The 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election is a warning that Democrats need to show results soon.
Republican candidate Glenn Youngkin, a businessman with no political experience, will become the new governor of the southern state of Virginia after narrowly defeating the Democratic candidate, Terry McAuliffe, last Tuesday. This is the first election blow for the Biden era and the Democratic Party. This was a state election, but both parties will inevitably try to draw conclusions from it. The Democratic Party victory in the New Jersey governor’s race is not enough to hide the fact that there is nothing optimistic at the moment for the Democrats. There is a real risk of losing the majority in Congress, and with that, any possibility of a truly transcendent policy like the one Biden has promised.
The Republican Party, also in need of a boost of optimism, is finally getting a glimpse of how to live with the suffocating shadow of former President Donald Trump. Youngkin's victory seems to give new life to a party torn by the paranoid rhetoric of the former president, which fascinated much of his base. Trump's public support for the Republican candidate in Virginia came in a statement during the final moments of the campaign. They did not campaign together. Youngkin thus obtained Trump’s support, and therefore the votes of his supporters, so he did not have to repeat his nonsense and could focus on a more classic conservative platform. In addition, Youngkin hit the election jackpot in identity issues that the Democratic left wing placed into the national debate, issues that are also perceived as risky at the local level, such as teaching about racism in schools or defunding the police.
Virginia's election was like a game of heads or tails. It is as wrong to explain the Democratic defeat as a blanket rejection of Biden as it is to link the Republican victory to Trump's influence. But even if one cannot blame Biden for the result, he will suffer the consequences. Virginia is voting at a time of high tension for the Democrats. The opposition of two self-proclaimed centrist senators may stop a $ 1.75 trillion infrastructure bill that would represent the largest increase in social spending since the 1960s. A week ago, Biden warned Congress, “The House and Senate majorities and my presidency will be determined by what happens in the next week.” *That bill is precisely the most powerful tool needed to stop the spiral of self-destructive opinion. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi moved to put the bill to a vote immediately. Instead of giving in to pessimism, Virginia’s example can serve as a way to push Democrats to pass the policies they agreed to. Otherwise, Democrats will be unable to present a strong platform to voters in 2022 and in turn keep their majority in Washington.
*Editor’s note: Congress passed a $1.75 trillion infrastructure bill on Nov. 5 after this article was published, sending the bill to President Biden to sign into law.
Luces rojas para Biden
Las elecciones a gobernador de Virginia avisan de que los demócratas necesitan presentar resultados pronto
El republicano Glenn Youngkin, un empresario sin experiencia en política, se convertirá en el nuevo gobernador del Estado sureño de Virginia tras derrotar al aspirante demócrata, Terry McAuliffe, y ganar el martes por estrecho margen. El Partido Demócrata de Estados Unidos sufre así el primer golpe electoral de la era Biden. Se trata de una elección con claves muy locales pero de la que inevitablemente ambos partidos tratan de sacar lecciones. La victoria de los demócratas en la elección a gobernador de Nueva Jersey no es suficiente para ocultar que no hay en este momento un mensaje claro de optimismo saliendo de Washington. Hay un riesgo real de perder las mayorías en el Congreso, y con ellas cualquier posibilidad de una política verdaderamente trascendente como la prometida por Biden.
El Partido Republicano, muy necesitado también de su propia inyección de optimismo, empieza por fin a vislumbrar cómo convivir con la sombra asfixiante del expresidente Donald Trump. La victoria de Youngkin parece ofrecer un camino a un partido desgarrado por la retórica golpista y paranoica del expresidente que fascina a buena parte de su electorado. El apoyo público de Trump al republicano se produjo en la recta final de campaña y por un comunicado. No han hecho campaña juntos. Youngkin ha logrado así su apoyo, y por tanto los votos que arrastra, sin tener que repetir sus disparates y centrándose en un discurso conservador más clásico. Además, encontró una mina electoral en temas identitarios que el ala izquierdista demócrata ha colocado en el debate nacional, pero que son percibidos como arriesgados en el ámbito local, como la enseñanza del racismo en las escuelas o el recorte de fondos a la policía.
La elección de gobernador de Virginia era una moneda al aire. Explicar la derrota demócrata como un rechazo general a Biden es tan errado como ligar la victoria republicana a la influencia de Trump. Pero aunque Biden no sea la causa del resultado, sí le van a afectar las consecuencias. Virginia vota en un momento de alta tensión para los demócratas. La oposición de dos senadores autodenominados centristas mantiene en el aire un plan legislativo de 1,75 billones de dólares que supone el mayor aumento en gasto social desde los sesenta. Hace una semana, Biden advirtió a sus congresistas: “Las mayorías en la Cámara y el Senado, y mi presidencia, dependen de lo que pase en la próxima semana”. Ese paquete legislativo es justamente la herramienta más poderosa para cortar esta espiral de opinión autodestructiva. Pelosi trataba este jueves de someterlo a votación cuanto antes. En vez de ceder al pesimismo, Virginia puede servir para empujar a los demócratas a aprobar el programa que pactaron, o no podrán mostrar a los votantes un currículo en 2022 que justifique mantener sus mayorías en Washington.
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