What Is Hidden Behind US Anxiety With Making Peace With DPRK?

Published in Nanfang
(China) on 5 March 2012
by Jun Xiliu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yu Huifang. Edited by Tom Proctor.
On Feb. 29, the DPRK declared the results of a recent third round of high-level talks with the U.S., stating that both parties have reached an agreement. The DPRK has decided on a moratorium on nuclear testing, long-range missile tests and uranium enrichment activities and allowing the International Atomic Energy Agency to suspend the DPRK's uranium enrichment activities.

On the same day, the U.S. Department of State said that the U.S. has agreed to hold talks with the DPRK and has decided to provide 24 tons of food assistance to the DPRK. From the statement, the DPRK's move is said “To improve the atmosphere for dialogue and demonstrate its commitment to denuclearization.”

These two enemies made peace in the Beijing talks on Feb. 24. The DPRK has demonstrated a smart and flexible stance when it comes to abandoning its nuclear program, and this has paved the way for peaceful six-party talks.

The U.S. too has extended leafy branches of the olive tree to the DPRK. This means that the U.S. will no longer be hostile towards the DPRK and is prepared to show respect for sovereignty, equality and improving bilateral relations. This is an indication of the U.S.' willingness to adopt measures to have personnel exchanges in culture, education, sports and other fields. With more efforts to give more food aid and reopening the six-party talks, the priority of the talks will be on discussing the lifting sanctions against the DPRK and the issue of providing a light water reactor.

At the same time, spokesmen for both the Foreign Ministry of Japan and South Korea welcomed the results of the U.S.-DPRK talks.

China, host for the six-party talks, appreciated how the DPRK and the U.S. have reaffirmed their commitments made in the September 19, 2005 Joint Statement and have since taken positive steps. The Chinese welcome them to improve relations and to contribute to the maintenance of peace and stability on the Korean peninsula. The purpose of the six-party talks is the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula, which is an important mechanism for maintaining peace and stability in the region. In order to realize the long-term stability of the Korean peninsula and Northeast Asia, China is willing to make joint efforts with relevant parties to progress the six-party talks.

The decline in American economic potential in recent years means the U.S. has neither the intention nor the ability to win two major wars, even if it wants to dominate the world. Therefore, the U.S. has to stabilize the DPRK before dealing with Iran. Only when there is peace in the Korean peninsula can it put its mind to other things.

As a result, the U.S. has turned its head and raised its voice to Iran. White House spokesman Jay Carney said that although Iran has not started producing nuclear weapons, the U.S. is not abandoning the military strike option. It will impose further pressure to strengthen sanctions. The U.S. military is fighting against Iran under the guise of strengthening sanctions. If Iran does not succumb to the pressure of the U.S. and other Western countries, military strikes will probably be next.

U.S. Air Force Chief of Staff, Gen. Norton A. Schwartz, said on Feb. 29 that if the U.S. military carries out air strikes on Iran, the scale would be unprecedented. He also revealed that the U.S. military might use giant earth-penetrating bombs, which are six meters long and weigh 15 tons, to destroy Iran's underground nuclear facilities.

If a Gulf War should fall upon Iran again, the scenes of war will be very tragic. The author [of this editorial], Jun Xiliu, made this analysis:

First of all, the armies of the U.S., Israel, Britain and so on have to have a group of at least six aircraft carriers at the Straits of Hormuz, surrounding Iran. Once the air strikes start, Iran will launch its submarines, torpedoes and anti-ship missiles at this group of aircraft carriers. It is estimated from the previous week's confrontation that one-third of Iran's military power and facilities will be destroyed and that the allies will lose at least three aircraft carriers, which include about 10,000 naval and logistical personnel.

Next, the allies will have have gathered 1,000 combat aircraft to repeatedly bomb Iran's 1.636 million square kilometers of nuclear, military and important economic facilities, oil pipelines and some of its civilian facilities. Almost all of the above will be destroyed within two weeks. The Middle East, Gulf region, North Africa, Central Africa, Central Asia, Eastern Europe and the surrounding areas would be engulfed in smoke, and the Strait of Hormuz would then become a death strait. Nuclear radiation would then penetrate into the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Oceans. And this would result in a one-third of the world's population being contaminated by the nuclear material.

Thirdly, Russian anti-aircraft missiles bought by Iran will display their full power. Within a week, 200 advanced aircraft would be shot down. Pilots that were alive would be captured and beheaded in public. Such scenes would return to the U.S., and the mothers of these pilots would be devastated and subsequently start a demonstration several times bigger than the demonstrations during the Iraq war. They would declare that the entire territory of the U.S. should be occupied. At the same time, Iran would fire a dozen or more different types of missiles toward the Middle East, the Gulf region, the U.S. positions among the Gulf region and Israeli territory. The injured, including the allies, the Israelis, the Iranians, the needy people in the surrounding areas and so on would reach more than 1 million. The war, started by the U.S., would create an even greater crisis for mankind.


