Obama: Powerless in the Middle East

Published in Frankfurter Rundschau
(Germany) on 31 October 2011
by Gil Yaron (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Ron Argentati. Edited by Andrew Schmidt .
UNESCO voting reveals that no one is impressed by Obama's threats

"Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far." That was the advice once given by President Theodore Roosevelt, but that advice is apparently lost on Barack Obama. The UNESCO vote shows that no one is impressed by Obama's threats. Relations between the U.S., Israel and the Palestinian Authority are topsy-turvy because Obama should basically be able to dictate terms to Israel and Fatah: Last year, the United States funded nearly 16 percent of the Palestinian budget and Israel received about $3 billion in military aid as well as diplomatic backing from the United States. Despite that, both Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Mahmoud Abbas ignore the United States.

One side continues to build new settlements and the other prefers to follow a unilateral strategy rather than to negotiate. Netanyahu fears no consequences because he has the support of the U.S. Congress and Abbas knows that the only alternative to his Fatah is the radical Islamist Hamas. Obama has maneuvered the Middle East peace process into a dead end. His threats are useless because he has no alternatives. Whatever alternatives he has available would damage the United States more than they would harm either Israel or Palestine. If Obama cuts funding to Abbas or UNESCO, he loses important allies and credibility in the Arab world. If he continues on his present course, his threats will never be taken seriously again.


Obama ist machtlos im Nahen Osten

Die Abstimmung in der Unesco zeigt, dass Obamas Drohungen niemanden beeindrucken.


"Wenn du überzeugen willst, sprich leise und höflich, aber trage stets einen dicken Knüppel bei dir." Dies riet einst US-Präsident Theodore Roosevelt. Barack Obama scheint dieser Ratschlag nicht zu helfen. Die Abstimmung in der Unesco zeigt, dass Obamas Drohungen niemanden beeindrucken. Die Beziehungen zwischen den USA, Israel und der Palästinensischen Autonomiebehörde stehen Kopf. Denn im Grunde sollte Obama Israel und der Fatah Diktate aufzwingen können. Im vergangenen Jahr trugen die USA rund 16 Prozent des Haushalts der Autonomiebehörde. Israel erhielt etwa 3 Milliarden US-Dollar Militärhilfe und diplomatische Rückendeckung. Dennoch ignorieren Premier Benjamin Netanjahu und Präsident Abbas Amerika.


Der eine baut weiter Siedlungen, der andere verfolgt lieber eine einseitige Strategie, als zu verhandeln. Netanjahu fürchtet keine Konsequenzen, weil der US-Kongress hinter ihm steht, Abbas weiß, dass die Fatah die einzige Alternative zur radikal-islamischen Hamas ist. Obama hat den Friedensprozess in eine Sackgasse manövriert. Seine Drohungen sind mangels Alternativen unwirksam: Ihre Verwirklichung würde den USA mehr schaden als Israel oder den Palästinensern. Kappt Obama die Finanzhilfe an Abbas und die Unesco, verlöre er wichtige Verbündete und seine Glaubwürdigkeit im arabischen Raum. Zahlt er weiter, kann er niemandem wieder glaubhaft drohen.

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