The Inevitable Increase of Turmoil in the Trump Administration

Published in Nikkei
(Japan) on 20 January 2018
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Deborah Chapin. Edited by Margaret Dalzell.
President Trump is coming up on one year since he was inaugurated. With no sign of change in his overbearing political approach, one cannot possibly hope for stability in his administration. His haphazard policy decisions are pulling Americans apart in confusion, and the friction Trump has generated with the international community has accelerated the decline of the United States’ position in the world. One cannot help but prepare for even more turmoil in the second year of his administration.

Trump used reckless lies to win the election. It was believed that once in office, he would become reality-oriented. A year ago, I often heard this kind of optimism, which has since been completely unrealized. There was a drastic cut in the corporate tax rate, and there have been results that could have value, such as relief from excessive regulations. However, the negatives exceed the positives.

Trump’s racist speech, with which he repeatedly tried to buy the favor of poor white supporters, has ruined the cooperation inherent in multicultural harmony and spoiled the unity of the nation for which previous administrations fought. Even after the Trump administration is gone, the aftereffects of what it does will continue for a long time.

More importantly, Trump has shaken the international order. Every country has its national interests. However, if countries insist on those interests, it increases antagonism and can trigger war. Getting to the root of a dispute through negotiation and compromise should be a fundamental rule in a post-World War II society.

Economic loss is not the only result of the United States’ withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the Paris climate agreement. These withdrawals have forced the world back to the time when survival of the fittest was the rule, and have justified China and Russia’s plans for expansion.

The United States has not led the world by military power alone. Universal values such as respect for human rights, democracy and market economy have been the main source of America’s dominance. Trump has left these values behind.

At this point, it appears that the conflict inside the White House has deepened. As a result of actions by former chief strategist Stephen Bannon who broke relations with Trump, it is possible that the "Russiagate" problem will rapidly escalate, and that Trump will be forced to face a difficult choice. Trump is expending all the more effort in criticizing the American media in order to divert Americans’ attention from the situation. Unfortunately, he may be greatly surprised.

The interactions with North Korea are frightening. Exerting pressure on North Korea by imposing economic sanctions is a way to restrain development of nuclear missiles. We absolutely cannot just move toward war because of secret speculation.


トランプ米大統領が就任1年を迎えた。威圧的な政治手法を改める兆しはなく、政権の安定は望むべくもない。場当たり的な政策決定は米国民を右往左往させ、国際社会とのあつれきは米国の国際的な地位の低下を加速させた。政権2年目も、さらなる混迷を覚悟せざるを得ない。
 トランプ氏の暴言虚言は選挙に勝つための方便であり、政権に就けば現実志向になる。1年前によく耳にした、この手の楽観論は全く当て外れだった。
 法人税率の大幅な引き下げ、行き過ぎた規制の緩和など評価できる成果もあるが、もたらしたマイナスはそれ以上だ。
 支持基盤である白人貧困層の歓心を買おうと繰り返す人種差別的な発言は、歴代政権が腐心してきた多民族融和・国民統合の努力を台なしにした。トランプ政権が終わっても、その後遺症は長く続くだろう。
 さらに重大なのは、トランプ氏が国際秩序を揺るがしたことだ。どの国にも国益はある。だが、それを言い立てれば対立が激化し、戦争の引き金を引きかねない。話し合い、譲り合いで紛争の芽を摘もうというのが戦後世界の基本ルールのはずだ。
 環太平洋経済連携協定(TPP)や地球温暖化に関するパリ協定からの米国の離脱がもたらしたのは、経済的な損失だけではない。世界を弱肉強食の時代に逆戻りさせ、中国やロシアが膨張志向を正当化する根拠を与えた。
 米国は軍事力だけで世界をリードしてきたのではない。人権の尊重、民主主義、市場経済といった普遍的な価値こそが米国の支配力の源泉だった。トランプ氏はそれらを手放してしまった。
 ここに来て、ホワイトハウス内の対立は深まっているようだ。トランプ氏と絶縁したバノン元首席戦略官の今後の言動によってはロシアゲート問題が急展開し、トランプ氏が窮地に追い込まれる可能性もある。
 米国民の目先をそらそうと、トランプ氏は米メディア批判に一段と力を入れている。それでも済まずに、ビッグ・サプライズに走るかもしれない。
 危惧されるのは北朝鮮への対応だ。経済制裁などで圧力をかけるのは核・ミサイル開発を封じ込めるためだ。疑惑隠しの思惑から無謀な戦争に踏み出すことだけはあってはならない。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Venezuela: Vietnam: An Outlet for China

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Israel: Trump’s National Security Adviser Forgot To Leave Personal Agenda at Home and Fell

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Topics

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Switzerland: Donald Trump: 100 Days Already, but How Many Years?

     

Austria: Donald Trump Revives the Liberals in Canada

Germany: Absolute Arbitrariness

Israel: Trump’s National Security Adviser Forgot To Leave Personal Agenda at Home and Fell

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Related Articles

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Switzerland: Donald Trump: 100 Days Already, but How Many Years?

Austria: Donald Trump Revives the Liberals in Canada

Germany: Absolute Arbitrariness