The Winter Olympics: Looking at the Future of Financial Innovation and Cryptocurrency

Published in UDN
(Taiwan) on 29 January 2022
by Lu Sin-chang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jennifer Sampson. Edited by Michelle Bisson.
The countdown to the 2022 Winter Olympics is on, with the games drawing increasingly closer. The Winter Olympics can create opportunities for tourism and business, so it’s no wonder that Poland and Finland from the European Union and South Korea from northeastern Asia are sending high-level governmental representatives. They have chosen to ignore the diplomatic spat between China and the U.S., which is boycotting the games, and are determined to attend the opening ceremony in Beijing.

After all, winter sports can draw the attention of young people across the globe. And, since the games coincide with a resurgence of COVID-19 as well as the Lunar New Year holiday break, it's certain that there will be a lot of watching and talking about the Olympics. Moreover, skiing has always had an aspect of social networking and is a kind of upscale, specialized tourism. Countries can take advantage of the opportunity to engage in remote, virtual experiential marketing through the competition and compelling footage of each nation’s players!

For example, South Korea is sending its highest legislative leader, the National Assembly speaker. This is a reflection of the fact that, since the financial crisis in 1997, South Korea has reinvented its image with many cultural innovations, which has enabled it to continue using unexpected and forward-looking strategies in its branding and concepts.

The newest hot topic, of course, are the technological innovations at the Winter Olympic venue and online broadcasting, such as the use and transmission security of 5G. Protecting the privacy of coaches’ tactics and players’ conditions and using e-wallets and digital currency are emerging as contentious topics in the news.

Interestingly, the Beijing Winter Olympics have yet to start, but network security is already booming! Yet, compared with recent risks in financial technology and trade, it pales in comparison. All last year, the god of electric cars, Elon Musk, and his involvement with Bitcoin caused real pain with seemingly never-ending problems.

Initially, at the beginning of last year, Musk announced that he would allow consumers to use bitcoin for their transactions. He also advocated strongly for value investment in cryptocurrency. Not only was he the first to disclose how many holdings he had, but he also invested his company’s cash holdings in bitcoin. However, in July, he suddenly canceled plans to accept payment in bitcoin!

During this back and forth, the value of Bitcoin easily doubled from $33,000 at the start of last year to $60,000, and then fell by half to $36,000, where it is today. Paul Krugman, winner of the 2008 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences, wrote that he worries Americans’ investment in cryptocurrency might turn into a subprime lending crisis for the younger generation.

In his opinion piece in The New York Times, Krugman pointed out that while cryptocurrencies are volatile, they are not enough to threaten the financial system. What is worrying, however, is that once the value of products such as Bitcoin nears collapse, the people who are hurt are those who think they understand technology and finance but actually don’t know what they’re up against. Faced with this situation, this small group of people lacks the ability to cope with financial allocation and daily living.

According to a representative sampling of households taken last summer by NORC, a nonpartisan social research institution at the University of Chicago, approximately 63% of people made investment transactions directly; among them, about one-third had purchased cryptocurrency. Even more astonishing, two-thirds of the people who had made transactions with cryptocurrency had only begun to do so within the past six months. According to the report, people with education levels at or below high school and minorities and working-class people were particularly keen on cryptocurrency. Yet, financial institutions are less willing to work with this group of people.

In other words, cryptocurrency is a high-risk asset, and the charisma and influence of the whirlwind Musk creates unfortunately defies the imagination. Krugman’s worry is that virtual currency will become a new subprime lending crisis that will be detrimental within a certain population structure and on a political and economic basis.

At the end of last year in a meeting of Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan, Huang Tien-mu, chairman of the Financial Supervisory Commission, responded to the money laundering prevention system by businesses operating with virtual currency, indicating it would be regulated. Currently, 16 businesses are complying with money laundering prevention regulations. The banking bureau will also make inquiries with each bank to get a grasp on their plans for virtual currency ATMs on the streets of Taipei.

After watching players from all over the world compete in winter sports, people can discuss the 5G circular and panoramic visuals, viewing quality and novel consumer experiences, as well as the innovative technology at the Beijing Olympics, ATM withdrawals all across Taipei and Krugman's worries. The use and monitoring of technology must take into consideration risks to investors and users. Figuring out how to control platform competition is particularly important, as well as the speculation it might create.


