1 Year of the Trump Administration: Do Not Lose Trust of Allied Nations

Published in Sankei Shimbun
(Japan) on 21 January 2026
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Dorothy Phoenix. Edited by Patricia Simoni.
It has only been one year since the inauguration of U.S. President Donald Trump. His highlighted “America First” principle has shaken up the international order, and the presence of the U.S. has become emblematic of world instability.

An attitude too focused on his own country has damaged the international community's trust, including America's allies. Will this situation have any connection to true U.S. national interests?

Undoubtedly, the Trump administration must rigorously face reality, and other nations, including Japan, must strengthen pressure to keep the U.S. from isolationism.

Trump, who is in his second term of office, has also shown a rigid stance towards China. In his 2025 National Security Strategy, he demonstrated his intention to defend Taiwan. He also decided to sell Taiwan a large amount of weapons. This is also preferable for Japan, which is facing an increasingly severe security situation. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's administration must strengthen the U.S.-Japan alliance even further.

However, there is also uneasiness. We cannot have faith in Trump's consistency. Could Trump, who will also visit China in April, possibly prove too impatient for actual gain, postponing the Taiwan problem? There is a danger that the U.S.-China relationship will become the largest variable this year.

In the Ukraine peace negotiations, Trump brings an impending sense of danger to the West. He must not force concessions on an invaded Ukraine and attempt to close the issue with a structural plan for Russia's victory. Ukraine is connected by land to Europe, and we hope that Europe will participate further in working toward settling the problem.

Trump has also shown ambitions to possess Greenland, a self-governing domain of Denmark. However, Greenland and Denmark are allied nations that are part of NATO. If Trump gains military control, he will bear responsibility for the collapse of NATO's viability, and it will likely have an adverse effect on maintaining the international order, which is facing threats from China and Russia.

Trump's high tariff policies have shaken the free-trade system at its foundations, with no consideration for international rules. He has given no indication that he will stop using tariffs as a technique for deals, posing a continuing high risk for all other countries.

Within the U.S., divisions continue to deepen. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is under investigation by Department of Justice officials, criticized the investigation as “intimidation” from the Trump administration. Trump has dismissed public prosecutors who investigated allegations against himself. There has also been much criticism about the pressure on journalistic, artistic and academic freedom. His methods, which are a shock to the foundation of democracy, chip away at America's vitality.

The autumn midterm elections are approaching, and Trump-style policy administration could ramp up. All countries must deal with this risk appropriately.


<主張>トランプ政権1年 同盟国からの信頼失うな

トランプ米大統領が就任してから1年がたった。看板の米国第一主義が国際秩序を揺さぶり、米国は世界の不確実性を象徴する存在にもなっている。

あまりに自国を優先する姿勢は同盟国を含む国際社会の信頼を損ねた。それが米国の真の国益につながったのか。

トランプ政権が現実を厳しく受け止めるべきはもちろん、日本を含む各国は、米国を孤立させないよう働きかけを強めなければならない。

2期目のトランプ氏も中国には厳しい姿勢をみせた。国家安全保障戦略では台湾防衛の意志を示した。台湾には巨額の武器売却も決めた。安全保障環境が厳しさを増す日本にとっても望ましいことだ。高市早苗政権は米国との同盟関係を一段と強める必要がある。

ただ、不安もある。トランプ氏の一貫性に確信が持てないことだ。4月にも訪中するトランプ氏が実利獲得を焦るあまり、台湾問題を後回しにすることはないか。米中関係は今年最大の変数になる恐れがある。

トランプ氏は、ウクライナ和平交渉で西側に危機感を抱かせた。侵略されたウクライナに譲歩させ、ロシア勝利の構図で幕引きを図るべきではない。ウクライナと陸続きの欧州にも、事態解決へのさらなる関与を望みたい。

トランプ氏はデンマーク自治領グリーンランドを領有する野心もみせる。だが、同国は北大西洋条約機構(NATO)加盟の同盟国だ。軍事制圧すればNATO崩壊が現実味を帯び、中露に脅かされる国際秩序を維持する上で逆効果となろう。

国際ルールを顧みない高関税政策は自由貿易体制を根幹から揺るがした。関税をディールに利用する手法をやめる気配はなく、各国にとっては引き続き大きなリスクである。

米国内の分断も深まった。司法当局の捜査を受けた連邦準備制度理事会(FRB)のパウエル議長は「政権からの脅迫だ」と批判した。トランプ氏は自身の疑惑を追及する検察官を解雇した。報道や芸術、学問の自由が圧力を受けているとの批判も多い。民主主義の土台を揺るがす手法は米国の活力を削(そ)ぐ。

秋の中間選挙に向けてトランプ流の政策運営が強まる可能性もある。各国はそのリスクに的確に対処せねばならない。
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