum and of no first use, China’s nuclear weapons would be the easiest target of any pre-emptive strike. Therefore, the most important aim for China’s nuclear stockpile is to survive any first use of nuclear weapons by an enemy, in order to maintain sufficient counterattack capability.

Viewed from this angle, the reference to China’s nuclear project not being transparent in the American Nuclear Posture Review is obviously an intentional misrepresentation of China’s nuclear strategy. It should be noted that, at one point, America had several hundred nuclear warheads pointed directly at China. Even today, America’s ship-based nuclear weapons can, in a very short period of time, turn around and have China “at gunpoint.” And yet, over the last few years, America has frequently been involved in cooperation with its allies in Asia regarding nuclear weapons, including designs on China that, although not clearly articulated, obviously existed. Therefore, it is America, not China, that must now be transparent. China is the only major nation located within a “nuclear ring of encirclement.”

Nuclear States Must Take Responsibility

In recent years, countries across the world have made great efforts toward military restraint and nonproliferation, particularly with regard to weapons of mass destruction and with satisfactory results in many areas. U.S. President Obama’s suggestion of a “nuclear-free world” last year will have a positive effect on negotiations over nuclear restraint and on disarmament. But even if nuclear proliferation comes to a halt, the nuclear policies of nuclear states will still be of paramount importance.

First of all is the process of nuclear disarmament between the two superpowers. Although there have been a large number of cutbacks, their significance has been far more symbolic than practical. Secondly, current disarmament is not irreversible. Nuclear powers are simply getting rid of their nuclear warheads by storing them away in warehouses; they could most definitely be used again should the situation change. Third, if we want to build a non-nuclear world, currently a distant dream, then nuclear states must take a little more responsibility instead of forever allowing non-nuclear states to assume this duty or that obligation. Fourth, nuclear states should abandon “pre-emptive” strategies. Refusing to allow people to develop nuclear weapons while threatening them with nuclear weapons — and moreover planning first use of nuclear weapons — is clearly of no help whatsoever to the processes of military restraint and disarmament. Fifth, nuclear states should take steps to prevent nuclear weapons from being updated. This vital point is applicable to the whole world. We hope that nuclear states can be responsible powers.

As Chinese, we wish more than any other people of this world to see it become a non-nuclear world. Looking to the future, denuclearization will be beneficial to China’s long-term security. But if America appears to be all talk and no action, or plots against China, then the current goodwill of the Chinese people will soon wear thin.


美核裁軍別拿中國說事/ 章麗華

美《核態勢報告》中所謂中國核項目不透明的說法,顯然是對中國核戰略的曲解和有意混淆。美國與亞洲盟國近年來沒少搞涉及核武器的協作,其中有些雖沒明說但顯然有針對中國之意。因此,現在要透明的應當是美國,而絕不是中國。

美國國防部長蓋茨6日召開新聞發布會,公布《核態勢評估報告》,宣布美國將削減核武器、停止發展新核武、降低核武器在國家安全戰略中的作用。但不承諾不首先使用核武器。然而,在美國的《核態勢評估報告》中,俄羅斯被提及了88次,中國被提及了37次。中國甚至被冠以「核不透明」的國家,更是引起了國際輿論的廣泛關注。

打擊目標縮至十國

奧巴馬政府日前公布了史無前例的美國新核政策:美國將不對無核國家使用核武器,這意味著俄中印等8個擁核國家將成為美國龐大核武庫的指向目標,美國輿論同時揣測,像伊朗和敘利亞這樣的國家不在美國豁免的名單上。世界媒體迅速出現了美國核打擊目標為「8+2」的說法。奧巴馬的這一政策被認為是為12日舉行的華盛頓核峰會做準備,但由於這一政策極其敏感,引來了潮水般的評價和猜測。多國媒體都以忐忑的態度評估這一政策對本國安全的影響,韓國媒體慶幸朝鮮未逃出美國視線,以色列《國土報》則說,「奧巴馬的新核時代對以色列不是好兆頭」。也有專家將美國此舉稱為「笑裡藏刀」。歐洲電視一台稱,這有助於美國佔據道德制高點,壓制那些有意獲得核武器的國家。核危險曾是冷戰時期最令世界恐怖的話題,奧巴馬的政策指向要拆除核問題的引擎,但誰都知道拆除本身更危險。各國必須非常謹慎地推動世界實質核裁軍的進程。

