A Political Deal

Published in Süddeutsche Zeitung
(Germany) on 12 October 2018
by Christiane Schlötzer (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Federica Vavala. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
U.S. pastor Andrew Brunson was held hostage by the Turkish president. Erdoğan will not have let him go without receiving something in return.

Even before American pastor Andrew Brunson’s fourth court hearing in Izmir, so many rumors were floating about a political deal between Ankara and Washington that the trial’s outcome was hardly a surprise. Brunson is free. The Turkish judge had the last word in the matter, but the solution to the case that has weighed so heavily on U.S-Turkey relations is a victory of diplomacy over irrationality. The price to pay for detaining the pastor any longer would have been simply too high for Ankara after the sanctions imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump.

Back in September 2017, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan himself had hinted that Brunson was a hostage of sorts as he suggested a deal: Brunson in exchange for preacher Fethullah Gülen, who lives in exile in the U.S. and whom Erdoğan holds responsible for the failed military coup in 2016. Washington made it clear that the U.S. justice system is no place for such transactions.

However, the question is: What has Ankara received in exchange for Brunson’s freedom? For example, the Turks would like to continue importing gas from Iran without being subjected to U.S. sanctions, and there are other wishes concerning Washington.

The discord over the Brunson case was under the spotlight. Behind it lie deeper conflicts, for instance over politics in Syria. Tensions cannot immediately disappear from relations between Trump and Erdoğan.


Ein politischer Deal

Der US-Pastor Andrew Brunson war eine Geisel des türkischen Präsidenten. Erdoğan wird ihn nicht ohne Gegenleistung freigelassen haben.

Schon bevor der amerikanische Pastor Andrew Brunson am Freitag zum vierten Mal in Izmir vor Gericht stand, gab es so viele Gerüchte über einen politischen Deal zwischen Ankara und Washington, dass der Ausgang des Verfahrens kaum noch überrascht. Brunson kommt frei. In der Causa hatten zwar türkische Richter das letzte Wort, die Lösung des Falles aber, der das amerikanisch-türkische Verhältnis so schwer belastete, ist ein Sieg der Diplomatie - über die Irrationalität. Die Kosten für die weitere Inhaftierung des Pastors wurden nach den Sanktionen, die US-Präsident Donald Trump verhängte, für Ankara schlicht zu hoch.

Dass Brunson eine Art Geisel war, hatte Präsident Recep Tayyip Erdoğan im September 2017 selbst suggeriert, als er einen Austausch vorschlug: Brunson gegen den Prediger Fethullah Gülen, der im US-Exil lebt und von Erdoğan für den gescheiterten Militärputsch von 2016 verantwortlich gemacht wird. Washington stellte klar, dass im US-Rechtssystem kein Platz für solche Geschäfte ist.

Die Frage ist aber dennoch: Was hat Ankara bekommen für Brunsons Freiheit? Die Türken würden zum Beispiel gerne weiter Gas aus Iran importieren, frei von US-Sanktionen, und es gibt noch andere Wünsche an Washington.

Der Fall Brunson war ein Konflikt, der sozusagen im Schaufenster stand. Dahinter gibt es tiefere Zerwürfnisse, über die Politik in Syrien etwa. Spannungsfrei dürfte das Verhältnis zwischen Trump und Erdoğan nicht sofort werden.
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