US Will Not Oppose Japan’s Intention to Amend Constitution

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 13 May 2013
by Li Haidong (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jingman Xiao. Edited by Bora Mici.
Ever since he took office at the end of last year, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzō Abe and his government have ceaselessly been trying to push forward the process of amending Japan’s constitution by exaggerating external threats, especially from China. That Japan’s intention to amend its constitution will generate more benefits than disadvantages to the U.S. is reflected in the Obama administration's optimistic view of the project at this time.

First, the consolidation of the U.S.-Japan coalition comes from a firm bilateral political commitment. The U.S. will make its decision based on Japanese political trends and will not disregard mainstream political forces advocating for amending the constitution, which could endanger the coalition's strength. Because Japan is already deeply embedded in the system that the U.S. has built in Europe and Asia, the U.S. is not concerned about the potential negative impacts of bolstering Japanese military power.

Second, if the amendment is successful, a transition from the Japan Self-Defense Forces to a national army — with the right to participate in wars — will take place, which will enhance Japan’s position in the Asia-Pacific security network, thus enabling it to effectively contain China or Russia. Giving impetus to the strengthening of Japan’s defense ability will cause Japan to share in its security and economic burdens.

Third, Japan is the only "abnormal" country in the U.S.' global alliance system, because its special relationship does not abide by the legitimate principles epitomized in the American alliance structure. Out of concern for maintaining and consolidating the long-term vitality and credibility of this U.S.-led alliance, the U.S. will promote Japan’s development along the trajectory of a "normal" country.

Fourth, America’s "rebalancing" strategy in the Asia-Pacific is backed by the existence of the U.S.-Japan coalition. Japan’s ability to amend its constitution and the possibility for the U.S. of realizing its strategy are correlated. Having the right to participate in wars and having a defense army will be key components to Japan’s striving for status as a great political power and to heightening its regional and international position.

Therefore, the U.S. will not tie up or put pressure on Abe’s efforts to amend the constitution.

The key to success lies in the outcomes of domestic political competition among different parties. In recent years, Japanese domestic politics have increasingly leaned toward the right. The faction in favor of amending the constitution — mainly from the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Restoration Association — has gradually gained importance. There is a high possibility that the amendment of both Article 96 and Article 6 will be successful. Although the U.S. has also realized that this might trigger protests from a number of countries in the Asia-Pacific, it will still determine its standpoint on this matter by sticking to the principle of strengthening and consolidating Japan’s power in the region. The U.S.-Japan relationship will be subjected to constant re-adjustment under this framework as Japan’s constitutional amendments and improvements to its military power take place.


自去年底上台以来,安倍政府通过不断夸大外部(尤其是中国)威胁全力推动修宪进程。日本修宪对美国而言利大于弊,奥巴马政府对日修宪实际采取乐观其成的立场。

  首先,日美同盟的巩固来自于美日各自国内坚定的政治承诺。美国会根据日本国内形成的政治潮流而做决定,不会置日本国内政治主流派的修宪主张于不顾,而冒削弱日美同盟的危险。由于日本已深嵌入美国在欧亚大陆构建的联盟体系之内,美国并不担心日本军力增强对美国全球战略可能会产生的负面影响。

  其次,修宪的最终成功会导致日本军队从自卫队向国家军队的转变,并拥有交战权,从而实质性增强日本在亚太区域安全中的地位,达到在亚太区域有效抑制中国或俄罗斯的作用。美国可以通过推动日本增强防务能力达到日本分担其安全与经济责任的目的。

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  第三,美国全球联盟体系内,日本是唯一一个“非正常”国家,美日这种奇特关系不合乎美国联盟构建所体现的合法性原则。基于维持与巩固美日联盟长久生命力及维护以美国为核心的联盟信誉根本考虑,美会推动日沿着“正常国家”方向发展。

  第四,美国“亚太再平衡”战略的核心支柱是美日联盟。日本修宪成功与否和美国“亚太再平衡”战略是否最终得以实现之间相互关联。日本拥有交战权与国防军是美国推动日本拥有政治大国地位或提升日本在地区与全球地位规划的重要组成部分。

  因此,安倍此次推动的修宪努力基本不会受到来自美国的束缚或压力,修宪成功与否关键取决于日本国内不同党派政治角逐的结果。近年来日本国内政治日益右翼化,修宪派(自民党与维新会为主体)在国会内力量稳步增强。日本在未来对宪法第96条进行修改后再对第9条加以修改获得成功的可能性极大。尽管美国也认识到日本修宪在亚太区域引起了众多国家的抗议,但美国会以加强和巩固日本在亚太区域实力和地位的立场来确定其在日本修宪问题上的政策基调。美日关系会随着日本修宪及军力增强而在联盟框架内不断调整。
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