Obama Under Pressure To Show Who Is the Boss

Published in La Nación
(Argentina) on 6 March 2014
by Silvia Pisani (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Alvaro Rodriguez. Edited by Kyrstie Lane.
He didn’t even have time to breathe. Just after Obama, through diplomacy, managed to calm the Syrian situation that resulted from his failed intervention in this country, Russia’s Vladimir Putin gained momentum in his quest to become the executioner who will put an end to the national and international political leadership of Obama.

Among other things, during the last months Putin’s Russia managed to stop the intervention of the U.S. and its allies in Syria. Today, Bashar al-Assad remains in Damascus, even though he used sarin gas on his own people.

Not only that. Moscow plays an active role in the conflict between Israel and Palestine, took part in solving the problem with the Iranian nuclear program and has announced negotiations with North Korea.

Regarding American diplomacy as weak, Putin gave shelter to Edward Snowden, a former CIA analyst, despite the United States' warning not to do it.

“There is not enough recent progress in our bilateral agenda,” Obama said at the time in a statement that preceded his “retaliation,” that is, cancelling a bilateral meeting with Putin in St. Petersburg.

But back home in America it seems that Obama’s warnings make him look weaker than Putin. In Congress, reproaches by Republicans who can’t bear what they consider to be little short of humiliation are growing.

“Something must be done as soon as possible,” said the chairman of the United States House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Republican Edward Royce.*

However, so far the Democratic administration’s warnings — which range from economic sanctions to suspension of military exercises and commercial meetings in Moscow — haven’t worked to persuade Russia to move its troops away from the occupied Crimea.

“We already know Obama is not good at threatening,” Republican Lindsay Graham, the United States senator from North Carolina, commented very critically.*

The remarks made by the Republicans every time Putin and Obama argue are likely spot on. Few believed last night that Russia would accept the decision to withdraw. "I'm not optimistic they're going to leave," admitted the former United States ambassador to Moscow, Michael McFaul.

The mistrust between both countries increases, which is sometimes reminiscent of Cold War times. It’s a worrying situation for Obama, who is under pressure to show that he can influence Putin on a conflict that is deepening between the West and the East.

The problem for Obama is that, after his many disagreements with Putin, it seems the Russian has scored more points. He has forced Obama to hold another round of negotiations, which weren’t in Obama’s schedule.

"I think that, since the issue of Snowden, we have been seeing the end of Obama's plan to relaunch relations with Moscow," said Matt Mitchell (of the Carnegie Centre for International Studies).**

Mitchell added, "That was nothing but the end of a series of events that show the relations between the two capitals don't work."*

Having become a powder keg, the Ukraine crisis is related to the pressure Moscow wants to impose on Washington. By doing so, Moscow compels Washington to put rhetoric aside and exhaust itself during the negotiations to the rhythm of Russian events.

*Editor’s Note: This quote, accurately translated, could not be verified.
**Editor’s Note: This quote could not be verified. The author is probably referring to the Carnegie Center for International Relations and Politics.


No le dio tiempo ni a respirar. Apenas logró estabilizarse la diplomacia de Barack Obama del pantano en que terminó su fallida intervención en Siria, el ruso Vladimir Putin tomó nuevo impulso en su afán por convertirse en el verdugo local e internacional del liderazgo político del norteamericano.

En rápido recuento, en los últimos meses la Rusia de Putin fue capaz de abortar la anunciada intervención de Estados Unidos y sus aliados en Siria. Nada de eso ocurrió y hoy su aliado, Bashar al-Assad, sigue en Damasco, tras haber disparado con gas sarín a su propia gente.

No sólo eso. Moscú tiene un papel activo en el conflicto entre Israel y Palestina, intervino en la solución sobre el programa nuclear de Irán y adelanta un proceso de negociación con Corea del Norte.

Para frutilla del amargo postre que le hace comer a una diplomacia norteamericana que intuye débil, Putin acaba de dar asilo al ex analista de la CIA Edward Snowden, pese a la advertencia de Washington de que no lo hiciera.

"Nuestras relaciones bilaterales no están avanzando como se esperaba", fue lo que dijo por entonces Obama. La sentencia fue el prolegómeno de su "represalia" de ese momento. Esto es, cancelar una reunión bilateral con el ruso en San Petersburgo.

Pero en casa las advertencias de Obama parecen descolocarlo frente al ruso. En el Congreso crecen los reproches de republicanos que no soportan lo que consideran poco menos que una humillación.

"Hay que hacer algo cuanto antes", dijo el presidente del Comité de Relaciones Exteriores de la Cámara de Representantes, el republicano Edward Royce.

Pero hasta ahora las advertencias de la administración demócrata -un abanico que incluye sanciones económicas y la suspensión de ejercicios militares y de conversaciones comerciales con Moscú- no sirvieron de mucho para persuadir a Rusia de que retirara sus tropas de la invadida Crimea.

"Ya sabemos que Obama no sirve para amenazar", comentó, mucho más crítico, el senador republicano por Carolina del Norte Lindsay Graham.

Más allá de la harina que hacen los republicanos cada vez que Putin le amarga el trigo a Obama, lo cierto es que es posible que sus observaciones resulten certeras. Eran pocos los que anoche creían que los rusos se mostrarían dispuestos a replegarse. "Yo no soy muy optimista de que vayan a retirarse", admitió el reciente ex embajador norteamericano ante Moscú Michael McFaul.

La desconfianza entre las dos capitales crece, y por momentos retrotrae a la Guerra Fría. Es un escenario preocupante para Obama, que está bajo presión de mostrar que tiene influencia en Putin en un conflicto que tiende a profundizarse entre el Este y el Oeste.

"Creo que ya desde el episodio de Snowden asistimos al final de la política de relanzamiento de la relación con Moscú que había propuesto Obama", sostuvo Matt Mitchell, del Centro Carneggie de Estudios Internacionales.

"Y ése no fue sino el final de una seguidilla de episodios que muestran que la relación entre las dos capitales no funciona", añadió.

El problema para Obama es que, hasta ahora, en el conteo de la seguidilla de desencuentros, Putin parece llevar más puntos a favor. Ahora, una vez más, lo fuerza a una ronda de negociaciones que no estaba para nada en su agenda.

Con todo su aspecto de polvorín, la crisis de Ucrania no resulta un caso aislado en el pulso que Moscú quiere imponerle a Washington. Una presión en la que lo obliga a salir de la retórica y desgastarse en la mesa de negociaciones, al ritmo de la forma que cobra el tablero ruso.
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