America Needs to Take the First Step Back

Published in Guangming
(China) on 24 December 2009
by Nanzhimo (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yang Tian. Edited by Jessica Boesl.
Disagreements on the relocation plan of the Futenma Air Station, which was returned to Japan in 1996, have impaired the progress of relations between Japan and the United States in this critical time of their alliance. Though both countries are insistent on advancing their claims, Japan and the United States are defending vastly different interests in terms of its significance.

The Democratic Party of Japan evidently pictures the relocation of American troops in Okinawa as an icebreaker to more extensive adjustment of the Japan-United States alliance. The Democratic Party has always stressed “equality” between Japan and United States within its idea of an equal trilateral diplomatic framework, which also includes China. For Japan to maintain healthy relations with neighboring countries in the context of the economic and political rise of Asia, a critical review of its alliance with America is much needed.

The post-WWII Japan-U.S. alliance defined the political agenda of East Asia. Although it once factored immensely in the ensuing recovery of Japan, it now undoubtedly poses significant impedance to Japan’s diplomatic independence and its ability to construct effective ties with other Asian nations. The post-war alliance, characterized by Japan’s subordination to America, faces many challenges in today’s world of profound political and economic change.

In fact, the Japanese realized the imbalance of the alliance thwarted its diplomatic independence and autonomy back in the 1980s, when Japan had just become the world’s second largest economy. This realization was reflected in the Japanese National Reform Plan, written by Democratic Party Secretary Ichiro Kozawa, in which he advocated “normalization” and augmentation of political influence for Japan as a nation. To achieve its goal of becoming a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council, Japan needs the support of Asian countries, and of China in particular. Under such circumstances, the Japan-U.S. alliance is unquestionably an obstacle to meeting Japan’s political objectives.

With the Democratic Party in power and international affairs centering more in Asia, right now is the ideal time for Japan to adjust its relations with America, establish firmer ties with Asian countries, ultimately achieve its goals of “normalization” as a nation and remove all hindrance to the realization of its political aims. The Democratic Party of Japan has every reason to hold firm ground in negotiations regarding the relocation of American military bases in Okinawa, as the outcome not only reflects the likelihood of the success of the party’s overall political objectives, but also impacts Japan’s ties with other Asian countries, and China in particular.

In addition, the foundation of the current executive alliance in Japan, Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama, along with the Democratic Party, is responsible for settling the relocation issue, as it was one of his election promises. In a press conference held earlier in the month, Mizuho Fukushima, leader of the Japanese Social Democratic Party, warned Prime Minister Hatoyama that he and his administration had better keep his election promises or the executive alliance could dissolve. The House of Councillors elections scheduled for 2011 are also crucial for ensuring democratic governing power, as the party must secure more than 50 percent of the house seats. Domestic and party complexities form another important element of the Japanese government’s attitude in the relocation negotiations.

For America, however, the negotiations won’t touch on fundamental national interests. At worst, failure could weaken American military presence in the West Pacific region or impact its overall position of power in the area, but even then America’s influence in Asia would remain substantial and its global military strategy would remain in tact. Even if all American forces were evacuated from Japan, U.S. troops in South Korea, the Philippines and Guam provide more than enough assurance for American strategic plans in the West Pacific region. That said, such an evacuation might not happen at all, as the Japanese government only wants to replace previous deals made by the LDP with new ones. The Marines may not need to leave Japan, and perhaps not even Okinawa.

Taking things a step further, it has become inevitable that the Japan-U.S. alliance should undergo adjustment and transformation. Asia is the rising new power, and both Japan and America need to respond to that by adapting their alliance to fit the change; this alliance weighs heavily on how influential both Japan and America can be in Asia.

Under such circumstances, assuming the United States wants to keep its alliance with Japan, what remains to be settled is what degree of change America will accept. In November 2009, when President Barack Obama visited Japan on his Asia tour, he and Prime Minister Hatoyama announced that “the Japan-U.S. alliance remains an important foundation of diplomatic policy for both countries,” indicating that the alliance was to be preserved. Furthermore, forfeiting previous deals with the LDP administration to strike new ones with the Democratic government does not necessarily compromise American interests; the Japanese government is also aware of this. Therefore, it would be reasonable for the United States to compromise first in order to break the current deadlock in the relocation negotiations.

With the alliance guaranteed to remain, America should take the first step back to repair its relations with Japan, so that Japan may continue to contribute to America’s global strategic plans. A step back could be, in fact, a step forward for the United States.


