The Danger of Gaza’s Division
With the stalling of the transition to the next phases of the peace plan proposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, concerns are growing that the current situation in the Gaza Strip may turn into a de facto, sustained division between areas controlled by Israel and those administered by Hamas. There are fears that Trump's plan will falter and the risk of division will proceed. Trump's plan, which consists of several phases following a ceasefire in Gaza, was not intended to be merely a preliminary truce and the release of Israeli hostages. It appears that it was to be followed by a large-scale, years-long reconstruction process. These stages were supposed to pave the way for a comprehensive political solution, but efforts seem to have stumbled at the very first transition beyond the initial phase.
In parallel, the current situation will remain hopeless, despite the diplomatic efforts that have led to a reality on the ground resembling a de facto division, with actual boundaries now separating northern Gaza from its south. Officials and observers fear that this temporary division may become a permanent and stable condition, complicating any future unified solution for the strip. The specter of division will transform the present situation into a sustained reality. Meanwhile, several dangers are emerging that could entrench the political division, which would deepen the Palestinian division between the West Bank and Gaza, and between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority, thereby undermining the concept of a unified Palestinian state.
Another issue is security instability. The continuation of divided control could lead to a resurgence of armed conflicts in the future, with each party seeking to impose its full control or maintain its influence, without clear details for future stages. Chaotic interventions would create obstacles and hinder plans for comprehensive reconstruction — plans contingent on reaching a political agreement to determine the party responsible for administration and security. This division impedes progress. Furthermore, the complexity of international solutions will make it difficult for the international community, including the United Nations and Arab countries which have prepared to participate and coordinate, to provide aid or oversee peace and reconstruction processes in the absence of a unified and clear authority.
In short, if Trump's plan falters, it will open the door to "Gaza's division" scenarios, which portend further instability and complicate the prospects of reaching a comprehensive political settlement for the Palestinian cause. Although the documents do not contain secret materials, they indicate the administration's commitment to moving forward with the peace plan despite complexities. One organizational chart outlines plans for extensive U.S. involvement in Gaza, extending beyond security aspects to include oversight of economic reconstruction. There may not be enough time to overcome all obstacles in such cases. Therefore, it is essential to focus on priorities and make wise decisions in determining them. The focus must be on obstacles whose overcoming would make the greatest difference, or whose presence entirely hinders progress, while finding ways to address them.
In parallel, the current situation will remain hopeless, despite the diplomatic efforts that have led to a reality on the ground resembling a de facto division, with actual boundaries now separating northern Gaza from its south. Officials and observers fear that this temporary division may become a permanent and stable condition, complicating any future unified solution for the strip. The specter of division will transform the present situation into a sustained reality. Meanwhile, several dangers are emerging that could entrench the political division, which would deepen the Palestinian division between the West Bank and Gaza, and between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority, thereby undermining the concept of a unified Palestinian state.
Another issue is security instability. The continuation of divided control could lead to a resurgence of armed conflicts in the future, with each party seeking to impose its full control or maintain its influence, without clear details for future stages. Chaotic interventions would create obstacles and hinder plans for comprehensive reconstruction — plans contingent on reaching a political agreement to determine the party responsible for administration and security. This division impedes progress. Furthermore, the complexity of international solutions will make it difficult for the international community, including the United Nations and Arab countries which have prepared to participate and coordinate, to provide aid or oversee peace and reconstruction processes in the absence of a unified and clear authority.
In short, if Trump's plan falters, it will open the door to "Gaza's division" scenarios, which portend further instability and complicate the prospects of reaching a comprehensive political settlement for the Palestinian cause. Although the documents do not contain secret materials, they indicate the administration's commitment to moving forward with the peace plan despite complexities. One organizational chart outlines plans for extensive U.S. involvement in Gaza, extending beyond security aspects to include oversight of economic reconstruction. There may not be enough time to overcome all obstacles in such cases. Therefore, it is essential to focus on priorities and make wise decisions in determining them. The focus must be on obstacles whose overcoming would make the greatest difference, or whose presence entirely hinders progress, while finding ways to address them.
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