The Suicide Bomber: A Minor Danger?

Published in El Espectador
(Colombia) on 9 December 2010
by Juan Carlos Botero (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Talisa Anderson. Edited by Mark DeLucas.
Recently the Noble Prize winner of literature, Mario Vargas Llosa, published an article in El Pais in Madrid about the suicide bomber.

Following a historic review of World War II, the novelist describes how this type of suicide emerged, and his thesis is apocalyptic, something that others have already stated. The objects of suicide terrorism are not military-based nor well-kept, notes the writer; rather, they are public and defenseless. Today, technology permits for weapons that are easy to carry and hide, and democracies are more vulnerable; therefore, terrorism moves and hides without difficulty, up until the moment of detonating its mortal artifact. Lastly, its goal is not to win a war but rather to terrorize the population and cause open societies to cut back liberties and rights that they have seized with much force and pain. To sum it up, “democracies are no longer democratic.”

This is a dramatic vision, a problem for which little to nothing can be done. According to Vargas Llosa, the suicide bomber continues to win the war, and we, the vulnerable public, are condemned to suffer terror at the hands of fanatics who are willing to die for the sake of mining the pillars of the Occidental civilization.

Fareed Zakaria, however, has a distinct analysis. In the battle against terrorism, he asks, are we more or less safe than before? His answer is conclusive: more. Much more than before 9/11. And his reasons vary.

On the one hand, he calculates that al-Qaida has gone from having 20,000 combatants to less than 400. The offensive in Afghanistan, which overthrew the regime that was supporting bin Laden, destroyed al-Qaida campsites, forcing their members to flee to the mountains. The U.S., along with other countries, has succeeded in accosting the terrorist organization, obstructing their action and, above all, cutting their required revenue to finance their terrorist campaigns. The result is that their initial objective of inflicting hits of great impact on American territory has become very difficult. And the brutal attacks in Madrid, Bali and London, for example, have only estranged the local population against their cause and leaders.

The real danger of al-Qaida, says Zakaria, was not a handful of terrorist attacks but the awakening sympathy for the jihad (the holy war) among the 1.57 billion Muslims in the world, which might conceivably unleash waves of terror. This has not happened. Furthermore, support for the terrorist is decreasing every day. In Muslim countries with elections, parties associated with Islamic extremism have performed very poorly (including in Pakistan, which has the worst terrorism problem in the world), and increasingly, their civic and religious leaders condemn the violence of al-Qaida.

We are not out of harm’s way, says Zakaria, nor will we ever be, because that is the risk of all open societies. It is difficult to be a terrorist in North Korea, as has been shown. But after 9/11, the world has stopped terror's progress: Al-Qaida is debilitated militarily and economically, and its internal divisions have atomized the central command. This is hardly ever mentioned in the news, but the real danger has been reduced and we should act (and write) with this new reality in mind.


El terrorista suicida: ¿peligro menor?
Por: Juan Carlos Botero
EN DÍAS PASADOS EL PREMIO NOBEL de literatura, Mario Vargas Llosa, publicó un artículo en El País de Madrid sobre el terrorista suicida.
Luego de un repaso histórico a partir de la Segunda Guerra Mundial, el novelista describe cómo surgió este tipo de asesino, y su tesis, que otros han dicho ya, es apocalíptica. Los objetivos del terrorista suicida no son militares y bien cuidados, anota el escritor, sino públicos e indefensos; hoy la tecnología permite que sus armas sean fáciles de portar y ocultar; las democracias son más vulnerables, pues allí el terrorista se mueve y esconde sin dificultad, hasta el instante de detonar su artefacto mortal; por último, su meta no es ganar una guerra sino aterrorizar a la población, y llevar a que las sociedades abiertas recorten las libertades y los derechos que se han conquistado con tanto esfuerzo y dolor. Así, resume, “las democracias van dejando de ser democráticas”.
Ésta es una visión dramática, un problema ante lo cual poco o nada se puede hacer. Según Vargas Llosa, el terrorista suicida va ganando la guerra, y nosotros, el público inerme, estamos condenados a sufrir el terror en manos de fanáticos que están dispuestos a morir con tal de minar los pilares de la civilización Occidental.
Fareed Zakaria, en cambio, tiene un análisis distinto. En la batalla contra el terrorismo, se pregunta, ¿estamos más o menos seguros que antes? Su respuesta es contundente: más. Mucho más que antes del 9/11. Y sus razones son varias.
De un lado, se calcula que Al Qaeda ha pasado de tener unos 20 mil combatientes a menos de 400. La ofensiva en Afganistán, que derrocó el régimen que apoyaba a Bin Laden, permitió destruir sus campamentos, forzando a sus integrantes a huir a las montañas. EE.UU., junto con otros países, ha logrado acosar la organización terrorista, dificultando su acción y, ante todo, cortando los ingresos requeridos para financiar sus campañas terroristas. El resultado es que su objetivo inicial, asestar golpes de gran impacto en territorio gringo, se ha vuelto muy difícil. Y los ataques brutales en Madrid, Bali y Londres, por ejemplo, sólo han enemistado a la población local en contra de su causa y líderes.
El verdadero peligro de Al Qaeda, dice Zakaria, no era un puñado de ataques terroristas, sino que despertara simpatía por la Yihad (la guerra santa) entre los 1,57 mil millones de musulmanes en el mundo, desatando olas de terror. Eso no ha ocurrido. Más aún, el apoyo a la causa terrorista es cada día menor. En los países musulmanes con elecciones, los partidos asociados al extremismo islámico han tenido un desempeño muy pobre (incluso en Pakistán, que tiene el peor problema de terrorismo en el mundo), y cada vez más sus líderes cívicos y religiosos condenan la violencia de Al Qaeda. No estamos a salvo, dice Zakaria, ni lo estaremos jamás, porque ése es el riesgo de toda sociedad abierta. Es difícil ser terrorista en Corea del Norte, señala. Pero luego del 9/11 el mundo ha frenado su avance: Al Qaeda se ha debilitado, militar y económicamente, y sus divisiones internas han atomizado el comando central. Esto casi nunca se dice en los medios, pero su peligro real se ha reducido, y deberíamos actuar (y escribir) con esa nueva realidad en mente.
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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