How Much Longer Can Trump Go On ‘Tikking’?

Published in China Times
(Taiwan) on 9 August 2020
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Pinyu Hwang. Edited by Margaret McIntyre.
After arguing for a week or so, the Trump administration formally signed an executive order last week allowing U.S. companies 45 days to acquire TikTok (TikTok International) and Tencent's WeChat. Once the 45 days have passed, companies will have to halt all deals. America's obstinate irrationality may have greater repercussions than expected.

Donald Trump has banned these Chinese social apps on the grounds of national security and preventing China from acquiring big data on American citizens. In fact, Trump is continuously expanding the concept of national security to demonize opponents. If Trump's argument holds, considering that the software now in common use by people all over the world is almost invariably held by U.S. corporations, from Facebook, Google and Amazon to Apple and Microsoft, should other countries ban U.S. software "to maintain national security"?

Bluntly speaking, this is an attack leveled by the United States on its opponent in this Sino-American rivalry. In the medium and long runs, it can be regarded as part of the U.S.' technological war against China, to disrupt China's digital advancement and to suppress China's technology companies; in the short run, it is a measure taken to combat the critical situation of Trump's campaign, with the intention being to use the crackdown on China to divert public attention from the administration's ineffective response to the pandemic in order to boost support.

However, Trump forcing foreign businesses to sell their successful operations to U.S. companies for "national security reasons" will leave indelible impressions on the minds of other governments and businesses, and even TikTok's rival Facebook has voiced its opposition. Sooner or later, Trump's approach will backfire.

TikTok's decision to sue the U.S. government through the U.S. justice system has anything but a predictable result. If Trump's policy is implemented, Apple's App Store will have to remove WeChat from its shelves and Apple's sales in the Chinese market are bound to plummet. Trump's earlier crackdown on Huawei has also harmed U.S. semiconductor manufacturers, with mobile chip maker Qualcomm lobbying the government for a relaxation of the ban.

We can only continue to watch this battle for technological dominance between China and the U.S. to see who comes out alive and kicking.


吵了1周多,川普政府上周正式簽署行政命令,留給美國企業45天時間收購TikTok(抖音國際版)及騰訊的微信(WeChat),過此期限就要停止一切交易。美國的鴨霸無理,反作用力可能比預期更大。

川普禁用這些中國社交軟體,理由是國安,不允許大陸擁有美國民眾的大數據資料,事實上,這是把國安無限擴張、妖魔化對手。如果川普的理由成立,現在各國民眾普遍使用的美國數位巨擘軟體,幾乎無一例外都是美國企業,從臉書、谷歌、亞馬遜到蘋果、微軟,是否其他國家都該禁用美國這些軟體「以維護國安」?

說穿了,這是中美爭霸中打擊對手的手段,中長期而言,可列為美國對大陸發動科技戰的一環,要清除大陸的數位步伐、打壓大陸的科技公司;短期來看,則是川普選情告急,有意藉著對大陸的打擊,轉移民眾對其防疫不力的注意,藉此拉抬選情。

不過,川普以無邊無際的國安理由,強迫外商把經營成功的企業賣給美國企業的做法,會讓其他國家的政府與企業「點滴在心頭」,甚至連TikTok的競爭對手臉書都對此做法表達反對。川普的做法遲早要帶來反作用力。

TikTok決定對美國政府提出訴訟,以美國司法制度未來勝負難料。川普此政策一旦落實,蘋果APP商店就要把微信下架,蘋果手機在大陸市場的銷售必然大跌。早前川普對華為的百般打壓,美國半導體廠商也受傷,手機晶片龍頭高通就向政府遊說要求放寬禁令。

中美科技爭霸戰鹿死誰手,可以繼續看下去。
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