從冬奧競技談金融創新與加密貨幣的大未來

冬季奧運會2022的開賽倒數正逐日逼近。透過冬奧賽事也可以創造旅遊和招商好時機,無怪乎隸屬歐盟國家的波蘭、芬蘭以及位在東北亞的韓國,紛紛出動府會的最高層級代表,而無視於中、美在外交過招的奧運抵制,執意參與在北京的開幕盛會。

畢竟,雪地競賽所能帶起的全球青壯年關注,又適逢新冠疫情再起和華人的年節期間,與冬奧相關的收視話題必然高漲的。何況滑雪運動一向就具有社交聯誼性質,更是高消費的專業旅遊;透過各國選手的競技與精彩視訊,藉機可以進行的正是遠端、虛擬的體驗式行銷啊!

無可諱言,像韓國是由最高民意機關的負責人,議會主席代表率隊出擊,正反映自1997年金融危機以迄,多方交結拉攏和打響韓國意象的文化創意,所以能夠在品牌經營與概念投入上,持續有出奇不意的謀略與前瞻表現。

新近點燃的話題,自然是科技創新在冬奧現場和透過連線轉播,從5G的技術運用和傳輸安全,像是教練戰術調度和選手狀況的隱私維護;還有關於電子錢包和數位貨幣等,層出不窮的新聞烏賊戰。

有趣的是,北京冬奧尚未開賽,網管安全即已吵得沸沸揚揚!當真對比起晚近的金融科技與交易風險,恐怕是小巫見大巫了。就在去年一整年內,電動汽車大神馬斯克與比特幣的牽連,才真是椎心之痛的問題不斷。

先是去年年初,馬斯克宣布要接受消費者使用比特幣來做購買;既而極力鼓吹加密貨幣的價值投資,除了率先揭露自己的持有數量,更轉而將公司的庫存現金投資到比特幣。到了盛夏七月,突然又取消了接受比特幣的支付計畫!

這一來一往之間,比特幣的價格也從去年年初的3萬3000美元,輕易翻倍飛過6萬美金的高點;然後再腰斬一半,到如今的3萬6000美元上下。就連2008年諾貝爾經濟學獎得主克魯曼教授,都撰文擔憂美國人的加密貨幣投資,可能會變成是青壯世代的「次貸危機」。

克魯曼的紐時專欄指出加密貨幣的波動劇烈,但並不足以威脅金融體系。之所以令人不安,是因為比特幣等產品一旦價格有進一步崩跌,受害者將是一群自認懂得科技金融;但事實上卻不知道自己一路交手的對象;面對即將陷入的處境,這一小撮人更缺乏財務調撥和生活維持的支應能力。

根據美國芝加哥大學的輿情研究機構,NORC,在去年盛夏期間訪查的全國家戶代表性抽樣,其結果顯示直接做投資交易的人,約佔六成三;在這當中,約有三分之一的總人次數,曾進行過加密貨幣的購買。更驚人的是,有進行過加密貨幣交易的人,約三分之二都在最近的半年內才開始。據悉,高中和高中以下學歷、少數族裔和工人階級,似乎特別熱中;但這些人也是金融機構比較不願意打交道的一群人。

換言之,加密貨幣屬於極高風險的資產類別,馬斯克旋風的魅力與影響,只怕超乎想像;而克魯曼教授的擔憂,虛擬貨幣將會變成新一輪的次貸危機,似乎更有其在人口結構的必然與在政經基礎上的不利因子。

去年年底在立法院的院會上,金管會主委黃天牧即席回應,針對虛擬貨幣業者的洗錢防制,將予以管理;目前已有16家業者遵循洗錢防制規範,銀行局也將一家一家做約詢,以了解虛擬貨幣提款機(ATM),在台北街頭的規畫情況。

緊接著觀看各國好手的雪地競技,除了能有5G的環場與全景錄像,可以討論收視品質和消費新體驗之外;從北京冬奧的科技創新、台北街頭隨處可以有的ATM提領,到紐約時報專欄作家克魯曼的憂心忡忡,科技應用與監理,還是要考量投資人與使用者的風險暴露,尤其是如何管控平台競爭,所可能引發的投機誘引。

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