Tension in Ukraine: Russian Invasion Must Be Prevented

Published in Yomiuri Shimbun
(Japan) on 3 February 2022
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Owen Hester. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
The situation in Ukraine has become increasingly tense, with growing speculation that Russia will invade. The U.S. and Europe must work together to prepare effective sanctions against Russia in order to prevent the potential violence.

The 100,000 Russian troops massed on the Ukrainian border are in a state of alert. Russian troops have also begun to enter Belarus, which has close ties with Russia, "for joint military exercises." Ukraine is now under siege.

Repeated talks between the U.S. and Russia have failed to yield any clues to a solution. Russian President Vladimir Putin's method of unilaterally raising tensions and then asking for "guarantees of Russia's security" is tantamount to intimidation. Shouldn't the withdrawal of troops be the first priority?

Putin has said that the expansion of NATO poses a threat to Russia; he has asked the U.S. for assurances that Ukraine and other countries will not become new members.

Membership in NATO, the military alliance between the U.S. and Europe, is a matter of each country's free will and choice. It is up to each country to freely choose its own membership in NATO and NATO’s choice to accept any applying countries. Russia's demand is one that neglects Ukraine's sovereignty.

Russia's insistence that NATO troops should be withdrawn from Eastern Europe shows that it aims to change the security order in Europe to suit its own interests. It is not surprising that the U.S. has rejected this series of demands.

We cannot rule out the possibility that Putin's next move will be to invade Ukraine, establish a pro-Russian government or divide the territory.

The U.S. and other NATO members are not obligated to defend Ukraine, but they cannot tolerate an act of aggression that violates international law. If left unchecked, it would send the wrong message to China, which has said it will not hesitate to unify Taiwan by force.

While the U.S. has stepped up its military support for Ukraine, it has also warned Russia that it will impose severe economic sanctions if it invades. Restrictions on the export of advanced technology to Russia and financial sanctions are being considered.

The question is whether European countries, which depend on Russia for energy such as natural gas, will be able to keep pace with the United States. It is possible that Russia will react to the sanctions and take countermeasures, such as suspending gas supplies.

Strong sanctions will have to deal a certain blow to the side that imposes them, but the negative impact of war is far greater. We should show our determination to resolutely prevent Russia's aggression.

Japan, as a member of the Group of Seven, needs to show a resolute stance based on international principles that do not allow the status quo to be changed by force.


ロシアがウクライナに侵攻するとの観測が強まり、情勢は緊迫の度を増している。米欧は連携して実効性のある対露制裁を準備し、暴挙を阻止しなければならない。

 ウクライナ国境に集結した10万人のロシア軍部隊は、臨戦態勢を敷いている。ロシアと関係が深いベラルーシにも「合同軍事演習のため」にロシア軍が入り始めた。ウクライナは包囲された形だ。

 米国とロシアの度重なる協議でも、解決の糸口は見えない。緊張を一方的に高めたうえで「ロシアの安全の保証」を求めるプーチン露大統領の手法は威嚇に等しい。軍の撤収が先決ではないか。

 プーチン氏は、北大西洋条約機構(NATO)の拡大がロシアに脅威を与えているとして、ウクライナなどを新たに加盟させない確約を米国に求めている。

 米欧の軍事同盟であるNATOへの加盟は、各国が自由な意思で選択し、NATOが受け入れるかどうかを決めるのが筋である。ロシアの要求は、ウクライナの主権をないがしろにするものだ。

 「NATO部隊は東欧から撤収すべきだ」というロシアの主張からも、欧州の安全保障秩序を自国に都合の良い形に変える狙いが透けて見える。一連の要求を米国が拒否したのは当然だろう。

 プーチン氏が次の一手として、ウクライナ侵攻に踏み切り、親露政権の樹立や領土の分割に動く可能性は排除できない。

 米国をはじめとするNATO加盟国にウクライナ防衛の義務はないが、国際法に違反する侵略行為を黙認するわけにはいかない。放置すれば、台湾の武力統一を辞さないとする中国に、誤ったメッセージを送ることにもなる。

 バイデン米政権はウクライナへの軍事支援を強化する一方、ロシアに対して「侵攻した場合は厳しい経済制裁を科す」と警告している。先端技術の対露輸出規制や金融制裁などが検討されている。

 問題は、天然ガスなどのエネルギーをロシアに依存する欧州諸国が米国と足並みをそろえられるかどうかだ。ロシアが制裁に反発し、ガス供給停止などの対抗措置をとることも考えられる。

 強力な制裁は、発動する側も一定の打撃を受けざるを得ないが、戦争がもたらす悪影響は、はるかに大きい。ロシアの侵攻を断固として防ぐ決意を示すべきだ。

 日本も、力による現状変更を許さない国際原則に基づき、先進7か国(G7)の一員として 毅然 とした姿勢を見せる必要がある
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Turkey: Blood and Fury: Killing of Charlie Kirk, Escalating US Political Violence

Japan: US Signing of Japan Tariffs: Reject Self-Righteousness and Fulfill Agreement

Thailand: Brazil and the US: Same Crime, Different Fate

Germany: Trump Declares War on Cities

Singapore: TikTok Deal Would Be a Major Win for Trump, but Not in the Way You Might Expect

Topics

Turkey: Will the US Be a Liberal Country Again?

Singapore: TikTok Deal Would Be a Major Win for Trump, but Not in the Way You Might Expect

Pakistan: US Debt and Global Economy

Mexico: Qatar, Trump and Venezuela

Mexico: Nostalgia for the Invasions

Malaysia: The Tariff Trap: Why America’s Protectionist Gambit Only Tightens China’s Grip on Global Manufacturing

Singapore: Several US Trade ‘Deals’ Later, There Are Still More Questions than Answers

Related Articles

Dominican Republic: Trump Is Rigorously Consistent

Japan: US Signing of Japan Tariffs: Reject Self-Righteousness and Fulfill Agreement

Germany: When Push Comes to Shove, Europe Stands Alone*

Germany: It’s Not Europe’s Fault