More Pros Than Cons to the American Factor in Asia

Published in Lianhe Zaobao
(Singapore) on 5 November 2009
by Li Daguang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Edward Seah. Edited by Jessica Boesl.
Recently, Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew said in a speech delivered in the U.S. that it was a "serious mistake" for the East Asian Community to keep the U.S. out of it, and he hopes the U.S. will play a greater role in maintaining regional balance. We should analyze dialectically the U.S.'s involvement in Asian affairs and the issues of interest that exist in Asia related to the Chinese.

First, we will look at the advantages of the presence of the U.S. in Asia. In the process of establishing the East Asian Community, the American factor plays a role in maintaining regional security and stability that cannot be replaced by other countries. This is mainly seen in the following aspects.

One is that U.S. presence in Asia keeps Japan in check. Objectively speaking, the presence of American power in Asia suppresses Japan's political and military superpower urges and has achieved a balancing effect for many years. This has allowed Asian regions to develop their individual economies in peace. China has also benefited from this. Moreover, it is clearly seen in the present reality in Asia that this region has yet to establish an effective regional security institution and there are various elements of instability in the region. There isn't a strong sense of belonging among individual nations in East Asia as a whole. More often than not, each nation has its own interests in mind and there isn't one country that can lead in regional affairs. If Asians cannot resolve their own problems, such as the North Korean nuclear problem and conflicts over ocean rights, then external intervention would be logical and perfectly normal.

Second, the U.S. presence in Asia has a stabilizing effect on the situation on the North Korean peninsula. The North Korean nuclear issue has increased the complexity of the Asian regional situation. North Korea's one-sided withdrawal from the six-party talks has led to a standstill in negotiations. Under such circumstances, South Korea and Japan initiated the "five-party talks" to impose sanctions on North Korea. China, however, remains insistent on a "six-party talks," and the U.S. also maintained that talks on North Korean security and stability issues, especially the North Korean nuclear issue, should proceed in six-party talks.

Third is that U.S. presence in Asia contains the "Taiwan independence" powers. We must be clear that, on the issue of Taiwan, the U.S. does not wish for Taiwan to be truly independent. Why is that so? The U.S. is an ocean rights nation and is concerned about rights to control water passages. To the U.S., Taiwan's role is to keep China from going out to sea and stopping Japan from moving south. At the same time, the U.S. also does not want Taiwan to be its burden and hopes that mainland China can keep Taiwan in check, but does not want mainland China to control Taiwan.

Fourth is that the U.S. hopes China will be actively involved in issues concerning politics, economy and security. In recent years, be it political, economic or security issues, the U.S. has hoped for China to be actively involved and has taken the initiative to invite China to do so. For example, it would have been unimaginable if the U.S. had not supported and been involved in the six-party talks that China established on the North Korean peninsula.

After that, we should take a look at the disadvantages of the American factor for the Chinese in Asia. Throughout U.S. involvement in Asia-Pacific affairs, there has always been a side of it that wanted to hold back China's rise to power. This is undeniable. This could be due to the difference in values between the two nations. The U.S. is worried that once China becomes a superpower, it will pose a threat to the U.S., as well as to the Asia-Pacific region. What is more, the U.S. is also using the issue of Taiwan to restrain China. The U.S. has always hoped to maintain mainland China's military balance and its current status by selling arms to Taiwan and to use Taiwan, Japan and the Philippines to block China from entering the Asia-Pacific. Apparently, the U.S.'s present Asian strategy is to let Asians fight Asians.

In summary, the American factor in Asia, overall, has more pros than cons for the Chinese. Therefore, why should China reject an American presence in East Asia? China should not have overreacted to what M.M. Lee said.


最近,新加坡内阁资政李光耀在美国的演讲中称,东亚共同体把美国排除在外是“重大错误”,希望美国在维护地区平衡上发挥更大作用。对此我们应该辩证地分析美国参与亚洲事务或在亚洲存在对华的利弊。

  首先,我们看一下美国在亚洲存在的有利一面。美国因素在东亚共同体安全机制构建过程中,对维护地区的安全稳定具有其他国家所无法代替的作用。这主要表现在以下几个方面:

  一是美国在亚洲的存在具有制衡日本的作用。客观地讲,美国势力在亚洲的存在,抑制了日本的政治和军事大国冲动,多年来起到了平衡的作用,使得亚洲地区得以和平地发展自己的经济,中国也从中受惠颇多。而且当今东亚现实表明,目前这一地区尚未建立一个有效的区域安全机制,区域内存在各种不稳定因素,各国对于东亚整体认同感不强,还是更多地从自身利益出发,没有任何一个国家可以主导地区事务。如果亚洲人解决不了自己的问题,如朝鲜核问题、海洋权益纠纷等,那么在这种情况下外力的介入就是顺理成章,再正常不过了。

  二是具有稳定朝鲜半岛局势的作用。朝鲜核问题加剧了亚洲地区形势的复杂。朝鲜单方面退出六方会谈机制,使六方会谈机制面临瘫痪。在这种情况下,韩日主张“五方会谈”,对朝鲜进行制裁,中国依然坚持“六方会谈”,而美国也坚持朝鲜半岛的安全稳定问题特别是朝核问题必须在六方会谈机制中进行。

  三是具有遏制“台独”势力的作用。在台湾的问题上,我们要清楚一点,美国并不希望台湾真独立,为什么?美国是一个海权国家,更关心对海上通道的控制权。对美国而言,台湾的作用就是让中国不要出海和阻止日本南下。但同时美国也不想背台湾包袱,希望大陆把台湾管着,但又不能由大陆控制。

  四是美国在政治、经济和安全领域的问题还是希望中国积极参与的。近年来,无论是政治问题、经济问题,还是安全领域的问题,美国希望中国积极参与,并且主动邀请中国参与。比如,在朝鲜半岛中国构建的六方会谈机制,如果没有美国参与和支持是不可想象。

  然后,我们再看看美国因素在亚洲存在对华不利的一面。美国在参与亚太事务的过程中,自始至终隐藏着遏制中国强大起来的一面。这是不容否定的。这可能是两国价值观的不同所致。美国担心中国一旦强大起来,将会对美国乃至亚太地区构成威胁。此外,美国还有利用台湾问题制衡中国的一面。美国一直通过对台军售从而希望台湾保持对大陆的军事平衡和目前的现状,让台湾与日本、菲律宾一起把大陆挡着,不让进入太平洋。显然,美国现在的亚洲战略就是让亚洲人打亚洲人。

  综上所述,美国因素在亚洲存在总体来看对华利大于弊,因此,中国又何必排斥美国因素在东亚的存在呢?更不必对李光耀的一番话产生过度反应。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

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