军细柳:美国急于与朝鲜握手言欢有啥隐情?

2月29日,朝鲜宣布了日前举行的朝美第三次高级别会谈的成果,表示双方达成协议,朝鲜决定暂停核试验、远程导弹试射及铀浓缩活动,并允许国际原子能机构对朝鲜暂停铀浓缩活动进行监督。

同日,美国国务院也发表声明说,美方同意与朝鲜举行会谈,决定向朝方提供24万吨营养食品的援助。声明把朝鲜的上述举动称作“改善对话气氛、展示弃核承诺”之举。

两个宿敌在24日以来的北京会谈中握手言欢。朝鲜展示出了聪明、灵活的弃核之态,为“六方会谈”铺就了平和、洁净的红地毯。

美国也向朝鲜伸出了枝叶茂密的橄榄枝,以单纯、全新的一只胡萝卜,展示出了四川式变脸的笑脸定格。言下之意:美国将不再敌视朝鲜,已做好准备本着尊重主权、平等的精神改善双边关系。表示愿意采取措施扩大文化、教育、体育等各领域的人员交往。努力促成更多的粮食援助,重开“六方会谈”后,将优先讨论解除对朝制裁和提供轻水反应堆问题。

与此同时,日韩外交部发言人异口同声地对美朝会谈所取得的成果表示涕泗滂沱的感激和欢迎,对美国主子的这种高姿态表现出了由衷地聆听。

作为“六方会谈”的主席国,中国赞赏朝美双方重申履行9·19共同声明中所作承诺,并将为此采取积极步骤。中方欢迎朝美改善关系,为维护半岛和平稳定作出贡献。六方会谈是实现半岛无核化、维护半岛和平稳定的重要机制,中方愿与有关各方共同努力,继续推进六方会谈进程,为实现半岛和东北亚地区长治久安发挥建设性作用。

由于美国近年来经济势衰,要称霸世界,已无心或无力打赢两场局部战争。所以,收拾伊朗必须先稳住朝鲜。半岛无战事,有心顾旁处。

于是,美国回头就对伊朗提高了声调。白宫发言人杰伊·卡尼说,伊朗虽然尚未开始制造核武器,但美国不放弃军事打击选项,将“进一步施加压力,强化制裁”。高调制裁只是美国军事打击伊朗的幌子,伊朗在高压制裁下不屈服于美国等西方国家,那么,军事打击也许就在明天凌晨。

美国空军参谋长施瓦兹上将29日说,如果美军一旦对伊朗进行空袭,其规模将是“空前”的。施瓦兹透露:美军在空袭时可能会动用6米多长,重达15吨的“巨型钻地炸弹”来摧毁伊朗地下核设施。

如果再一次的海湾战争就要落到伊朗头上,那么,战争的场面将是十分惨烈的。笔者军细柳在此分析一下:

首先,美国、以色列、英国等军队需要在霍尔木兹等伊朗周边海峡集结6艘以上航母战斗群,一旦空袭开始,伊朗深潜在水下的潜艇、鱼雷、反舰导弹就会齐向敌人的航母战斗群发射,估计在先前一周的对垒中,伊朗有三分之一的军力和设施被摧毁,盟军至少损失三艘以上航母战斗群、有约10000名海军及后勤人员掉进海里喂鱼。

其次,盟军大约集结1000架作战飞机反复向伊朗163.6万平方公里国土上的核设施、军用设施、重要经济设施、石油管道及部分民用设施进行狂轰滥炸,半个月之内几乎全部被摧毁。整个中东地区、海湾地区、北非、中非、中亚、东欧中欧等周边地区浓烟滚滚、乌云压境,霍尔木兹海峡从此成为死亡海峡,地中海、黑海、红海从此成为死海,核辐射甚至进入大西洋、印度洋、太平洋,受核污染人数达到全球总人口的三分之一。

第三,伊朗购买的俄罗斯系列防空导弹发挥了最大威力,盟军在一周内有200架先进战机被击落,活擒的敌方飞行员大多被砍头示众,镜头传回美国,母亲们伤心欲绝,继而组织了比伊拉克战争期间还要庞大几倍的反战游行,扬言要“占领美国全境”。与此同时,伊朗的十多种类型导弹射向中东地区、海湾地区的美国据点和以色列国土,伤亡人员包括盟军、以色列人、伊朗人及周边地区无辜人等达到100万以上。尸横遍野,霍乱暴发,以美国为首发动的伊朗战争,从此造成更大的人间灾难。
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