奧巴馬政府剛剛公布的新核政策,在全世界引起了十分複雜的反應。對熱愛和平的人們來說,這個新政策聽起來是悅耳的。大家在等著看,奧巴馬的下一步能否真的將這個政策貫徹下去,並走得更遠。

然而,無論從哪方面來說,讓自己龐大的核武庫瘦身,是美國不可推卸的國際責任。說白了,核軍備競爭是美國長期以來對世界和平欠下的債務。我們希望看到,美國人能早點還上這個債,為一個更安全的世界多做努力。

美國從自身的國家利益出發,依據新的國際形勢適當調整核戰略,也是明智之舉。但有些美國人似乎認為,這是對世界的巨大貢獻,並以此開始向別人要價。比如,在這個闡述新核政策的《核態勢評估報告》中,居然有部分專門指責「中國核項目不透明,讓亞洲鄰國和美國不放心」。這就太有失世界頭號大國的氣派了,難免會讓人猜測,美國核裁軍的大旗下是不是還遮掩著些什麼東西。

中國處「核包圍圈」中

美國希望藉新的核戰略,提升自身的道德影響力,減緩與俄羅斯的矛盾,並達到孤立和制裁伊朗、朝鮮的目的,這固然是符合美國利益的選擇。但是,美國有些人拿中國來說事,非但不能讓美國得分,反會大大失分。因為從全球有核國家的核戰略來看,中國是最負責任的。

中國地域廣大,安全環境如此複雜,但所擁有的核武庫規模卻是非常有限的,完全是出於自衛反擊的目的。一直以來,中國對核安全採取了非常嚴肅和負責任的態度,核管理措施也非常嚴格。甚至連美國專家也認為,由於中國的核政策是保持最低限度的威懾力和不首先使用核武器,中國的核武器也是最容易受到先發制人打擊的目標。因此,中國的核武器儲存的首要目的,是躲避敵人的第一輪攻擊,以便保持足夠的反擊能力。

從這個角度看,美《核態勢評估報告》中所謂中國核項目不透明的說法,顯然是對中國核戰略的曲解和有意混淆。要知道,美國曾有數百枚核彈頭直接對準中國。直至今天,美國的艦載核彈仍可以在極短時間內掉轉「槍口」指向中國,而美國與亞洲盟國近年來也沒少搞涉及核武器的協作,其中有些雖沒明說但顯然有針對中國之意。因此,現在要透明的應當是美國,而絕不是中國。中國是唯一處在「核包圍圈」中的大國。

有核國家須擔責任

近年來,各國為軍控和不擴散,特別是大規模殺傷性武器的不擴散,做了許多努力,而且在很多領域都取得了令人滿意的成果。美國總統奧巴馬去年提出「無核世界」的倡議,這對推動核軍控的談判和裁軍將是積極的。但要使核擴散開始止步,最主要的還是核國家的核政策。

首先是兩個超級大國的核裁軍進程。儘管進行了大幅度的裁減,但是這種裁減象徵意義遠遠大於實際意義。其次,現在的裁軍不是一種不可逆轉的裁軍。核大國只是把核彈頭卸下來,儲存到倉庫裡去,如果形勢出現逆轉,他們完全有可能重新使用這些核彈頭。第三,我們現在要建立無核世界,目標儘管遙遠,但有核國家更應負責一點,不要總是讓無核國家來承擔這個責任、那個義務。第四,核國家應該要放棄「先發制人」的戰略。你不讓人家發展核武器,但你又拿核武器來威脅別人,而且還準備首先用核武器來制人,「先發制人」這樣一種戰略對軍控和核裁軍的進程,顯然是非常不利的。第五,核國家應該採取措施,不要再進行核武器的現代化,這一點對於整個世界非常重要。我們希望核國家能做負責任的大國。

作為中國人,我們比任何一個國家的人民都更願意看到無核世界的實現。從長遠看,無核化對中國的長治久安是有利的。但如果只看到美國只說不做,還一心想在中國身上打主意,中國人現在的真誠就一定會受到傷害。
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