The Road Doesn't Open up to Passivity in TPP Diplomacy

Published in Asahi
(Japan) on 15 November 2011
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Kenny Nagata. Edited by Gillian Palmer .
At the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Hawaii, Prime Minister Noda declared his objective in participating in the discussions for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).

Having disclosed this, the prime minister must quickly engage in explaining his position in greater detail to the domestic opposition and exercise prudence. At the same time, the prime minister will seek strong resolutions in diplomatic matters.

To Japan, TPP negotiations under the general rule of zero duties, allowing free movement of people, goods and money, will undoubtedly be difficult. For this reason, as the third largest economy in the world and a major player in the trans-Pacific region, there is a need to explain those resolutions and declare how he intends to take part in the planning of new trade and economic rules.

In his meeting with U.S. President Obama, the Americans said that the prime minister “put all goods and services on the negotiating table.” Although the Japanese government denies this, the sober reality of negotiations is that there really are “no exceptions.”

From now on, through the course of the negotiations, there will probably be various misunderstandings or other conflicts. When they occur, everyone will attempt to create an environment that benefits their own country.

According to the U.S. government, participation in the negotiations with Canada and Mexico, which together with the U.S. make up the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), is how they conveyed their thoughts. It is through these situations that Japan was also able to influence these countries.

In the TPP, China, which is now the second largest economy in the world, will aim at opposing the rule of American leadership.

It is understandable to reorganize the starting point of Japanese diplomacy and strengthen the relationship with America, the standard yardstick of Japanese diplomacy. In other words, within the TPP, they can play the “anti-China card.”

However, in this world of deepened economic interdependence, an economic system without China is unfathomable. Japan needs to quickly build stronger relationships with China and other Asian countries without devoting completely to the U.S.

At APEC, the prime minister said that he “wants to fulfill the leadership role in free trade in Asia-Pacific.” If that’s the case, he should recommend the free trade agreement with China and South Korea through the ASEAN+3. That will become the “anti-American card.”

The role that Japan should fulfill now is as a stopgap between the TPP economic block and China.

It is a difficult role of finding benefits to both the U.S. and China, but Japan must renew its passive diplomatic role without saying anything to either the U.S. or China.


野田首相がハワイで開かれたアジア太平洋経済協力会議(APEC)で、環太平洋経済連携協定(TPP)交渉に参加する方針を表明した。

走り出したからには、首相は国内の反対・慎重派に理解を広げる対応を急がねばならない。

同時に首相には、外交面での強い覚悟を求める。

関税ゼロを原則として、人、モノ、カネすべての移動を自由化しようというTPP交渉は、日本にとって厳しい展開にならざるを得ない。

だからこそ、世界第3位の経済大国、環太平洋地域の主要国として、新しい貿易や経済のルールづくりに、どのように主体的に参画するかを宣言し、その覚悟を説明すべきだ。

オバマ米大統領との会談後、米国側は「首相が『すべての物品及びサービスを交渉のテーブルに載せる』と発言した」と発表した。日本政府は否定しているものの、交渉の原則が「例外なし」であることは、厳然たる事実だ。

今後も交渉の過程で、さまざまな「行き違い」や「衝突」があるだろう。そのたびに、自国に有利な環境づくりのための火花が散る。

米政府によれば、米国とともに北米自由貿易協定(NAFTA)を構成するカナダ、メキシコが交渉参加の考えを伝えてきたという。これなど、日本が両国に影響を与えたとも見える。

TPPには、世界第2位の経済大国になった中国に対抗し、米国主導のルールをつくっていく狙いもある。

日本外交の基軸は「日米」であり、米国との関係強化を起点に外交を立て直すのは順当だ。その意味で、TPPには「対中カード」という側面もある。

しかし、地球規模で経済の相互依存が深まったいま、中国抜きの経済体制はあり得ない。ここは米国一辺倒に陥らずに、中国やアジア各国との関係改善、強化も急ぐ必要がある。

首相はAPECで「アジア太平洋自由貿易圏に主導的役割を果たしたい」と語った。

それならばこそ、日中韓の3国間や、ASEAN(東南アジア諸国連合)+3(日中韓)の自由貿易協定も進めて、成果を上げよう。それらが「対米カード」にもなるはずだ。

これから日本が果たすべき役割は、TPP経済圏と中国とのつなぎ役になることだ。

米中双方に利益をもたらす難しい役だけに、これまでの受け身の外交姿勢を改めて、したたかに米国にも中国にもモノを言わねばならない。
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