New US Strategy in Asia Not a Blank Check

Published in The China Times
(Taiwan) on 26 December 2012
by Zeng Fusheng (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Kathleen Weinberger.
U.S. President Obama recently nominated Democrat John Kerry for Secretary of State, also sending Harvard professor Joseph Nye as an emissary to Japan.

From the marked contrast between the collective strengths of the U.S. and China in the Asia-Pacific region, there has emerged a new and constantly shifting landscape. International zones within the region, including international waters, airspace, outer space, the Internet and even the electromagnetic spectrum will be an arena for competition and cooperation between the two powers. Now, the CCP's (Chinese Communist Party) active development of its military capabilities has already made the U.S. and the region's major players aware of the coming competition for rights over the control and use of these areas.

The U.S. is essentially pursuing both peaceful and military avenues in response to these new circumstances. From a military and strategic standpoint, the U.S. has not only positioned air and naval forces in Asia and the Pacific, but has also begun to develop a strategic alliance with the U.S., Japan, India and Australia as its primary axis. At the same time, it has officially invited India to participate in joint development efforts for the F-35 stealth fighter. Apart from this, the U.S. has also taken positive steps, including the creation of mechanisms for national security-related and strategic dialogue between the U.S. and China, the development of frameworks for cooperation on regional security and a strong emphasis on the costs of military conflict in Asia and the Pacific. It has also encouraged nations bordering China to develop bilateral or multilateral mechanisms for mutual trust between their militaries and that of the CCP. These policies show the strategic thoughts and concrete actions of the U.S. in responding to these new circumstances in Asia, and are both meticulous and flexible.

Facing the intensification of regional disputes over the sovereignty of several islands, increasing numbers of U.S. strategists believe that it should move forward with its "strategic rebalance to Asia"; however, the U.S. cannot allow its Asian allies to use treaties and security pledges with the U.S. to do as they will and pull the U.S. into a military confrontation with China. "We have to be careful that we don't feed that dynamic," said former U.S. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Michele Flournoy, speaking of the Philippines mistakenly viewing U.S. support as an opportunity to more aggressively state its claims.

Also, at a forum hosted by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a Washington think tank, many strategists believed that the U.S. has increased cooperation with its Asian allies, but has caused these nations to misunderstand America's intentions to support them; they have subsequently become more boldly expansionist and imagine that the U.S. will support them militarily, forming a dangerous trend. As a result, the U.S. must clearly communicate that it politically supports a peaceful solution to disputes in Asia and the Pacific, but will not choose sides in issues of sovereignty. At the same time, the U.S. must convey that its security pledges with Asian states are conditional, rather than a blank check.

President Ma pointed out that Taiwan currently wishes to maintain a relationship of peaceful development with the mainland, preserve amicable cooperation with Japan and consolidate its closely-knit security and economic partnership with the U.S. Aside from this, President Ma emphasized that Taiwan's "East China Sea Peace Initiative" echoes mainstream opinions in U.S. strategic circles and Taiwan’s view that the U.S. security promise of a "strategic rebalance to Asia" is not a blank check to be used freely, so as to make the Republic of China into a force for peace and stability in the region.

The author is an adviser for the National Policy Foundation's National Security Division.


 美國總統歐巴馬於日前提名民主黨籍凱瑞出任國務卿,並由哈佛大學教授奈伊擔任駐日大使。

 隨著中國大陸與美國在亞太地區綜合國力的對比,出現消長變化的新形勢,亞太地區公共領域包括公海、空中航線、太空領域,以及網路電磁頻譜空間等,都將出現美中兩強競合的格局。目前,中共積極發展的軍事能量,已經讓美國及亞太地區主要國家意識到,亞太公共領域的控制權與使用權,將出現權力重組的競爭。

 基本上,美國正採取和戰兩手策略,應對亞太新局勢。在軍事安全領域,美國除積極在亞太地區部署空海一體戰能量外,並開始發展以美、日、印度、澳洲為主軸的亞太戰略同盟,同時正式邀請印度參加F-35匿蹤戰機的合作開發計畫。此外,美國亦運用積極性措施,包括建立美國與中共的國防戰略對話機制、發展區域性的安全合作架構、強調亞太地區若爆發軍事衝突所必須要付出的代價,以及鼓勵中國大陸周邊國家與中共發展雙邊,或多邊性質的軍事互信機制等。這些策略展現美國應對亞太新局的戰略思維與具體做法,趨向細緻與靈活。

 面對亞太地區島嶼主權爭議激化,有越來越多的美國戰略圈人士認為,美國積極推動「亞太再平衡戰略」措施,但不能讓部分亞太盟邦,利用美國與盟國間條約的安全承諾,為所欲為,並拖美國下水與中共發生軍事衝突。前美國國防部政策次長芙蘿諾表示,「我們必須謹慎,不要助長這種態勢」,例如菲律賓誤將美國的支持,視為更加武斷地宣示其主張的機會。另在華府智庫卡內基國際和平基金會舉辦的研討會上,多數的戰略圈人士認為,美國增加與亞太盟國的合作,但卻讓這些國家誤解美國支持他們的意圖,進而更加大膽的採取擴張主權的行動,並假設美國將在軍事上支持他們,這是很危險的趨勢;因此,美國必須明確表示,美國在政治上支持亞太地區的爭議以和平方式解決,但在主權問題上美國不會選邊站。同時,美國須向亞太國家表明其安全承諾是有條件的,不可能是一張「空白支票」。

 日前,馬總統指出,我國希望與大陸維持和平發展關係、與日本保持友好合作,並與美國鞏固密切的安全與經濟夥伴關係;此外,馬總統強調我國提出「東海和平倡議」,就是呼應美國戰略圈的主流意見,不要把美國「亞太再平衡戰略」的安全承諾,視為可以為所欲為的「空白支票」,進而營造中華民國成為亞太和平穩定貢獻者的能量。(作者為國家政策研究基金會國安組顧問)
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