日美关系僵局,美需率先让步

南之默 刊发时间:2009-12-24 00:17:26 光明网-光明观察 [字体:大 中 小]

    日美两国在普天间机场搬迁问题上,至今仍然没有找到解决的方法。日美两国关系也因此无法取得进展。尽管日美两国在此问题上,态度都十分坚决。但就其所涉及的利益而言,日美两国在此问题上所涉及的利益性质却截然不同。
    日本民主党显然是将冲绳美军军事基地搬迁问题

作为其调整日美同盟关系的最初一步。日本民主党长期奉行“中日美三国等边关系”的外交理念,在日美关系上强调双方的“对等”地位。特别是在亚洲整体力量崛起的背景之下,作为与亚洲国家交往的首要任务,显然是需要调整与美国之间的关系。对在二战后主导东亚秩序的日美同盟关系,尽管曾经为日本在战后的重新迅速崛起发挥过巨大作用,但显然,在“美主日从”的模式下,在当今国际格局日益深刻变化的现实面前,传统的日美同盟关系,势必将制约日本与亚洲国家之间关系发展时的自主性,也势必影响日本在外交上的独立性。
    事实上,日本在上世纪八十年代成为世界第二大经济体之时,就已经深感日美同盟关系之间不对等的关系对日本在外交上的独立性与自主性造成了巨大的掣肘作用。因此,才有日本民主党干事长小泽一郎的著作《日本国家改造计划》,提倡日本国家的“正常化”与日本的政治大国化。特别是日本在追求成为联合国安理会常任理事国一事上,更是需要亚洲国家,尤其是中国方面的支持。在此种情况下,日美同盟关系显然是对其政治目标实现的一道障碍。
    而今,随着日本民主党的上台执政、国际重心向亚洲移动,日本势必更需要抓住此机会,调整与美国的关系,发展与亚洲国家关系,以彻底实现日本国家正常化的目标,减少其实现政治目标道路上所面临的种种障碍。因此,民主党在冲绳美军军事基地搬迁问题上态度坚决,自有其原因所在。可以说,民主党政府在此问题上能否得到恰当的处理,将影响民主党的政治主张最后能否实现,也将影响其与亚洲国家之间的关系,特别是与中国之间的关系。
    此外,作为鸠山首相竞选时的一项承诺,作为日本现执政联盟的基础所在,鸠山首相及民主党自然不得不谨慎处理。日本社民党党魁福岛瑞穗在本月初曾经召开记者会,提醒鸠山首相应当恪守承诺,否则将面临执政联盟瓦解的可能。而在明年举行的日本参议院选举中,民主党能否取得过半席位,则将影响其执政地位能否稳固。此方面的因素,也是影响日本政府在此问题上立场的重要因素。
    概而言之,在普天间机场搬迁问题上,涉及日本民主党政府的政权能否稳固,涉及日本国家正常化、政治大国化的战略目标,要日本鸠山政府在问题上回到自民党政府时期的对美态度与关系,显然十分困难,也不太可能。
    相比之下,美国在此问题上所涉及的利益,并不会触及美国的根本利益。在此问题上,最多只是削弱美国在西太平洋地区的军事力量,影响其在此地区的整体部署,但并不影响美国在亚洲的事实存在,更不可能削弱其全球军事战略。即使是美国军事力量悉数撤离日本,其在韩国、菲律宾、关岛等国家地区存在的军事力量,也足以满足美国在西太平洋地区的需要。更何况,日本政府现时下只是要求美国方面放弃坚持之前与自民党政府所达成的协议,重新进行谈判,并不意味着美军需要撤离冲绳岛,甚至从整个日本撤离。
    进一步说,日美同盟关系的调整与转变,事实上已经成为一种必然趋势。无论是对美国而言还是对日本来说,适应亚洲崛起的新国际现实是这种必然的根本原因所在。日美同盟如何调整其在亚洲的存在,都将影响美日两国在亚洲所能发挥的作用。
    因而,现时下,对于美国而言,关键是其能够接受怎样程度上的日美同盟关系调整与转变。如果美国方面仍然希望日美同盟关系继续存在,那么,美国所能做的,只是如何调整而已。事实上,在11月奥巴马总统亚洲行的日本站时,美日两国元首有关“日美同盟关系仍将是彼此外交上重要的基轴”的表态,就已经表明了两国仍有意保持同盟关系。因而,在此种现实面前,美国方面除了率先作出让步外,并无其它选项。更何况,放弃之前与自民党政府所达成的协议,重新就此问题与日本民主党政府进行谈判,未必就会损害美国的利益。日美同盟在现时下仍有其继续存在的现实基础。日本政府对此有着清醒的认识。
    总而言之,在日美同盟关系有着继续存在的现实基础面前,美国只有率先作出让步,才有可能让日美两国关系迅速恢复,才能继续让日本为其全球战略分担责任和买单。对于美国而言,率先让步,未必就是吃亏的事。
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