It is reassuring that professional investors are reducing their strong overbalance in the U.S. Private investors could learn from them.
The sign coming from the new investment allocation of the world’s most successful fund managers is clear. They are reducing their overbalance in U.S. stocks, according to a survey by the industry analyst Citywire. That is a good thing. Of course, active managers want to achieve excess returns. Investors buy such products for precisely that reason, after all. But strong U.S. dominance, record prices or not, is not healthy for investors who want to diversify their wealth.
For one, the professionals’ clear redeployment toward India shows private investors the possible source of future growth. But it also makes another important thing clear: Lump sum investments, such as those made in U.S. technology funds, are dangerous in the long run. Those who cast a broad net reduce risk. Every boom ends at some point.
However, the fact that German companies rank quite low on the top investors’ favorability ratings is sobering. At least there are now 12 instead of 10 among the favored German corporations, thanks to the Deutsche Börse Group and the Munich Re Group.
Weniger USA tut gut
Es ist ein beruhigendes Zeichen, dass Profiinvestoren ihr starkes Übergewicht in den USA reduzieren. Privatanleger können davon lernen.
Das Zeichen, das von der neuen Anlageallokation der weltweit erfolgreichsten Fondsmanager ausgeht, ist deutlich. Sie reduzieren ihr Übergewicht in US-Aktien, wie aus der Erhebung des Branchendienstes Citywire hervorgeht. Das ist gut. Natürlich wollen aktive Manager Überrenditen erzielen. Anleger kaufen ja aus genau diesem Grund solche Produkte. Aber die starke Dominanz der USA, Rekordkurse hin oder her, ist für Investoren, die ihr Vermögen diversifizieren wollen, auf Dauer nicht gesund.
Die deutliche Umschichtung der Profis Richtung Indien zeigt Privatanlegern zum Einen, wo künftiges Wachstum herkommen könnte. Sie macht aber auch eine weitere wichtige Sache klar: Anlageklumpen wie in US-Technologiewerten sind auf Dauer gefährlich. Wer breiter streut, reduziert das Risiko. Denn jede Hausse geht einmal zu Ende.
Ernüchternd ist allerdings der Umstand, dass deutsche Unternehmen auf der Beliebtheitsskala der Topinvestoren recht weit unten rangieren. Immerhin befinden sich dank Deutscher Börse und Münchener Rück unter den favorisierten deutschen Aktiengesellschaften nun zwölf statt vorher zehn.
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