America Should Not ArtificiallyBuild the "Dual Asia"

Published in Guangming
(China) on 29 January 2013
by Liu Yang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jingman Xiao . Edited by Natalie Clager.
Establishing a new order aiming at ensuring the long-term prosperity and stability in Asia requires the equal participation of both China and America. On the American side there is no lack of awareness but not enough courage. American scholars’ proposal of a “dual Asia” arouses wide attention.

This concept refers to the “Asian Economy” led by China and “Asian security” controlled by America. There is no agreement on whether this duality is realized. Although it is only seen as a tendency, the conclusions are widely divergent. One viewpoint suggests that the two Asias are not reconcilable and this will lead to continuous conflicts, whereas another opinion is in favor of an even balance of power between the two great powers, which will ease the tension.

The discussion on the “Dual Asia” is apparently a question of whether the two powers can get along in Asia. Under the background of the rise of China and America’s strategy of destabilization, the answer to this question has a direct impact on the prospects of Asian development and the setup of a regional security mechanism.

“Economy Asia” reveals a truth: The economic structure of Asia has changed fundamentally. The rapid growth of the Chinese economy and the acceleration of regional integration make the Asian countries more closely related to China in terms of trade, investment and markets, and has made them more interdependent. Meanwhile, the proportion of trade with America dwindles gradually. America remains the world’s biggest economy, and its influence on East Asian countries cannot be underestimated. However, many scholars point out that this China-centered Asian economic integration is driven by the market with a conspicuous tendency that cannot be subverted on purpose.

“Security Asia” indicates that America is trying hard through various arrangements to maintain its dominant and leading military role. In comparison to the increasingly bright prospect of “Economy Asia”, the order of ‘Security Asia” is evolving and far from being solved. So far, it seems the security structure America built is adherent to the same method used after WWII, which is strengthening bilateral and multilateral alliances. The problem lies here: This old method does not take into account the changes in Asia and will go nowhere because its disjunction with Asia’s economic integration.

Regarding the future of Asia, discussion and exploration should be best approached from the following angles. America will keep playing an important role in Asia’s economic affairs, and China will also be an instrumental actor. It is often said in America that they welcome a peaceful, prosperous and successful China. Such expression always implies that China should contribute to the maintenance of America’s leading role. Indeed, this is hardly realistic. Although America is still the most powerful state in the world, the tilt in the balance of resources and national power has never been felt as strongly as it is in Asia right now. Even the newest report from the CIA recognizes the shock brought by the rise of Asia.

Now that the old system is outdated, there should be a new one. Establishing a new order which ensures the long-term stability and prosperity in Asia obviously demands the equal participation of China and America. The real problem is that having realized that, the U.S. seems to lack sufficient courage to genuinely acknowledge the status of China as a great power and co-found a new great relationship based on mutual respect and win-win cooperation. This is also the reason for the excessive negative information from the rebalancing strategy in the Asia-Pacific Region.

It is truly hard for a country like America to lower its profile and mentally adjust to the change. Nonetheless, the sooner the U.S. becomes more realistic, the better it is, as the “Dual Asia” is merely an impractical illusion.


 建立一个以确保亚洲长期繁荣稳定为目标的新秩序,需要中美两国平等参与。对此美国不乏清醒认识,问题在于如何尽快找到足够的勇气

  美国学者有关“双重亚洲”的提法引起广泛关注。

  这一概念指中国主导的“经济亚洲”和美国把持的“安全亚洲”。“双重亚洲”的现实是否已经出现,人们的看法并不一致。即便作为一种趋势来讨论,结论也是大相径庭。一种观点认为,两个亚洲不可调和,将导致冲突不断。另一种观点则认为,亚洲双雄并立将构成均势,有助于缓解地区紧张局势。

  对“双重亚洲”的讨论,显然是在关注中美两个大国能否在亚洲和平相处。在中国崛起以及美国亚太再平衡战略的大背景下,这个问题的答案直接关系到亚洲发展前景和地区安全机制的构建。

  “经济亚洲”道出一个事实,即亚洲经济格局发生了根本性变化。中国经济的高速发展,地区一体化进程提速,使亚洲各国在贸易、投资和市场方面同中国的联系越发紧密,各国之间的相互依赖也在不断加深。与此同时,对美贸易在东亚各国对外贸易中的份额在逐步减少。美国依然是世界第一大经济体,对亚洲国家的经济影响不可小觑。但许多论者指出,这样一个以中国为中心的亚洲经济融合之势是市场驱动的结果,不仅具有明显的趋势性,亦非人为安排可以颠覆。

  “安全亚洲”表明,美国正力图通过各种安排维持其军事主导地位。与“经济亚洲”日渐明朗的前景相比,“安全亚洲”所蕴含的秩序正在演进过程中,甚至尚未破题。目前看来,美国着力打造的安全架构,沿袭的依然是二战后的老路子,即依靠盟友来加强双边、多边的安全同盟。问题恰恰就出在这里。这种老路子没有考虑到亚洲的新变化,与亚洲的经济融合进程脱节,没有什么前途可言。

  关于亚洲的未来,更宜于从以下角度进行探讨。美国将继续在亚洲经济事务中发挥重要作用,中国也将在亚洲安全事务中扮演举足轻重的角色。美国经常说,欢迎一个和平繁荣成功的中国。这样的表述,往往暗含着中国要为美国维护战略主导地位出力这样一个前提。这实在缺少现实感。尽管美国仍是世界头号强国,但资源和实力的平衡正在变化,这一点在任何地方都不如在亚洲感受得那么强烈。连美国国家情报委员会的最新报告也意识到亚洲崛起引发的震撼。

  既然旧有机制过时,就要有一个新的安排。建立一个以确保亚洲长期繁荣稳定为目标的新秩序,显然需要中美两国平等参与。对此美国不乏清醒认识。真正的问题在于, 美国似乎还没有找到足够勇气,发自内心地认可中国大国地位,实实在在同中国一道构建相互尊重、合作共赢的新型大国关系。这也是美国亚太再平衡战略传递出过多负面信息的原因之所在。

  对美国这样一个国家来说,放下身段,调整好心态,的确很难。但既然“双重亚洲”不过是一种不切实际的虚幻,还是早一些变得现实些为好。
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