The U.S. Will Rearrange the Order of the Middle East

Published in ifeng
(Hong Kong) on 3 May 2011
by Chen Bing (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Pak Ng. Edited by Hoishan Chan.
The U.S. intends to use the assault to demonstrate that if it can conduct a precise raid on bin Laden, then it is also capable of launching attacks on any defiant strongmen in the Middle East.

Bin Laden was killed by U.S. Navy Seal commandos. This has given people an impression that the U.S. is the most powerful country in the world. This was just an attack initiated by the U.S. under a somewhat orderly-yet-chaotic situation in the Middle East. This raid was a symbol that an era of the war on terror had ended, as well as a prelude of the reorganization of the layouts in the Middle East. To Obama, the announcement of the death of bin Laden was a declaration of a revitalization of his reelection campaign. But to the world, the killing of bin Laden signified that the U.S. will continue to exercise its influence.

The U.S. military already knew of the whereabouts of bin Laden several months ago. The choice to get rid of him now must has been deeply pondered upon and thoroughly deliberated. The U.S. planned to use the killing of bin Laden to make a statement that if it is able to carry out a precise attack on the face of terrorism, who moved around in inhospitable mountains and deserted hills for many years, then it also has the ability to launch such offense on all defiant strongmen in the Middle East such as Libya's Gadhafi and Iran’s Ahmadinejad. The killing of bin Laden served as the U.S.’s warning, frightening to those anti-American leaders in the Middle East. This might just be a U.S. strategy to settle the frustrating Middle East with deterrence and wins hands down, and then reconstruct the Middle East’s geopolitical map in accordance with American intentions.

The U.S. military transferred the commanding power on attack of Libya to NATO. This was viewed by many countries as an indication that the U.S.’s strength cannot match its ambitions. However, the execution of bin Laden has shown that the U.S. military is capable of sparing extra manpower and material resources in places where they think that it is worth intervening. Even though U.S. military boots don’t step on Libya, don’t tread on Syria and don’t kick Iran, the pressure is already on these countries.

Now that bin Laden has been executed, the U.S. will gradually free itself from the war on terror and put its efforts into reconciliation and cooperation with Islamic countries. Obama’s reassertion that “we must also reaffirm that the United States is not — and never will be — at war with Islam” was a painful conclusion to make after reexamining both wars in Afghanistan and Iraq with pangs in the heart. Besides applying deterrence on countries which are disobedient to the U.S., the Americans will use means of wooing to draw more and more Middle East countries into its own sphere of influence. This will not only obtain concrete interests for the U.S., but also will make it easier to quickly ground the “sandstorm” in the Middle East — and transform it into a place where the U.S. can exercise its power.

In a pro-bin Laden era, the U.S. will act even more freely and redefine its relations with India and Pakistan. The U.S. especially emphasized that the execution of bin Laden was carried out by the U.S. military alone; this implied that the U.S. has already distanced itself from Pakistan. India and Afghanistan immediately criticized Pakistan for being a haven for terrorists, which provoked a collision between India and Pakistan, and there have been early indications as to which side the U.S. will stand by. Because of the war on terror and the need to kill bin Laden, the U.S. had no choice but to tie itself to Pakistan, but now the U.S. might begin to incline toward India.

In addition, there is Israel and Palestine, whose conflicts might become more frequent and more intense. Hamas, which has won the heart of the Palestinians, has criticized the U.S. for killing a holy fighter, but Israel has been in jubilation. The scene of this clash is already smoky between Palestine and Israel.

Bin Laden is dead now, but the bell of peace has not yet been struck. The biggest winner is Obama himself — he has not only accumulated capital for his reelection campaign, but also made practical contribution to the reinforcement of the U.S.’s influence. What I, as a writer, want to say is: President Obama, please take out the Nobel Peace Prize that you have put aside, look at it closely and exert sustainable efforts to make it a deserved honor.


陈冰:美国将重构中东格局
Chen Bing: The U.S. Will Rearrange Orders of Aspects in the Middle East


2011年05月03日 07:39
来源:新京报 作者:陈冰


美国是想借此说明:它能对本·拉登进行精确打击,也就有能力对中东的所有不听话的强人进行攻击。

拉登被美军给击毙了,给人的直观感觉是美国是世界最强国,这正是美国在中东局势“理还乱”的情况下做出的一击,既是反恐时代告一段落的象征,也是中 东格局重新勾勒的前奏。对奥巴马来说,宣布拉登死亡,是他连任复活的宣言。而对世界来说,击毙拉登意味着美国要持续发挥影响力。

几个月前,美军就掌握了拉登的行踪,选择在现在干掉他,必然是经过深思熟虑的。美国是想借此说明:它能对荒山野岭中穿行多年的恐怖头子进行精确打 击,也就有能力对中东的所有不听话的强人,如利比亚的卡扎菲,伊朗的内贾德,进行攻击,击毙拉登是美国对中东的反美领导人的警告和威慑。这也许正是美国想 用威慑力、用不战而胜的策略,来平息中东的烦躁,并且按照自己的意图来重构中东的地缘政治版图。

美军把袭击利比亚的指挥权交给北约,被不少国家视为是力不从心的表现。但是拉登被击毙,意味着美军能够腾出更多的人力物力,来应对他们认为值得干预的地方。即便美国的军靴不踩利比亚,不踏叙利亚,不踢伊朗,对这些国家都是一种压力。

击毙拉登,美国会渐渐从反恐战争中脱身,着力于与伊斯兰国家的和解和合作。奥巴马所重申的“美国没有也绝对不会对伊斯兰发动战争”,是美国阿富汗、 伊拉克两场战争后的痛定思痛。除了对不听美国话的国家进行威慑外,美国会用拉拢的手段,把更多中东国家拉到自己的势力范围,既为美国获得实际利益,也有利 于让中东“沙尘暴”尽快落地。这同样是美国发力的地方。

没有拉登的今后,美国还会在南亚放开手脚,重新界定与印度、巴基斯坦的关系。美国特别强调击毙拉登是美军单独干的,意味着与巴基斯坦已经拉开了距 离。印度和阿富汗马上批评巴基斯坦是恐怖分子的“窝藏地”,已经挑起了印巴冲突,而美国站在哪一方也早有表现。为了反恐战争和击毙拉登,美国不得不与巴基 斯坦捆绑在一起,但现在,美国可能向印度倾斜。

还有以色列和巴勒斯坦。他们的冲突或许会更频繁,更激烈。在巴勒斯坦深得民心的哈马斯,批评美国杀害了“圣斗士”,而以色列则在欢呼,巴以双方的冲突嗤嗤冒烟。

拉登是死了,但和平的钟声并没有敲响。最大的获益者就是奥巴马本人,既为连任积累了资本,也为增强美国的影响力做出了实际贡献。笔者所想说的是,奥巴马总统,请把藏起来的诺贝尔和平奖重新拿出来端详,并努力使它实至名归吧。
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