Booming US Car Sales Could Lead to the Next Crisis

Published in der Tagesspiegel
(Germany) on 5 January 2013
by Henrik Mortsiefer (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Ron Argentati. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
The American dream doesn't work without cars. Owning your own pickup or having a limousine in the garage is something almost every American wants. Those who can afford it fulfill their dreams of mobile independence in chrome and leather. On the street, the norm is “bigger, faster, wider.” Carbon dioxide emission figures? A foreign language in the United States. The fact that most customers don't have the ready cash to buy a Ford SUV or even a BMW X5 doesn't bother people because low interest rates are stimulating car sales. The crisis the industry suffered through in 2009/2010, which some manufacturers survived only because of government bailouts, seems largely forgotten.

American consumers have very short memories and their credit card financed lifestyles don't seem to cause them any concern for the future. Audi, BMW, Mercedes and Porsche are overjoyed that their cars are so desired by those upper class customers overseas while their European sales lag. But they shouldn't consider their distant customer base as permanent. Another fiscal cliff or stricter environmental laws could put the brakes on the auto boom. What happens when millions of Americans get into debt over their heads has already been shown by the American real estate bubble.


Der US-Autoboom könnte zur nächsten Krise führen
Von Henrik Mortsiefer
05.01.2013


Die US-Autoindustrie boomt, vergessen scheint die Krise der Branche 2009/2010. Niedrige Zinsen kurbeln das Geschäft an - doch schon bald könnte der Boom ausgebremst werden.


Ohne Autos funktioniert der amerikanische Traum nicht. Der eigene Pick-up, die eigene Limousine in der Garage – das wollen fast alle Amerikaner. Wer es sich leisten kann, erfüllt sich diesen Traum von der mobilen Unabhängigkeit in Lack und Leder. Auf der Straße dominiert das Prinzip „Größer, schneller, breiter“. CO2-Werte? In den USA ein Fremdwort. Dass vielen US-Käufern eigentlich die finanziellen Möglichkeiten fehlen, um sich einen Ford-SUV oder gar einen BMW X5 zu leisten, stört wenig. Niedrige Zinsen kurbeln das Geschäft an. Vergessen scheint die Krise der Branche 2009/2010, die GM, Chrysler und Ford nur dank staatlicher Hilfe überlebten.

Amerikanische Konsumenten haben ein Kurzzeitgedächtnis – und ihr Lebensstil auf Pump kennt keine Zukunftssorgen. Das freut Audi, BMW, Mercedes und Porsche, die in Übersee jene Oberklasse verkaufen, die es in Europa schwer hat. So sorglos wie ihre Kundschaft sollten sie aber nicht werden. Eine neue Fiskalklippe oder schärfere Umweltgesetze könnten den Autoboom ausbremsen. Und was passiert, wenn Millionen Kredite überschuldeter Amerikaner platzen, zeigt die US-Immobilienkrise.
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