The Curious Case of Obama's Routine Trip to Asia

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 30 April 2014
by Lao Mu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Kyrstie Lane.
Although Barack Obama's trip to four countries in Asia lasted only one short week, it has left behind a deep impression, with many peculiarities presenting themselves on what was to be a seemingly routine tour.

The first oddity is that China was a central topic of discussion at each stop along the way, despite China itself being passed over as a destination. Obama wished to boost morale among those U.S. allies that are at odds with China, but also feared offending China. His apprehensive and unsure steps entirely lacked the confidence and poise typical of a U.S. president. For example, in Japan, he publicly claimed that Diaoyu falls under the bounds of the U.S.-Japan Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security, expressed support for Japan lifting the limitations on its exercise of collective self-defense, and obliquely chastised China for its establishment of the East China Sea air defense identification zone. In the Philippines, he supported sending that country's reef and island disputes with China to be reviewed by international courts, and strongly backed the recently-signed "Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement," the terms of which effectively allow the U.S. to establish military bases anywhere in the Philippines, make use of Philippine bases at any time, and station troops (dubbed a "rotational presence") in the Philippines for extended periods of time, thereby extending its military reach to the very border of China's nine-dash line. At the same time, he also repeatedly praised China in brown-nosing fashion, stating that the U.S. welcomes the peaceful rise of China, that China's development is beneficial for the Asia-Pacific region and the world, the U.S. and China are maintaining a constructive relationship and the U.S. does not oppose or seek to contain China, etc.

One can see that Obama is making every effort to toe a fine line between China and its opponents. However, his qualifications as an acrobat are clearly not up to snuff, as the general appraisal of his performance has been that "he failed to please anyone." As U.S. presidential trips go, these sorts of scenes are few and far between.

The second oddity is that the U.S. president was overly humble and ingratiating toward his smaller partners, in a fashion that was almost self-abasing. He originally sought to use a bevy of items in support of Japan to gain the green light from Shinzo Abe for the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement. But even with this generous gift shipped and paid for, Abe's hands remained planted firmly in his pockets, unwilling to return the favor. Obama even took on a pleading tone as he told Abe, "If the TPP talks do not generate results, Washington will regard this visit to Japan as a failure. This will make it extremely difficult to issue a joint statement."*

With Abe unmoved, Obama still signed the statement, however, leaving Tokyo with empty hands. The relationship between the U.S. and Japan is one of master and servant. In the past, the word of the U.S. was law, and it took what it pleased. This time around, the bizarre swapping of master and servant could be called a total humiliation.

It is no wonder, then, that the U.S. media has pelted Obama with such phrasing as "failure" and "embarrassment."

The third oddity is that along the entire trip, Obama also continued to admonish Russia, warning China not to follow the example of Russia in Ukraine. Fighting a war on two fronts is a violation of one of the major tenets of war. Just as has been suggested by some media analysts, the triangular relationship between the U.S., China and Russia is the key factor deciding the modern geopolitical landscape. What is important is the balance of power within this triangle. Is it an equilateral triangle, or has the U.S. set itself against China and Russia, those opposed to an "American world?" Obama's tour of Asia demonstrates that he has chosen the latter. The U.S. seeks to contain China in the Asia-Pacific region and Russia in Asia and Europe, giving itself a mission that it cannot hope to accomplish.

Obama's trip can be thought of as a promotional event for the U.S. "return to Asia." With the land mines he left behind, it is easy to predict that the disruptive activities of the newly encouraged Japan and the Philippines will only intensify. If the U.S. "return to Asia" strategy continues to play out in this manner, it is destined for an unhappy end, and Obama will be further mocked by the U.S. press as an incapable president lacking a strategic mind.

*Editor’s Note: This quote, accurately translated, could not be verified. It appears as though the author may be paraphrasing.


  奥巴马的亚洲四国之行,虽短短一周,但留下深深痕迹:一次正常的访问,却有不少反常行为,很是扎眼。

  反常行为之一:他的此次访问跳开中国,却把中国当成此行的核心话题。他既要给仇华盟友打气,又怕得罪中国,左顾右盼,瞻前顾后,全然没了美国总统的自信和潇洒。譬如在日本,他公开声称钓鱼岛属于《日美安保条约》适用范围,支持日本解禁集体自卫权,不点名地批评中国设立东海防空识别区。在菲律宾,他支持将中菲岛礁争端告到国际法庭,力挺刚签订的《菲美加强防御合作协议》,根据该协议,美国实际上可以在菲律宾任何地方建军事基地,随意使用菲律宾的基地,在“轮换”的名义下在菲律宾长期驻军,将军事触角伸到中国九段线边上。与此同时,他又不断说中国好话,跟中国套近乎:美国欢迎中国和平崛起,中国发展对亚太和世界来说都是好事,美中保持建设性关系,不对抗、不遏制中国,如此等等。

  可以看出,奥巴马极力想在与中国作对的国家与中国之间寻求平衡。但他显然不是合格的杂技演员,“演砸了,两面不讨好”,是舆论对他的普遍评价。在美国总统的出访中,如此情景是罕见的,或者说绝无仅有。

  反常行为之二:身为美国总统,他过分压低身段,对小伙伴过度逢迎,几乎受“胯下之辱”。他本想用对日本的诸多支持,换取安倍同意“跨太平洋战略经济合作伙伴关系协定”(TPP)。但大礼送出,安倍却两手插在口袋里,不肯还礼。奥巴马甚至以恳求的口吻对安倍说:“如果TPP谈判没有成果,华盛顿会将这次访日视作失败。这样没法发表联合声明。”安倍不为之所动,奥巴马却在联合声明上签字,两手空空地离开东京。美日是主仆关系,一向是美国说一不二,予取予夺。此番主仆易位的咄咄怪事,对美国可谓奇耻大辱。

  难怪美国媒体将“失败”、“丢人”等字眼,劈头盖脸砸向奥巴马。

  反常行为之三:一路上,奥巴马还敲打俄罗斯,意在敲山震虎,警告中国不要效法俄罗斯在乌克兰的做法。两线出击,犯了兵家大忌。正如有媒体所分析,美中俄三角关系是当今地缘政治的关键要素。重要的是这三角关系的力量平衡。是等边三角形,还是美国与反对“美式世界”的中俄相对立?奥巴马的亚洲之行表明,他选择后者。美国想在亚太遏制中国,在欧亚地区遏制俄罗斯,自身设定了完不成的任务。

  奥巴马此次亚洲之旅,可视为是对美国“重返亚洲”的一次推销活动,留下了隐患,可以预见的是,受到激励的日本和菲律宾的捣乱活动将变本加厉。如果美国的“重返亚洲”战略继续以这样的方式实施,那它注定难以善终。奥巴马也将会受到美国媒体的更多讥讽:一个没有战略头脑、能力低下的总统。(劳木)
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