Agriculture and TPP: Full Disclosure Is a Prerequisite for Debate

Published in Nishinippon Shimbun
(Japan) on 26 June 2016
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Chris Hennessy. Edited by Shelby Stillwell.
2016 Upper House Elections

Ratification and passage of the Trans-Pacific Partnership and related bills was shelved before the close of a regular Diet session and so remains under deliberation.

Agriculture is particularly spotlighted within TPP, which covers many areas of trade. The greater portion of the 32 single-seat districts being fought over in the Upper House lies within agriculture-centered regions. Even within the Upper House, TPP’s position as a main issue presents a policy challenge.

TPP contains a wide range of points of contention in the agriculture portion alone. Within the five "sensitive" categories (featuring 586 items) on which the Diet passed a resolution and sent on to the administration in 2013 requesting protection against certain imports, 174 items or about one-third will have the import tariffs reduced or removed.

The administration estimates that the maximum effect TPP will have on agriculture is a 2.1 trillion yen decline in output and no effect on rice. Farmers have continuously voiced mistrust in these numbers, saying “it’s not realistic.”

The catalyst for this mistrust is the wide gap between the estimates offered by Japan and the United States on the effect TPP will have on agricultural commodities. The U.S. International Trade Commission estimates that rice exports to Japan will increase by 23 percent. The central government also forecasts a fixed increase on domestic imports of rice, but claims that there will be no effect on domestic producers because the central government will buy the same amount of domestic rice for extra supply purposes. It seems far-fetched.

Thinking about how opaque the negotiation process was and how there is still a lack of disclosure of information, it’s only natural that doubts should creep up. Kumamoto Prefecture, a leader in agricultural spending within Japan, was severely hammered by the Kumamoto Earthquake. Unease about its future is spreading in the area.

Prime Minister Abe is calling for farmers already skeptical of TPP to pursue “Aggressive Agriculture.” The central government announced a plan to move up by one year the goal to expand agricultural and marine export totals to 1 trillion yen by 2020. The opposition party is criticizing the administration, saying it “is trying to Americanize our agricultural and marine industries.” The greater portion of negotiation transcripts were blacked out. This paper demands full and complete disclosure of information related to TPP from the central government.

In order to fully understand heated debates over TPP and the agriculture industry for Upper House elections, the central government must work toward full disclosure of all information.


農業とTPP 情報開示が論戦の前提だ

 ■2016 参院選■ 
 環太平洋連携協定(TPP)の承認案・関連法案は、先に閉幕した通常国会での承認と成立を見送られ、継続審議となった。

 対象が多分野に及ぶTPPの中で、特に注目されているのが農業だ。参院選の勝敗を左右するとみられる32の改選1人区は、大半が農業の盛んな地域である。TPPは、参院選でも主要争点の一つと位置付けられる政策課題だ。

 TPPは、農業分野だけでも論点が多岐にわたる。国会が2013年に政府へ保護を求める決議をしたコメや牛・豚肉など農業の重要5項目(586品目)は、3割に当たる174品目で関税の削減・撤廃が決まった。

 政府はTPPの農業への影響は最大でも2100億円の生産減少にとどまり、コメへの影響はゼロと試算する。農家からは「現実的でない」など不信の声が相次ぐ。

 これに拍車を掛けているのが、農産物への影響に関する試算が日本と米国で大きく隔たっていることだ。コメについて米国際貿易委員会は、対日輸出が23・0%増えると試算している。

 日本政府も一定の輸入増加を見込んでおり、同量の国産米を備蓄用に買い上げるため国内産への影響はないとする。本当だろうか。

 交渉過程が不透明で情報公開も不十分な現状を考えれば、疑念が出てくるのは当然だ。全国有数の農業産出額を誇る熊本県は、熊本地震で深刻な打撃を受けた。地元では先行きへの不安が広がる。

 安倍晋三首相はTPPに疑念を抱く農家を意識して「攻めの農業」を訴える。2020年に農林水産物の輸出額を1兆円に拡大する政府目標を1年前倒しする考えも表明した。野党は「農林水産業をアメリカナイズ(米国化)しようとしている」(枝野幸男民進党幹事長)と批判する。交渉記録の大半が黒塗りだったこともあり、情報公開の徹底も求めている。

 参院選で農業とTPPを巡る論戦を深めるためにも、政府は情報開示に努めるべきではないか。
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