A Successful Visit

Published in El Heraldo de Mexico
(Mexico) on 13 July 2022
by José Carreño Figueras (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Hannah Bowditch. Edited by Lisa Attanasio.
For AMLO, it means accepting the reality that some of his proposals will end up in the USMCA dispute settlement panels.

The main outcome of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s visit to Washington was just this: It demonstrated that he is on friendly terms with his American counterpart, Joe Biden, and that both governments are cooperating and exchanging opinions.

There is “too much is at stake to not find ways to cooperate on key issues,” said former American Ambassador Earl Anthony Wayne in an article published by the online newspaper The Hill.

In some ways, it seems to be an acceptance of reality that is convenient for both López Obrador and Biden, especially regarding what some claim are subtle but significant changes in the Mexican government's economic and security policies.

The meeting allowed them to address and clarify their boundaries.

For AMLO, it meant accepting the reality that some of his suggestions, including changes to energy industry regulations, will end up in the dispute panels established under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, a trade deal between the three nations which replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement as the best solution to offer certainty both to investors in general and to U.S. investors in particular.

Such a position would be a good chance to accommodate the U.S. strategy to bring its production and supply chains geographically closer together in the context of new global geopolitical challenges. In fact, some international media outlets have criticized López Obrador’s administration for wasting this opportunity.

For Biden, the leader of a government that is considered politically weak and who is facing the possibility of losing Congress in November, it meant acknowledging and highlighting the limitations of his own proposal to open immigration and the importance of maintaining the Mexican president's help in controlling migrants from Central America.

On a different note, it was also a sign of how valuable Mexico is to the U.S., even if the Mexican president's presence was overshadowed by the politically charged hearings about the Jan. 6, 2021 riot, as well as the eve of Biden's voluntarily low-profile Middle East tour.

That’s true for both governments. Biden doesn’t need another crisis, let alone one on the southern border, and AMLO can demonstrate his good relationship with the U.S. president.

But there are worrying signs. For Pamela Starr, a professor from the University of Southern California, both presidents’ desire to not cause problems for the other is unrealistic.

“The weakening of Mexican democracy, the growing reach of Mexican organized crime and Mexico’s energy nationalism pose a direct threat to U.S. national interests. The Biden administration thus seems destined to take actions that López Obrador deems unfriendly, leading to a future increase in bilateral tensions.”


Una visita cumplidora

Para AMLO implica el aceptar la realidad de que algunas de sus propuestas van a acabar en los paneles de resolución de disputas del T-MEC

El principal resultado de la visita del presidente Andrés Manuel López Obrador a Washington fue ese justamente: demostrar que está en términos amistosos con su colega estadounidense, Joe Biden, y que hay intercambios de opiniones y cooperación entre los dos gobiernos.

"Hay demasiado en juego como para no encontrar maneras de cooperar en temas clave", indicó recientemente el exembajador estadounidense, Earl Anthony Wayne, en un artículo publicado por el periódico electrónico The Hill.

En alguna medida, parece una aceptación de realidades y una formulación conveniente, tanto para López Obrador como para Biden, sobre todo, para lo que algunos aseguran son cambios sutiles, pero significativos, en las políticas económicas y de seguridad del gobierno mexicano.

La reunión les permitió abordar y aclarar sus límites.

Para AMLO implica el aceptar la realidad de que algunas de sus propuestas, incluso cambios de reglas en la industria energética, van a acabar en los paneles de resolución de disputas del Tratado México-EU-Canadá (T-MEC), como la mejor solución para ofrecer certidumbres a inversionistas en general y estadounidenses en particular.

Esa postura tendría buenas posibilidades de acomodo en la estrategia de Estados Unidos para acercar geográficamente sus cadenas de producción y suministro, en el marco de nuevos desafíos geopolíticos mundiales. De hecho, algunos medios internacionales han criticado a la administración de López Obrador por "desperdiciar" esa "oportunidad".

Para Biden, que encabeza un gobierno considerado como políticamente débil y enfrenta la posibilidad de perder el Congreso en noviembre, significó reconocer y señalar las limitaciones que enfrenta su propia propuesta de apertura migratoria y la importancia de mantener la ayuda del mandatario mexicano en el control de migrantes de Centroamérica.

En un marco distinto, fue una señal de lo valioso que es México para EU, aunque la presencia del mandatario mexicano haya quedado a la sombra de las políticamente cargadas audiencias sobre la asonada del 6 de enero de 2021, y en la víspera de una gira de Biden por Medio Oriente y el voluntariamente bajo perfil de su visita.

Eso cumple para los dos gobiernos. Biden no tiene necesidad de otra crisis y menos en su frontera sur, y AMLO demuestra su buena relación con el mandatario estadounidense.

Pero hay señales preocupantes. Para Pamela Starr, especialista en la Universidad de California, el deseo de ambos Presidentes de no causar problemas al otro es imposible.

"El debilitamiento de la democracia mexicana, el creciente alcance del crimen organizado en México y el nacionalismo energético (en ese país) son una amenaza directa a los intereses nacionales estadounidenses. El gobierno de Biden está, por tanto, destinado a tomar acciones que López Obrador considere inamistosas y llevará a un incremento en las tensiones bilaterales".

This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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