Using ‘Chain Power’ To Redefine Taiwan’s International Status

Published in Liberty Times
(Taiwan) on 27 January 2024
by Shui-hui Li (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Matthew McKay. Edited by Mitchelle Lumumba.
The 2024 election in Taiwan has attracted global attention, with the international media often conducting various analyses of what lies ahead for the island. In the election’s aftermath, the focus has been on the impact of the results on relations between the United States and China and the regional situation in East Asia. The main reasons for the comprehensive media coverage the election received were Taiwan’s geopolitical value and its influence on the interactions between the major powers.

After a comprehensive examination of the changes to the international context, major countries’ expectations toward Taiwan, and Taiwan’s national interests, this commentator believes that the term “chain power” may accurately describe Taiwan’s geostrategic value and said national interests.

“Chain power” refers to the power exerted by a particular country based on the links of geography, economy and universal values. One of the characteristics of chain power is its “irreplaceability”: This includes irreplaceability in terms of the robust links created by geographic location and global economy and industry. Taiwan — located centrally among the East Asian island chains, controlling the global supply chain of semiconductors and promoting the values of freedom and democracy — is in simultaneous possession of the “chain power trinity,” namely the island chain, the supply chain, and the democracy chain.

On May 20 of this year, Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party will take office, and it will have to manage both a mercurial situation on the international front and the three major foreign relations that are those between Taiwan and the U.S., Taiwan and Japan and those on either side of the Taiwan Strait. In this context, Taiwan and its chain power can focus on continuously strengthening its own and the island chain’s defense capabilities in the Taiwan-U.S. relationship; it can jointly develop the competitiveness of the semiconductor high-tech supply chain in the Taiwan-Japan relationship, and can carry out dignified and reciprocal exchanges across the Taiwan Strait, through its links to the free and democratic international community.

In international politics and in response to the dramatic changes in the global situation, concepts such as “soft power,” “smart power” and “sharp power” emerged with which to analyze the growth and decline of power in various countries — but beyond the 2020s, it is the era of chain power that will come to dominate the overall context. For the foreseeable future, international relations will continue to be affected by the interplay between technological supply chains and geopolitics. But how to take stock of Taiwan’s tripartite chain power and redefine its international status through security and diplomatic strategies will be the key to shaping the direction of global, regional and Taiwanese development.

The author is a professor at the National Chengchi University’s College of International Affairs and chairman of the Taiwan Japan Academy.


以「鏈實力」重新定義台灣國際地位

2024/01/27 05:30

李世暉

2024年的台灣選舉,受到全球關注,各國媒體經常圍繞著台灣未來走向進行各種分析。在選舉結束之後,則聚焦選舉結果對美中關係與東亞區域局勢的影響。各國媒體大幅報導台灣選舉,主因是台灣在地緣價值的重要性,及牽動大國互動關係的影響力。

綜合考量國際局勢的變化、主要國家對台灣的期待,以及台灣的國家利益後,筆者認為,「鏈實力」(Chain Power)一詞,可精確說明當前台灣的地緣戰略價值與國家利益。

鏈實力是指,基於地理、經濟、普世價值觀的鏈結,特定國家所行使之權力。鏈實力的特點之一,是具備「不可替代性」。包括在地理位置、全球經濟產業上的不可替代性,造就了強固的鏈結關係。對於位處東亞島鏈中心,掌控全球半導體供應鏈,宣揚自由民主價值的台灣而言,則是同時具備「島鏈、供應鏈、民主鏈」的「三位一體」鏈實力。

2024年5月20日,民進黨政府上台,在國際上要面對詭譎多變的情勢,同時要處理台美、台日與兩岸等三大重要對外關係。在此情境下,具備鏈實力的台灣,可在台美關係上,著重持續強化自我與島鏈的防禦能力;在台日關係上,共同打造半導體高科技供應鏈的競爭力;而在兩岸關係上,則是透過與民主自由國際社會的鏈結力,進行尊嚴與對等的交流。

過去以來,為了因應國際局勢的劇烈變遷,國際政治領域陸續出現「軟實力」、「巧實力」、「銳實力」等概念,用以分析各國權力的消長。2020年代之後,則是由「鏈實力」登場主宰全局的年代。在可預見的未來,國際關係將會持續受到科技供應鏈與地緣政治的交互影響,如何盤點台灣所具備的「三位一體」鏈實力,並透過安全與外交戰略重新定義台灣的國際地位,將成為左右全球、區域與台灣發展走向的關鍵。

(作者是政大國際事務學院教授,台灣日本研究院理事長 )
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