Since 2016, I have tried to warn about returning to the Cold War, with all its implications, including armed conflict between Russia and the United States, of which Europe would clearly be the main victim.
Then came this October incident, barely mentioned in our press despite its importance. Washington announced that Russia had violated the 1987 treaty, and that the U.S. would withdraw from it after the six-month delay stipulated in the treaty 31 years ago.
Apparently the Americans have no doubt that Russia violated this bilateral agreement. It is clear to them that Russia is producing medium-range missiles (with a range of 500 to 5,500 km, or approximately 211 to 3,418 miles) equipped with nuclear warheads. On Feb. 1, 2019, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo affirmed that the U.S. would withdraw from the treaty, explaining that Moscow could prevent this move by immediately halting production of the missiles prohibited in 1987. Some imagine that Russia will comply with this ultimatum, as in the days of Boris Yeltsin. This is naïve!
The next day, Russian television produced a broadcast featuring Vladimir Putin, flanked by his foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov, and his defense minister, Sergey Shoigu. Official statements on Feb. 3 composed by the well-known journalist, Dmitiri Kiselyov, topped off the message. These widely disseminated communications emphasized Putin’s decision that Russia would, in turn, withdraw from the 1987 treaty. Refusing to accept the American ultimatum, he declared a willingness to negotiate only after his counterparts had matured enough to discuss the matter on equal terms.
Indeed, the Russians accuse the Americans themselves of having violated the INF Treaty since 1999, by producing military drones equivalent to cruise missiles, and in 2014, by establishing missile bases in Poland and Romania.
The Kremlin’s statements on Feb. 2 and Feb. 3 must be taken very seriously, because they are a response to statements from Washington that were instantly supported by NATO allies. Russia’s obsession about being encircled by an ever-stronger military alliance (soon to be 30 countries, including Northern Macedonia) is not to be taken lightly. The issue of abandoning the INF Treaty is laden with grave danger. It is, therefore, necessary that all relevant officials, especially in Europe, take measures against the coming perils of more rapidly deteriorating relations between Russian and the West. With European elections only four months away, it seems to me vital for the populace to be correctly informed about this important topic. The danger of war is at least as serious as global warming and perhaps more imminent.
Continuing to systematically oppose Russia and to blindly follow decisions from across the Atlantic is a shortsighted policy, devoid of common sense. As the Belgian Socialist politician Paul-Henri Spaak used to say, it is not too late, but it is time.
Venezuela is likely to become another wasted crisis, resembling events that followed when the U.S. forced regime changes in Libya, Afghanistan and Iraq.
We are faced with a "scenario" in which Washington's exclusive and absolute dominance over the entire hemisphere, from Greenland and Canada in the north to the southern reaches of Argentina and Chile.
The message is unmistakable: there are no absolute guarantees and state sovereignty is conditional when it clashes with the interests of powerful states.
From a European perspective, the U.S. government's reasoning seems rather absurd. ..[o]rganizations like HateAid do not oppose free speech — they protect it.